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BundesligaMatchweek 21THE MATCH CENTRE

Grazer AK vs Ried match centre

Grazer AK badgeGrazer AKHome · 11 in league
WLDDL
Momentum↘ Falling28/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Ried badgeRiedAway · 9 in league
DWLDD
Momentum→ Steady39/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
A. Hofleitner7′
R. Harakate26′
L. Graf90+2′ (og)
Merkur-Arena · GrazSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate95.2%Grazer AK
Draw4.7%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Ried
Another goal7.3%before full time

Next goal: Grazer AK 2.4% · no further goal 92.7% · Ried 4.9%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Grazer AKRied
3Corner Kicks2
11Fouls13
5Yellow Cards3
1Red Cards0
1Goalkeeper Saves1
319Total passes416
248Passes accurate346

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Bundesliga

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Sturm Graz22+738—
2Red Bull Salzburg22+1637—
3Lask Linz22+237—
4Austria Vienna22+436—
5TSV Hartberg22+533↑ 1
6Rapid Vienna22+133↓ 1
7WSG Wattens22+131—
8SCR Altach22-129—
9Ried23-528—
10Wolfsberger AC22-126—
11Grazer AK23-1323—
12FC BW Linz22-1615—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Grazer AK 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Ried 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Grazer AK

2/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Grazer AK’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Ried

5/9Wins
1.7Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Ried’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Grazer AK at home with Ried away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:20 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Bundesliga · 2025/26 · all league matches

Grazer AKRied
20Matches played20
17Points earned28
3Wins8
1.0Goals scored / match1.3
1.7Goals conceded / match1.3
2Clean sheets5
7Failed to score6

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Grazer AK at home with Ried away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Grazer AK

Confirmed formation3-1-4-2Ferdinand Feldhofer
  1. 12F. StolzG
  2. 82B. OwusuD
  3. 2D. PinesD
  4. 3L. Vraa-JensenD
  5. 6M. OlesenM
  6. 14J. ItalianoM
  7. 20T. SchrieblM
  8. 10C. LichtenbergerM
  9. 32L. KlassenM
  10. 22R. HarakateF
  11. 25A. HofleitnerF
Substitutes (9)

98 · F. Ehmann

1 · J. Meierhofer

4 · M. Kreuzriegler

28 · D. Frieser

11 · M. Grosse

15 · L. Graf

24 · T. Paumgartner

40 · F. Kunst

30 · F. Reiner

Ried

Confirmed formation3-1-4-2Maximilian Senft
  1. 1A. LeitnerG
  2. 5N. HavenaarD
  3. 23M. SollbauerD
  4. 30O. SteurerD
  5. 6Y. MaartM
  6. 12A. BajicM
  7. 28N. BajliczM
  8. 26J. MayerM
  9. 17P. PomerM
  10. 13P. KiedlF
  11. 29A. van WykF
Substitutes (9)

77 · F. Wimmer

3 · J. Scherzer

25 · D. Kirnbauer

19 · J. Nasrawe

24 · C. Wernitznig

9 · S. Sane

8 · M. Rasner

47 · E. E. Aisowieren

18 · J. Boguo

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Grazer AK

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Franz Stolz907.2—0—36—
Beres Owusu906.6—0—411
Donovan Pines906.9—0—352
Ludwig Vraa-Jensen906.6—0—422
Mathias Olesen906.7—0—432
Jacob Italiano897.2—02144
Thorsten Schriebl907.2—1—283
Christian Lichtenberger716.6—0—271
Leon Klassen907.6—01261
Ramiz Harakate817.510271
Alexander Hofleitner907.2102171
Mark Große225.9—0—3—
Dominik Frieser96.3—0—2—
Lukas Graf95.9—0—1—
Fabian Ehmann———————
Jakob Meierhofer———————
Felix Kunst———————
Martin Kreuzriegler———————
Tim Paumgartner———————
Florian Reiner———————

Ried

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Andreas Leitner906.7—0—29—
Nikki Havenaar907.5—0—463
Michael Sollbauer906.3—0—483
Oliver Steurer906.7—0251—
Yusuf Maart657.2—0—38—
Ante Bajić906.9—01212
Nicolas Bajlicz656.3—0—371
Jonas Mayer456.0—0—122
Philipp Pomer776.9—01333
Peter Kiedl905.9—0—15—
Antonio Van Wyk776.9—0123—
Yussef Nasrawe456.7—0—282
Martin Rasner256.3—0—20—
Christopher Wernitznig256.9—0—181
Joris Boguo136.7—0—4—
Saliou Sané136.2—0—3—
Felix Wimmer———————
Jonathan Scherzer———————
Dominik Kirnbauer———————
Evan Eghosa———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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