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3. LigaMatchweek 16THE MATCH CENTRE

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Hoffenheim II match centre

FC Ingolstadt 04 badgeFC Ingolstadt 04Home · 12 in league
Momentum→ Unavailable—
Full time
3:2
UK time · Europe/London
Hoffenheim II badgeHoffenheim IIAway · 16 in league
W
Momentum→ Limited sample100/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
M. Costly20′
M. Costly62′ (pen)
F. Carlsen76′
R. Reisig1′
Y. Hor49′
Audi Sportpark · IngolstadtSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
FC Ingolstadt 04Hoffenheim II
10Corner Kicks4
15Fouls15
0Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
4Goalkeeper Saves5
323Total passes527
235Passes accurate442

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

FC Ingolstadt 04 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Hoffenheim II 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

FC Ingolstadt 04

0 matches
Oldest newest
Results0 wins · 0 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game—
Goals conceded per game—
Games with 3+ goals—
Both teams scored—

Only a few results are available.

See results

Hoffenheim II

0 matches
Oldest newest
Results0 wins · 0 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game—
Goals conceded per game—
Games with 3+ goals—
Both teams scored—

Only a few results are available.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare FC Ingolstadt 04 at home with Hoffenheim II away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:03 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

3. Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches

FC Ingolstadt 04Hoffenheim II
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares FC Ingolstadt 04 at home with Hoffenheim II away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

FC Ingolstadt 04

Confirmed formation5-4-1Sabrina Wittmann
  1. 25K. EiseleG
  2. 2M. HoppeD
  3. 14M. PlathD
  4. 32S. LorenzD
  5. 15J. ScholzD
  6. 19L. RosenlocherD
  7. 22M. CostlyM
  8. 17M. BesuschkowM
  9. 8F. CarlsenM
  10. 24G. ChristensenM
  11. 29J. Kugel
Substitutes (9)

47 · D. Klein

4 · E. Decker

5 · E. Gul

7 · Y. Sturm

9 · M. Borchers

23 · J. Maljojoki

30 · O. Drakulic

33 · D. Sekulovic

34 · L. Frode

Hoffenheim II

Confirmed formation4-3-3Stefan Kleineheismann
  1. 1L. PeterssonG
  2. 24L. ErleinD
  3. 49Y. LuhrsD
  4. 6V. LassigD
  5. 16Y. HorD
  6. 11P. HennrichM
  7. 17R. ReisigM
  8. 10L. DuricM
  9. 7A. AmaimouniF
  10. 13D. Mokwa NtusuF
  11. 38D. ZeitlerF
Substitutes (9)

34 · Y. Onohiol

4 · L. Strobl

8 · D. Dagdeviren

9 · S. Kalambayi Mukuta

23 · A. Honajzer

30 · N. El-Jindaoui

40 · D. Donkor

45 · B. O. Labes

35 · J. Fields

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

FC Ingolstadt 04

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Kai Eisele907.200—270
Mattis Hoppe656.500—240
Max Plath906.600—400
Simon Lorenz906.900—350
Jonas Scholz907.2001281
Linus Rosenlöcher906.500—270
Marcel Costly909.3203270
Max Besuschkow906.9002280
Fredrik Carlsen909.2113410
Gustav Christensen907.0001250
Julian Kugel656.9002120
Ognjen Drakulic256.300—30
Yann Sturm256.901—60
Lukas Fröde1—00—00

Hoffenheim II

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Lukas Petersson907.300—480
Luca Erlein836.900—420
Yannik Lührs907.2003760
Valentin Lässig907.7101920
Yannis Hor907.2102420
Paul Hennrich746.9001220
Ruben Reisig836.600—390
Luka Duric906.6001500
Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab908.0011430
David Mokwa657.0001160
Deniz Zeitler836.200—240
Ben Labes256.300—40
Diren Dağdeviren166.500—140
Lars Strobl76.700—60
Alex Honajzer76.300—30
Jykese Fields76.300—40
2025/26 STANDINGS

3. Liga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · 3. Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1VfL Osnabrück38248666343280
WDWWW
2Energie Cottbus38219872512172
WWLWW
3Rot-Weiß Essen382010878661270
WWLLL
4MSV Duisburg381911866491768
DDWLW
5Hansa Rostock381813774492567
WWDLD
6Verl3818101082483464
WLWLW
7Alemannia Aachen381971276571964
WWDWW
8TSV 1860 München381511125453156
LLDWD
9SV Wehen38158155452253
WLLDD
10Waldhof Mannheim38157165972-1352
LWLDD
11FC Viktoria Köln38156175153-251
DLWLL
12FC Ingolstadt 04381310156556949
WWLWL
13SSV Jahn Regensburg38147175458-449
LLWWL
14Stuttgart II38137185769-1246
LLWLD
15FC Saarbrücken381014145157-644
LLWWD
16Hoffenheim II38127196571-643
LWLLL
17Havelse3898215789-3235
LWLWL
18Erzgebirge Aue38713185170-1934
WDWDD
19SSV Ulm 18463896234978-2933
LDLLW
20FC Schweinfurt 053856273887-4921
LLDDD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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