Holstein Kiel
2/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Holstein Kiel’s results
2. BundesligaMatchweek 26THE MATCH CENTREHolstein Kiel vs 1. FC Nürnberg match centre
90′ · Live
2:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
A. Kapralik29′
K. Davidsen45+8′
J. Justvan14′
J. Justvan22′
M. A. Zoma72′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.1%Holstein Kiel
Draw4.5%at full time
Current result estimate95.4%1. FC Nürnberg
Another goal8.2%before full time
Next goal: Holstein Kiel 4.7% · no further goal 91.8% · 1. FC Nürnberg 3.5%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Holstein Kiel1. FC Nürnberg
2.870Expected goals · API-Football1.220
7Shots on target5
18Total Shots9
61%Ball Possession39%
7Corner Kicks1
18Fouls13
3Yellow Cards5
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves4
457Total passes296
383Passes accurate211
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
2. BundesligaProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Schalke 04 | 34 | +19 | 70 | — |
| 2 |  SV Elversberg | 34 | +25 | 62 | — |
| 3 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 34 | +14 | 62 | — |
| 4 |  Hannover 96 | 34 | +16 | 60 | — |
| 5 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | +12 | 52 | — |
| 6 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 34 | +5 | 52 | — |
| 7 |  Hertha BSC | 34 | +3 | 51 | — |
| 8 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 35 | +3 | 49 | — |
| 9 |  VfL Bochum | 34 | +2 | 44 | — |
| 10 |  Karlsruher SC | 34 | -11 | 44 | — |
| 11 |  Dynamo Dresden | 34 | +1 | 41 | — |
| 12 | Holstein Kiel | 35 | -5 | 41 | — |
| 13 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | +2 | 39 | — |
| 14 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 34 | -6 | 39 | — |
| 15 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 34 | -18 | 37 | — |
| 16 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 34 | -19 | 37 | — |
| 17 |  Fortuna Düsseldorf | 34 | -20 | 37 | — |
| 18 |  Preußen Münster | 34 | -23 | 30 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Holstein Kiel 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
1. FC Nürnberg 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
1. FC Nürnberg
2/9Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect 1. FC Nürnberg’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Holstein Kiel
10 matchesResults2 wins · 2 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game1.8
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
SV Darmstadt 98Away · 2. Bundesliga0–2SV ElversbergHome · 2. Bundesliga1–1Karlsruher SCAway · 2. Bundesliga1–3FC Schalke 04Home · 2. Bundesliga1–2Hannover 96Away · 2. Bundesliga1–3VfB StuttgartHome · DFB Pokal0–3SpVgg Greuther FürthHome · 2. Bundesliga1–2Arminia BielefeldAway · 2. Bundesliga2–2SC Paderborn 07Home · 2. Bundesliga2–0VfL OsnabrückAway · Friendlies Clubs1–0
1. FC Nürnberg
9 matchesResults2 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals5 of 9
Both teams scored7 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Fortuna DüsseldorfHome · 2. Bundesliga0–1Hertha BSCAway · 2. Bundesliga1–2VfL BochumAway · 2. Bundesliga1–1Karlsruher SCHome · 2. Bundesliga5–1SC Paderborn 07Away · 2. Bundesliga1–2Preußen MünsterHome · 2. Bundesliga1–1SV Darmstadt 98Away · 2. Bundesliga0–2SV ElversbergHome · 2. Bundesliga3–2Karlsruher SCAway · 2. Bundesliga1–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Holstein Kiel at home with 1. FC Nürnberg away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:53 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
2. Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches
Holstein Kiel1. FC Nürnberg
25Matches played25
25Points earned30
6Wins8
1.2Goals scored / match1.2
1.5Goals conceded / match1.4
5Clean sheets2
4Failed to score8
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Holstein Kiel at home with 1. FC Nürnberg away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Holstein Kiel
Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Tim Walter
- 1
T. WeinerG - 13
I. NekicD - 26
D. ZecD - 6
M. IvezicD - 47
J. TolkinD - 28
J. MeffertM - 11
A. BernhardssonM - 15
K. DavidsenM - 8
U. TohumcuM - 10
J. TherkelsenM - 20
A. KapralikF
Substitutes (9)
21 · J. Krumrey
3 · M. Komenda
29 · N. Niehoff
2 · F. Roslyng
7 · S. Skrzybski
22 · S. Schwab
23 · L. Rosenboom
19 · P. Harres
18 · A. Jakupovic
1. FC Nürnberg
Confirmed formation4-4-2Miroslav Klose
- 1
J. ReichertG - 8
H. KoudossouD - 28
T. BuchmannD - 24
L. LochoshviliD - 21
B. YilmazD - 22
R. NzingoulaM - 6
A. MarkhievM - 5
T. BaackM - 18
R. LubachM - 23
M. A. ZomaF - 10
J. JustvanF
Substitutes (9)
26 · C. Mathenia
33 · A. Grimaldi
25 · F. O. Becker
39 · P. Scobel
44 · S. Mkrtchyan
20 · J. Fernandez
32 · T. Janisch
37 · N. Maboulou
41 · E. Porstner
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Holstein Kiel
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timon Weiner | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 49 | — |
| Ivan Nekić | 77 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 42 | — |
| David Zec | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 64 | 3 |
| Marko Ivezić | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 63 | 1 |
| John Tolkin | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 61 | 2 |
| Jonas Meffert | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 50 | 1 |
| Alexander Bernhardsson | 71 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 15 | — |
| Kasper Davidsen | 77 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 2 |
| Umut Tohumcu | 60 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1 |
| Jonas Therkelsen | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 24 | — |
| Adrián Kaprálik | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 1 |
| Steven Skrzybski | 30 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | 1 |
| Phil Harres | 19 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Stefan Schwab | 13 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Lasse Rosenboom | 13 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Jonas Krumrey | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Frederik Roslyng | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Komenda | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Niklas Niehoff | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aldin Jakupovic | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
1. FC Nürnberg
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Reichert | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 38 | 1 |
| Henri Koudossou | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 29 | 3 |
| Tarek Buchmann | 86 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 27 | 1 |
| Luka Lochoshvili | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 37 | 1 |
| Berkay Yılmaz | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 29 | 1 |
| Rabby Nzingoula | 45 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 |
| Adam Markhiev | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 37 | 5 |
| Tom Baack | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 2 |
| Rafael Lubach | 66 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 1 |
| Mohamed Ali Zoma | 90 | 8.9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
| Julian Justvan | 79 | 8.5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 1 |
| Noah Le Bret Maboulou | 41 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Finn Ole Becker | 24 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | 6 | — |
| Styopa Mkrtchyan | 11 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Javier Fernandez | 10 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 2 | 1 |
| Piet Scobel | 10 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Christian Mathenia | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eric Porstner | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tim Janisch | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adriano Grimaldi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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