Fortuna Düsseldorf
2/3Wins
1.0Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 2 available matches.
Inspect Fortuna Düsseldorf’s results
2. BundesligaMatchweek 20THE MATCH CENTREFortuna Düsseldorf vs SC Paderborn 07 match centre
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
S. Appelkamp64′
C. Itten83′
K. Okpala2′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Fortuna DüsseldorfSC Paderborn 07
0.790Expected goals · API-Football0.830
5Shots on target4
8Total Shots10
63%Ball Possession37%
7Corner Kicks1
10Fouls12
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
3Goalkeeper Saves3
549Total passes334
462Passes accurate251
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Fortuna Düsseldorf 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
SC Paderborn 07 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
SC Paderborn 07
1/2Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 1 available matches.
Inspect SC Paderborn 07’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
3 matchesResults2 wins · 0 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game0.7
Games with 3+ goals1 of 3
Both teams scored1 of 3
Only a few results are available.
SC Paderborn 07
2 matchesResults1 wins · 0 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals1 of 2
Both teams scored1 of 2
Only a few results are available.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Fortuna Düsseldorf at home with SC Paderborn 07 away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:34 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
2. Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Fortuna DüsseldorfSC Paderborn 07
19Matches played19
20Points earned36
6Wins11
0.9Goals scored / match1.6
1.5Goals conceded / match1.1
3Clean sheets6
7Failed to score3
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Fortuna Düsseldorf at home with SC Paderborn 07 away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Confirmed formation4-4-2Markus Anfang
- 33
F. KastenmeierG - 15
T. OberdorfD - 2
J. DalandD - 4
K. SchmidtD - 46
S. SusoD - 25
M. ZimmermannM - 8
A. El AzzouziM - 16
S. TanakaM - 24
F. MuslijaM - 23
S. AppelkampF - 13
C. IttenF
Substitutes (9)
1 · M. Lotka
30 · J. de Wijs
19 · E. Iyoha
12 · V. Lunddal
3 · C. Lenz
14 · S. Alexandropoulos
27 · J. Paulina
10 · C. Rasmussen
9 · Z. Celar
SC Paderborn 07
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Ralf Kettemann
- 41
D. SeimenG - 20
F. GotzeD - 25
T. SchellerD - 22
M. HansenD - 17
L. CurdaM - 14
M. BaurM - 5
S. CastanedaM - 23
R. ObermairM - 11
S. MichelF - 26
S. KlaasF - 10
K. Okpala
Substitutes (8)
1 · M. Schubert
3 · J. Sticker
2 · R. Muller
6 · L. Engelns
8 · D. Kinsombi
9 · N. Batzner
27 · S. Tigges
30 · S. Marino
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Fortuna Düsseldorf
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Kastenmeier | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 45 | — |
| Tim Christopher Oberdorf | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 68 | 1 |
| Jesper Daland | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 67 | 3 |
| Kenneth Schmidt | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 80 | 4 |
| Sima Suso | 59 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 1 |
| Matthias Zimmermann | 59 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 3 |
| Anouar El Azzouzi | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 56 | 2 |
| Satoshi Tanaka | 90 | 8.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 52 | 5 |
| Florent Muslija | 90 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | 54 | — |
| Shinta Karl Appelkamp | 88 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 1 |
| Cédric Itten | 85 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | — |
| Valgeir Lunddal | 31 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 |
| Christopher Lenz | 31 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 |
| Žan Celar | 10 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Sotiris Alexandropoulos | 2 | — | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Marcel Lotka | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emmanuel Iyoha | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jordy de Wijs | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Rasmussen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jordi Paulina | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
SC Paderborn 07
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Seimen | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 38 | — |
| Felix Götze | 85 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Tjark Lasse Scheller | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 36 | 1 |
| Mattes Hansen | 72 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 43 | 1 |
| Laurin Curda | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1 |
| Mika Baur | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 1 |
| Santiago Castaneda | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Raphael Obermair | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 31 | 3 |
| Sven Michel | 66 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 21 | 2 |
| Sebastian Klaas | 79 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 26 | 1 |
| Kennedy Okpala | 45 | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | — |
| Nick Bätzner | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | — |
| Steffen Tigges | 45 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Jonah Sticker | 24 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 1 |
| David Kinsombi | 11 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Stefano Marino | 10 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Markus Schubert | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ruben Müller | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luis Engelns | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗2. Bundesliga table
Current standings · 2. Bundesliga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Schalke 04 | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 50 | 31 | 19 | 70 | WLWWW |
| 2 |  SV Elversberg | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 62 | WLWDW |
| 3 | SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 59 | 45 | 14 | 62 | WDLLD |
| 4 |  Hannover 96 | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 60 | DDDWD |
| 5 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 57 | 45 | 12 | 52 | LDLDL |
| 6 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | 16 | 4 | 14 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 52 | WWLLL |
| 7 |  Hertha BSC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 47 | 44 | 3 | 51 | LWLLD |
| 8 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 45 | 2 | 46 | DWDWD |
| 9 |  VfL Bochum | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 44 | WDDWL |
| 10 |  Karlsruher SC | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 53 | 64 | -11 | 44 | LDWLL |
| 11 |  Dynamo Dresden | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 41 | WLWLW |
| 12 |  Holstein Kiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 41 | LLWWW |
| 13 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 39 | WLDWD |
| 14 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | 12 | 3 | 19 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 39 | LWWLW |
| 15 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 37 | LWLWD |
| 16 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 49 | 68 | -19 | 37 | WLDLW |
| 17 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 37 | LWLWL |
| 18 |  Preußen Münster | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 30 | LDDLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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