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BundesligaMatchweek 20THE MATCH CENTRE

VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg match centre

VfB Stuttgart badgeVfB StuttgartHome · 4 in league
WDLWW
Momentum↗ Rising69/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
SC Freiburg badgeSC FreiburgAway · 7 in league
LDWWL
Momentum→ Steady49/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
E. Demirovic89′
Venue to be confirmedSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
VfB StuttgartSC Freiburg
6Corner Kicks2
14Fouls14
3Yellow Cards1
Red Cards
2Goalkeeper Saves5
513Total passes227
433Passes accurate157

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

VfB Stuttgart 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

SC Freiburg 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

VfB Stuttgart

3/5Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect VfB Stuttgart’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

SC Freiburg

2/4Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 2 available matches.

Inspect SC Freiburg’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare VfB Stuttgart at home with SC Freiburg away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:48 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches

VfB StuttgartSC Freiburg
19Matches played19
36Points earned27
11Wins7
1.9Goals scored / match1.6
1.4Goals conceded / match1.7
7Clean sheets4
2Failed to score4

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares VfB Stuttgart at home with SC Freiburg away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

VfB Stuttgart

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Sebastian Hoeness
  1. 33A. NubelG
  2. 4J. VagnomanD
  3. 29F. JeltschD
  4. 24J. ChabotD
  5. 3R. HendriksD
  6. 16A. KarazorM
  7. 6A. StillerM
  8. 11B. El KhannoussM
  9. 28N. NarteyM
  10. 18J. LewelingM
  11. 26D. UndavF
Substitutes (9)

21 · S. Drljaca

22 · L. Assignon

14 · L. Jaquez

7 · M. Mittelstadt

2 · A. Al Dakhil

30 · C. Andres

10 · C. Fuhrich

27 · B. Bouanani

9 · E. Demirovic

SC Freiburg

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Julian Schuster
  1. 1N. AtuboluG
  2. 29P. TreuD
  3. 28M. GinterD
  4. 37M. RosenfelderD
  5. 33J. MakengoD
  6. 8M. EggesteinM
  7. 44J. ManzambiM
  8. 19J. BesteM
  9. 14Y. SuzukiM
  10. 7D. ScherhantM
  11. 31I. MatanovicF
Substitutes (9)

21 · F. Muller

5 · A. Jung

30 · C. Gunter

43 · B. Ogbus

6 · P. Osterhage

27 · N. Hofler

32 · V. Grifo

9 · L. Holer

22 · C. Irie

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

VfB Stuttgart

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Alexander Nübel907.7—0—32—
Josha Vagnoman907.2—02342
Finn Jeltsch907.3—0—632
Jeff Chabot907.5—01791
Ramon Hendriks596.6—0123—
Atakan Karazor776.6—0—361
Angelo Stiller907.2—0—881
Bilal El Khannouss777.2—0146—
Nikolas Nartey597.2—02241
Jamie Leweling906.5—0—241
Deniz Undav896.2—1815—
Maximilian Mittelstädt317.3—0—194
Chris Führich317.0—0—21—
Chema Andrés136.6—0—71
Ermedin Demirović137.31011—
Luca Jaquez1——0———
Stefan Drljača———————
Ameen Al-Dakhil———————
Lorenz Assignon———————
Badredine Bouanani———————

SC Freiburg

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Noah Atubolu907.9—0—46—
Philipp Treu787.3—01171
Matthias Ginter907.6—0112—
Max Rosenfelder906.5—0—232
Jordy Makengo906.6—0—192
Maximilian Eggestein906.9—01231
Johan Manzambi686.9—0119—
Jan-Niklas Beste686.9—0—141
Yuito Suzuki766.9—0214—
Derry Scherhant766.2—0171
Igor Matanović907.0—0—212
Cyriaque Irié226.3—0—21
Patrick Osterhage226.5—0—5—
Vincenzo Grifo146.6—0—5—
Lucas Höler146.5—0—1—
Bruno Ogbus126.5—011—
Florian Müller———————
Christian Günter———————
Anthony Jung———————
Nicolas Höfler———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Bundesliga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Bundesliga . Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Bayern München342851122368689
WWDWW
2Borussia Dortmund34227570343673
WWLWL
3RB Leipzig34205966471965
LWLWW
4VfB Stuttgart34188871492262
DWDDL
51899 Hoffenheim34187965521361
LWDWW
6Bayer Leverkusen34178968472159
DLWWL
7SC Freiburg34138135157-647
WLDLW
8Eintracht Frankfurt341111126165-444
DLLDL
9FC Augsburg34127154561-1643
LWWDW
10FSV Mainz 05341010144453-940
WLWLD
11Union Berlin34109154458-1439
WWDLL
12Borussia Mönchengladbach34911144253-1138
WLWDD
13Hamburger SV34911144054-1438
DWWLL
141. FC Köln34711164963-1432
LLDLD
15Werder Bremen3488183760-2332
LLLDW
16VfL Wolfsburg3478194569-2429
WLDDW
171. FC Heidenheim3468204172-3126
LWDWL
18FC St. Pauli3468202960-3126
LLLLD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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