Skip to content

Mexico vs Honduras match centre

Mexico badgeMexicoHome · 1 in league
WWWD
Momentum↘ Falling79/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Honduras badgeHondurasAway
WLWWD
Momentum→ Steady66/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
R. Jiménez50′
Levi's Stadium · Santa Clara, CaliforniaSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
MexicoHonduras
2Corner Kicks5
11Fouls12
5Yellow Cards4
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves2
443Total passes338
373Passes accurate252

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Mexico 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Honduras 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Mexico

3/4Wins
2.3Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Mexico’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Honduras

6/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 7 available matches.

Inspect Honduras’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Mexico at home with Honduras away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:54 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

CONCACAF Gold Cup · 2025/26 · all league matches

MexicoHonduras
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Mexico at home with Honduras away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Mexico

Confirmed formation4-3-3Javier Aguirre Onaindía
  1. 1L. MalagónG
  2. 22J. AraujoD
  3. 3C. MontesD
  4. 5J. VásquezD
  5. 26M. ChávezD
  6. 7G. MoraM
  7. 4Edson ÁlvarezM
  8. 14M. RuízM
  9. 25R. AlvaradoF
  10. 9R. JiménezF
  11. 10A. VegaF
Substitutes (12)

6 · É. Lira

17 · O. Pineda

11 · S. Giménez

21 · C. Huerta

19 · J. Orozco

2 · J. Sánchez

13 · G. Ochoa

15 · I. Reyes

18 · Á. Sepúlveda

20 · Efraín Álvarez

12 · R. Rangel

8 · C. Rodríguez

Honduras

Confirmed formation4-4-2Reinaldo Rueda Rivera
  1. 1E. MenjívarG
  2. 26L. SantamaríaD
  3. 2D. MaldonadoD
  4. 3J. MartínezD
  5. 8J. RosalesD
  6. 18D. RamírezM
  7. 5K. ArriagaM
  8. 20D. FloresM
  9. 12R. QuiotoM
  10. 23J. ÁlvarezF
  11. 9A. LozanoF
Substitutes (12)

16 · E. Rodríguez

19 · C. Pineda

21 · Y. Arboleda

17 · L. Palma

4 · L. Vega

10 · A. López

7 · J. Pinto

24 · R. García

15 · G. Montes

25 · M. Licona

14 · A. Vega

22 · L. López

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Mexico

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Luis Malagón906.9—0—41—
Julián Araujo907.2—0—29—
César Montes907.5—0—77—
Johan Vásquez907.0—0182—
Mateo Chávez716.7—0—213
Gilberto Mora777.7—1—283
Edson Álvarez907.0—0—421
Marcel Ruíz896.9—01363
Roberto Alvarado716.6—0326—
Raúl Jiménez897.0102251
Alexis Vega907.3—01225
Jesús Orozco196.9—0—7—
César Huerta196.7—0—21
Santiago Giménez136.3—0—3—
Erik Lira86.3—0———
Orbelín Pineda96.9—0—2—
Raúl Rangel———————
Guillermo Ochoa———————
Israel Reyes———————
Jorge Sánchez———————
Efrain Alvarez———————
Carlos Rodríguez———————
Ángel Sepúlveda———————

Honduras

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Edrick Menjívar906.6—0—24—
Luis Crisanto906.3—0—20—
Denil Maldonado907.7—0—451
Julián Jose Martinez906.7—0—341
Joseph Rosales907.2—0—352
Dixon Ramírez906.7—0191
Kervin Arriaga906.3—0—481
Deybi Flores896.6—0—44—
Romell Quioto716.3—0—121
Jorge Álvarez847.0—01202
Anthony Lozano716.6—02161
Yustin Arboleda196.3—0—6—
Luis Palma196.7—0—81
Carlos Pineda166.7—0—11—
Edwin Rodríguez116.5—0—6—
Luis López———————
Marlon Licona———————
Getsel Montes———————
Luis Vega———————
Alexander López———————
Alexy Vega———————
José Mario Pinto———————
Raul Garcia———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

CONCACAF Gold Cup table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Group A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Mexico32105237
DWW
2Costa Rica32106427
DWW
3Dominican Republic301235-21
DLL
4Suriname301236-31
DLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

Try it with virtual funds

Open practice slip +

Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗

Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →