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FC Schalke 04 vs Arminia Bielefeld match centre

FC Schalke 04 badgeFC Schalke 04Home · 1 in league
LDWWD
Momentum↗ Rising57/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Arminia Bielefeld badgeArminia BielefeldAway · 13 in league
DWWLL
Momentum↘ Falling42/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
E. Dzeko15′
Veltins Arena · GelsenkirchenSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate96.4%FC Schalke 04
Draw3.5%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Arminia Bielefeld
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: FC Schalke 04 4.4% · no further goal 91.9% · Arminia Bielefeld 3.6%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
FC Schalke 04Arminia Bielefeld
9Corner Kicks2
7Fouls11
0Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves7
262Total passes323
151Passes accurate213

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

2. Bundesliga

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1FC Schalke 0435+2073—
2SV Elversberg34+2562—
3SC Paderborn 0734+1462—
4Hannover 9634+1660—
5SV Darmstadt 9834+1252—
61. FC Kaiserslautern34+552—
7Hertha BSC34+351—
81. FC Nürnberg34+246—
9VfL Bochum34+244—
10Karlsruher SC34-1144—
11Dynamo Dresden34+141—
12Holstein Kiel34-441—
13Arminia Bielefeld35+139—
141. FC Magdeburg34-639—
15Eintracht Braunschweig34-1837—
16SpVgg Greuther Fürth34-1937—
17Fortuna Düsseldorf34-2037—
18Preußen Münster34-2330—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

FC Schalke 04 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Arminia Bielefeld 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

FC Schalke 04

2/7Wins
1.7Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect FC Schalke 04’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare FC Schalke 04 at home with Arminia Bielefeld away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:56 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

2. Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches

FC Schalke 04Arminia Bielefeld
24Matches played24
47Points earned27
14Wins7
1.4Goals scored / match1.5
0.9Goals conceded / match1.4
10Clean sheets6
5Failed to score5

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares FC Schalke 04 at home with Arminia Bielefeld away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

FC Schalke 04

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Miron Muslic
  1. 22K. MullerG
  2. 5T. BeckerD
  3. 43M. AyhanD
  4. 4H. KurucayD
  5. 16M. N'DiayeD
  6. 23S. El-FaouziM
  7. 6R. SchallenbergM
  8. 21D. LjubicicM
  9. 19K. KaramanM
  10. 24A. AouchicheM
  11. 10E. DzekoF
Substitutes (9)

32 · L. Podlech

14 · J. Bachmann

9 · M. Sylla

2 · F. Sanchez

37 · M. Gruger

47 · Z. Amoussou-Tchibara

45 · M. Khadr

7 · C. Gomis

35 · M. Wallentowitz

Arminia Bielefeld

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Michel Kniat
  1. 1J. KerskenG
  2. 27B. BoakyeD
  3. 5M. BauerD
  4. 31R. KnocheD
  5. 17A. SickerD
  6. 21S. RussoM
  7. 6M. CorbozM
  8. 11J. GrodowskiM
  9. 38M. WorlM
  10. 22J. RocheltM
  11. 28R. UldrikisF
Substitutes (9)

18 · L. Oppermann

8 · S. Schreck

7 · S. Telalovic

2 · F. Hagmann

10 · M. Mehlem

37 · N. Sarenren Bazee

24 · C. Lannert

19 · M. Grosser

44 · E. Yasar

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

FC Schalke 04

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Kevin Müller907.3—0—24—
Timo Becker907.5—02205
Mertcan Ayhan906.6—01261
Hasan Kuruçay907.2—0—25—
Moussa Ndiaye787.2—0—251
Soufiane El-Faouzi907.3—03223
Ron Schallenberg908.0—01382
Dejan Ljubičić786.9—0—141
Kenan Karaman896.2—0316—
Adil Aouchiche888.3—0225—
Edin Džeko888.0105271
Felipe Sánchez126.9—0—4—
Janik Bachmann126.7—0—7—
Moussa Sylla2——011—
Mika Wallentowitz2——0—2—
Christian Gomis1——0—2—
Luca Podlech———————
Mika Khadr———————
Max Grüger———————
Zaid Amoussou———————

Arminia Bielefeld

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Jonas Thomas Kersken907.7—0—41—
Benjamin Boakye596.3—0—171
Maximilian Bauer906.7—0—39—
Robin Knoche907.2—0—44—
Arne Sicker907.2—0—411
Stefano Russo906.2—0—351
Mael Corboz596.2—0110—
Joel Grodowski896.9—02171
Marius Wörl716.2—0—231
Jannik Rochelt596.2—02211
Roberts Uldriķis907.3—0129—
Christopher Lannert317.3—0—102
Marvin Mehlem316.9—0—81
Noah Joel Sarenren Bazee316.5—016—
Eyyub Yasar196.6—0—51
Semir Telalović1——0—2—
Leo Oppermann———————
Maximilian Großer———————
Felix Hagmann———————
Sam Schreck———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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