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BundesligaMatchweek 20THE MATCH CENTRE

Sturm Graz vs FC BW Linz match centre

Sturm Graz badgeSturm GrazHome · 2 in league
LWLWL
Momentum→ Steady40/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
FC BW Linz badgeFC BW LinzAway
DDLLW
Momentum↗ Rising36/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
B. Beganovic34′ (pen)
Venue to be confirmedSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Sturm GrazFC BW Linz
3Corner Kicks10
16Fouls9
5Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
3Goalkeeper Saves3
217Total passes320
134Passes accurate221

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Sturm Graz 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

FC BW Linz 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Sturm Graz

2/5Wins
0.6Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 2 available matches.

Inspect Sturm Graz’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

FC BW Linz

1/7Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect FC BW Linz’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

FC BW Linz

7 matches
Oldest newest
Results1 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals3 of 7
Both teams scored5 of 7

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Sturm Graz at home with FC BW Linz away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 06:48 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches

Sturm GrazFC BW Linz
19Matches played19
31Points earned14
10Wins4
1.5Goals scored / match0.9
1.3Goals conceded / match1.6
7Clean sheets3
2Failed to score9

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Sturm Graz at home with FC BW Linz away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Sturm Graz

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Fabio Ingolitsch
  1. 40M. BignettiG
  2. 5A. VallciD
  3. 2J. MitchellD
  4. 30P. KollerD
  5. 43J. HodlM
  6. 80R. FossoM
  7. 4J. Gorenc StankovicM
  8. 23A. MalicM
  9. 26B. BeganovicF
  10. 15G. MamageishviliF
  11. 20S. JattaF
Substitutes (9)

41 · E. Lorenz

17 · E. Karic

77 · M. Malone

8 · F. Rozga

39 · L. Weinhandl

25 · S. Hierlander

47 · E. Aiwu

9 · R. Wilson

11 · A. Kayombo

FC BW Linz

Confirmed formation3-4-3Michael Kollner
  1. 58N. MantlG
  2. 22D. RieglerD
  3. 15M. MarandaD
  4. 16M. MoormannD
  5. 5I. DahlqvistM
  6. 19A. BriedlM
  7. 26C. CondeM
  8. 23D. BumbergerM
  9. 6M. FofanaF
  10. 18S. WeissmanF
  11. 20S. SeidlF
Substitutes (9)

13 · V. Oelz

9 · Ronivaldo

14 · C. Cvetko

60 · S. Pirkl

2 · F. Strauss

29 · D. Reiter

17 · A. Pasic

10 · P. Mensah

7 · J. Knollmuller

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Sturm Graz

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Matteo Bignetti906.7—0—26—
Albert Vallci907.2—01221
Jeyland Mitchell907.9—0—152
Paul-Friedrich Koller907.5—0223—
Jacob Hödl796.7—01162
Ryan Fosso907.2—03184
Jon Gorenc Stanković907.7—0—33—
Arjan Malić906.6—0—244
Belmin Beganović686.91018—
Gizo Mamageishvili676.9—0217—
Seedy Jatta676.6—0162
Filip Rózga226.7—0—21
Axel Kayombo236.5—0—2—
Maurice Malone226.2—0—5—
Emir Karić117.2—0—1—
Emanuel Aiwu1——0———
Elias Lorenz———————
Luca Weinhandl———————
Stefan Hierländer———————
Rory Wilson———————

FC BW Linz

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Nico Mantl907.3—0—39—
David Riegler906.6—01391
Manuel Maranda906.9—0—40—
Martin Moormann906.6—0—413
Isak Dahlqvist906.9—0—211
Alexander Briedl906.3—02171
Cheick Oumar Condé706.5—0—16—
David Bumberger906.7—01282
Mamadou Fofana906.3—0—191
Shon Weissman905.2—0220—
Simon Seidl907.5—0333—
Ronivaldo206.7—016—
Valentin Oelz———————
Fabio Varesi-Strauss———————
Alem Pašić———————
Christopher Cvetko———————
Simon Pirkl———————
Dominik Reiter———————
Jakob Knollmuller———————
Paul Mensah———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Bundesliga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Bundesliga , Championship Round. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Lask Linz32177856421439
WWWWD
2Sturm Graz32168851351637
WWDDD
3Red Bull Salzburg321391056411529
LLDLW
4Austria Vienna32145134550-529
LWWDL
5Rapid Vienna32128123641-527
LLLWL
6TSV Hartberg321012104040025
WLLLW
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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