Oviedo
1/5Wins
1.4Goals / game
2.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 2 available matches.
Inspect Oviedo’s results
La LigaMatchweek 26THE MATCH CENTREOviedo vs Atletico Madrid match centre
90′ · Live
0:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Alvarez90+4′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.1%Oviedo
Draw4.8%at full time
Current result estimate95.0%Atletico Madrid
Another goal8.2%before full time
Next goal: Oviedo 5.1% · no further goal 91.8% · Atletico Madrid 3.2%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.OviedoAtletico Madrid
1.090Expected goals · API-Football0.970
6Shots on target1
16Total Shots11
39%Ball Possession61%
8Corner Kicks2
12Fouls6
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves6
358Total passes583
276Passes accurate499
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Primera DivisiónProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | +59 | 94 | — |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 38 | +42 | 86 | — |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 38 | +26 | 72 | — |
| 4 |  Atletico Madrid | 39 | +19 | 72 | — |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 38 | +11 | 60 | — |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 38 | +5 | 54 | — |
| 7 |  Getafe | 38 | -6 | 51 | — |
| 8 |  Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -3 | 50 | — |
| 9 |  Valencia | 38 | -9 | 49 | — |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad | 38 | -2 | 46 | — |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 38 | -12 | 46 | — |
| 12 |  Athletic Club | 38 | -15 | 45 | — |
| 13 |  Elche | 38 | -8 | 43 | ↑ 2 |
| 14 |  Alaves | 38 | -12 | 43 | — |
| 15 |  Sevilla | 38 | -14 | 43 | ↓ 2 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 38 | -6 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 17 |  Mallorca | 38 | -10 | 42 | ↑ 1 |
| 18 |  Levante | 38 | -14 | 42 | ↓ 2 |
| 19 |  Girona | 38 | -16 | 41 | — |
| 20 | Oviedo | 39 | -35 | 29 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Oviedo 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Atletico Madrid 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Atletico Madrid
5/10Wins
2.4Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Atletico Madrid’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Oviedo
5 matchesResults1 wins · 1 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game2.2
Games with 3+ goals4 of 5
Both teams scored3 of 5
Past results, not predictions.
Atletico Madrid
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game2.4
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Club Brugge KVHome · UEFA Champions League4–1EspanyolHome · La Liga4–2Club Brugge KVAway · UEFA Champions League3–3Rayo VallecanoAway · La Liga0–3BarcelonaHome · Copa del Rey4–0Real BetisHome · La Liga0–1Real BetisAway · Copa del Rey5–0LevanteAway · La Liga0–0Bodo/GlimtHome · UEFA Champions League1–2MallorcaHome · La Liga3–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Oviedo at home with Atletico Madrid away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 07:04 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
La Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
OviedoAtletico Madrid
24Matches played25
17Points earned48
3Wins14
0.7Goals scored / match1.7
1.7Goals conceded / match0.9
6Clean sheets10
14Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Oviedo at home with Atletico Madrid away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Oviedo
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Guillermo Almada Alves Jorge
- 13
A. EscandellG - 22
N. VidalD - 12
D. CalvoD - 16
D. CarmoD - 25
J. LopezD - 6
K. SiboM - 23
N. FonsecaM - 10
H. HassanM - 5
A. ReinaM - 7
I. ChairaM - 9
F. VinasF
Substitutes (12)
1 · H. Moldovan
24 · L. Ahijado
3 · R. Alhassane
33 · Espi
8 · S. Cazorla
11 · S. Colombatto
20 · L. Dendoncker
21 · L. Ilic
27 · P. Agudin
17 · T. Borbas
15 · T. Fernandez
19 · A. Fores
Atletico Madrid
Confirmed formation4-4-2Diego Simeone
- 13
J. OblakG - 16
N. MolinaD - 2
J. M. GimenezD - 24
R. Le NormandD - 34
J. DiazD - 11
T. AlmadaM - 4
R. MendozaM - 5
J. CardosoM - 10
A. BaenaM - 9
A. SorlothF - 22
A. LookmanF
Substitutes (12)
1 · J. Musso
33 · M. de Luis
17 · D. Hancko
15 · C. Lenglet
18 · M. Pubill
3 · M. Ruggeri
14 · M. Llorente
6 · Koke
21 · O. Vargas
19 · J. Alvarez
7 · A. Griezmann
20 · G. Simeone
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Oviedo
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarón Escandell | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 36 | — |
| Nacho Vidal | 80 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 1 |
| Dani Calvo | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 42 | — |
| David Carmo | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 43 | 2 |
| Javi López | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 3 |
| Kwasi Sibo | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 33 | 6 |
| Nicolas Fonseca | 65 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 4 |
| Haissem Hassan | 72 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 2 |
| Alberto Reina | 80 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 34 | — |
| Ilyas Chaira | 72 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 19 | 3 |
| Federico Viñas | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 8 | 17 | 1 |
| Santiago Colombatto | 25 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Luka Ilić | 18 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 |
| Thiago Fernández | 18 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Lucas Ahijado | 10 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Santi Cazorla | 10 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Horațiu Moldovan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdel Rahim | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Espinosa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pablo Agudín | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leander Dendoncker | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Borbas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Álex Forés | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Atletico Madrid
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Oblak | 90 | 9.0 | — | 0 | — | 38 | — |
| Nahuel Molina | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 63 | 1 |
| José María Giménez | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 63 | 2 |
| Robin Le Normand | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 75 | — |
| Julio Díaz | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 47 | 2 |
| Thiago Almada | 72 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 41 | 1 |
| Rodrigo Mendoza | 61 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 43 | 1 |
| Johnny Cardoso | 61 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 47 | 3 |
| Alejandro Baena | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 61 | 1 |
| Alexander Sørloth | 61 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Ademola Lookman | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Julián Alvarez | 45 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 1 |
| Koke | 29 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Giuliano Simeone | 29 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Antoine Griezmann | 29 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| Marcos Llorente | 18 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 1 |
| Juan Musso | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mario de Luis | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Clément Lenglet | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dávid Hancko | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marc Pubill | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matteo Ruggeri | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Obed Vargas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST
Open practice slip +Try it with virtual funds
Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗
Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →