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BundesligaMatchweek 19THE MATCH CENTRE

FC St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV match centre

FC St. Pauli badgeFC St. PauliHome · 18 in league
WDDLL
Momentum↘ Falling27/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:0
UK time · Europe/London
Hamburger SV badgeHamburger SVAway · 13 in league
LDLDD
Momentum↓ Low18/100OlderLatest
Venue to be confirmedSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
FC St. PauliHamburger SV
5Corner Kicks4
15Fouls13
1Yellow Cards1
Red Cards
2Goalkeeper Saves3
423Total passes581
327Passes accurate495

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

FC St. Pauli 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Hamburger SV 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

FC St. Pauli

0/1Wins
2.0Goals / game
3.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. No matching venue sample is available.

Inspect FC St. Pauli’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Hamburger SV

0/1Wins
0.0Goals / game
0.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. No matching venue sample is available.

Inspect Hamburger SV’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

FC St. Pauli

1 matches
Oldest newest
Results0 wins · 0 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game3.0
Games with 3+ goals1 of 1
Both teams scored1 of 1

Only a few results are available.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare FC St. Pauli at home with Hamburger SV away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:04 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches

FC St. PauliHamburger SV
17Matches played17
12Points earned17
3Wins4
0.9Goals scored / match1.0
1.8Goals conceded / match1.6
2Clean sheets4
7Failed to score7

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares FC St. Pauli at home with Hamburger SV away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

FC St. Pauli

Confirmed formation3-4-3Alexander Blessin
  1. 22N. VasiljG
  2. 25A. DzwigalaD
  3. 5H. WahlD
  4. 3K. MetsD
  5. 11A. PyrkaM
  6. 6J. SandsM
  7. 8E. SmithM
  8. 23L. OppieM
  9. 16J. FujitaF
  10. 19M. KaarsF
  11. 28M. Pereira LageF
Substitutes (9)

1 · B. A. Voll

34 · J. Robatsch

21 · L. Ritzka

15 · T. Ando

2 · M. Saliakas

7 · J. Irvine

26 · R. Jones

10 · D. Sinani

9 · A. Ceesay

Hamburger SV

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Merlin Polzin
  1. 1D. Heuer FernandesG
  2. 24N. CapaldoD
  3. 44L. VuskovicD
  4. 25J. TorunarighaD
  5. 28M. MuheimD
  6. 20F. VieiraM
  7. 21N. RembergM
  8. 18B. JattaM
  9. 11R. KonigsdorfferM
  10. 38A. Rossing-LelesiitM
  11. 19D. DownsF
Substitutes (9)

12 · S. Tangvik

2 · W. Mikelbrencis

16 · G. Gocholeishvili

6 · A. S. Lokonga

8 · D. Elfadli

7 · J. Dompe

9 · R. Glatzel

14 · R. Philippe

45 · F. Balde

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

FC St. Pauli

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Nikola Vasilj907.2—0—29—
Adam Dźwigała657.5—0—445
Hauke Wahl907.0—0—612
Karol Mets907.0—0—531
Arkadiusz Pyrka906.7—01281
James Sands907.0—01451
Eric Smith907.0—02461
Louis Oppie906.7—01301
Joel Chima Fujita906.7—0—311
Martijn Kaars456.5—0—111
Mathias Pereira Lage656.2—01161
Ricky-Jade Jones456.9—0—81
Jackson Irvine256.5—0—6—
Danel Sinani256.9—0112—
Ben Voll———————
Lars Ritzka———————
Jannik Thomas Robatsch———————
Tomoya Ando———————
Manolis Saliakas———————
Abdoulie Ceesay———————

Hamburger SV

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Daniel Heuer Fernandes908.0—0—57—
Nicolás Capaldo907.2—0—432
Luka Vušković908.2—021171
Jordan Torunarigha907.9—0—871
Miro Muheim907.6—0—624
Fábio Vieira877.3—0—472
Nicolai Remberg906.2—0—892
Bakery Jatta906.3—0—22—
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer686.3—0—14—
Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit146.3—0—2—
Damion Downs686.0—0—8—
Fabio Baldé546.2—01101
Jean-Luc Dompé226.3—0—9—
Rayan Philippe226.3—0—5—
Robert Glatzel226.5—0—6—
Albert Sambi Lokonga3——0—3—
Sander Tangvik———————
Giorgi Gocholeishvili———————
William Mikelbrencis———————
Daniel Elfadli———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Bundesliga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Bundesliga . Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Bayern München342851122368689
WWDWW
2Borussia Dortmund34227570343673
WWLWL
3RB Leipzig34205966471965
LWLWW
4VfB Stuttgart34188871492262
DWDDL
51899 Hoffenheim34187965521361
LWDWW
6Bayer Leverkusen34178968472159
DLWWL
7SC Freiburg34138135157-647
WLDLW
8Eintracht Frankfurt341111126165-444
DLLDL
9FC Augsburg34127154561-1643
LWWDW
10FSV Mainz 05341010144453-940
WLWLD
11Union Berlin34109154458-1439
WWDLL
12Borussia Mönchengladbach34911144253-1138
WLWDD
13Hamburger SV34911144054-1438
DWWLL
141. FC Köln34711164963-1432
LLDLD
15Werder Bremen3488183760-2332
LLLDW
16VfL Wolfsburg3478194569-2429
WLDDW
171. FC Heidenheim3468204172-3126
LWDWL
18FC St. Pauli3468202960-3126
LLLLD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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