MSV Duisburg
3/5Wins
2.0Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 2 available matches.
Inspect MSV Duisburg’s results
3. LigaMatchweek 23THE MATCH CENTREMSV Duisburg vs Verl match centre
Full time
4:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
L. Lobinger2′
D. Borkowski35′
L. Lobinger45′
P. Sussek47′
O. Mhamdi4′
J. Stark74′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
MSV DuisburgVerl
0.580Expected goals · API-Football2.110
Shots on target
Total Shots
Ball Possession
Corner Kicks
Fouls
4Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
Goalkeeper Saves
Total passes
Passes accurate
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
MSV Duisburg 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Verl 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Verl
2/3Wins
3.3Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 1 available matches.
Inspect Verl’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
MSV Duisburg
5 matchesResults3 wins · 1 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game0.6
Games with 3+ goals2 of 5
Both teams scored2 of 5
Past results, not predictions.
Verl
3 matchesResults2 wins · 0 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game3.3
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals3 of 3
Both teams scored2 of 3
Only a few results are available.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare MSV Duisburg at home with Verl away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:57 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
3. Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
MSV DuisburgVerl
22Matches played22
40Points earned41
11Wins11
1.7Goals scored / match2.5
1.1Goals conceded / match1.4
8Clean sheets4
5Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares MSV Duisburg at home with Verl away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
MSV Duisburg
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Dietmar Hirsch
- 1
M. BrauneG - 29
J. BitterD - 5
T. FlecksteinD - 40
B. SchlickeD - 25
D. BorkowskiM - 6
R. BulicM - 8
A. CasarM - 37
P. SussekM - 23
J. SymallaM - 27
C. CoskunM - 45
L. LobingerF
Substitutes (9)
24 · J. Paris
7 · J. Bookjans
14 · C. Noss
18 · S. Meuer
19 · L. Muller
20 · N. Jessen
26 · F. Kruger
31 · D. Kother
33 · J. Tugbenyo
Verl
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Tobias Strobl
- 1
P. SchulzeG - 20
O. MhamdiD - 5
M. Ens - 34
F. OttoD - 19
N. KijewskiD - 6
J. EzeM - 8
D. WaidnerM - 30
T. GayretM - 28
Y. OttoM - 23
A. BesioM - 10
B. TazF
Substitutes (9)
32 · F. Pekruhl
21 · T. Knost
14 · P. Lehmann
24 · M. Stocker
35 · A. Foti
7 · J. Stark
18 · F. Wessig
9 · J. Arweiler
11 · M. Worner
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
MSV Duisburg
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maximilian Braune | 90 | 7.5 | 0 | 0 | — | 14 | 0 |
| Joshua Bitter | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 15 | 0 |
| Tobias Fleckstein | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 14 | 0 |
| Ben Schlicke | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 9 | 0 |
| Dennis Borkowski | 45 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Rasim Bulić | 64 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | — | 11 | 0 |
| Aljaž Casar | 73 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 8 | 0 |
| Patrick Sussek | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 2 |
| Jan-Simon Symalla | 73 | 7.5 | 0 | 2 | — | 10 | 1 |
| Can Coskun | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 6 | 0 |
| Lex-Tyger Lobinger | 64 | 8.2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| Niklas Jessen | 45 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 5 | 0 |
| Leon Müller | 26 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 5 | 0 |
| Dominik Kother | 26 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| Jesse Edem Tugbenyo | 17 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| Conor Noß | 17 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | — | 6 | 0 |
Verl
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philipp Schulze | 90 | 5.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 33 | 0 |
| Oualid Mhamdi | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 71 | 0 |
| Martin Ens | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 93 | 0 |
| Fynn Otto | 84 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 91 | 0 |
| Niko Kijewski | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 66 | 0 |
| Joshua Eze | 63 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 58 | 0 |
| Dennis Waidner | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 59 | 0 |
| Timur Gayret | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 95 | 0 |
| Yari Otto | 46 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 15 | 0 |
| Alessio Besio | 84 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 38 | 0 |
| Berkan Taz | 71 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 44 | 0 |
| Jonas Arweiler | 44 | 7.3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Marco Wörner | 27 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 4 | 0 |
| Julian Stark | 19 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| António Fóti | 6 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 1 | 0 |
| Fabian Wessig | 6 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 16 | 0 |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗3. Liga table
Current standings · 3. Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  VfL Osnabrück | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 66 | 34 | 32 | 80 | WDWWW |
| 2 |  Energie Cottbus | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 72 | 51 | 21 | 72 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Rot-Weiß Essen | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 78 | 66 | 12 | 70 | WWLLL |
| 4 | MSV Duisburg | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 66 | 49 | 17 | 68 | DDWLW |
| 5 |  Hansa Rostock | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 74 | 49 | 25 | 67 | WWDLD |
| 6 | Verl | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 82 | 48 | 34 | 64 | WLWLW |
| 7 |  Alemannia Aachen | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 76 | 57 | 19 | 64 | WWDWW |
| 8 |  TSV 1860 München | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 56 | LLDWD |
| 9 |  SV Wehen | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 52 | 2 | 53 | WLLDD |
| 10 |  Waldhof Mannheim | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 59 | 72 | -13 | 52 | LWLDD |
| 11 |  FC Viktoria Köln | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 51 | 53 | -2 | 51 | DLWLL |
| 12 |  FC Ingolstadt 04 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 49 | WWLWL |
| 13 |  SSV Jahn Regensburg | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 49 | LLWWL |
| 14 |  Stuttgart II | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 57 | 69 | -12 | 46 | LLWLD |
| 15 |  FC Saarbrücken | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 51 | 57 | -6 | 44 | LLWWD |
| 16 |  Hoffenheim II | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 65 | 71 | -6 | 43 | LWLLL |
| 17 |  Havelse | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 57 | 89 | -32 | 35 | LWLWL |
| 18 |  Erzgebirge Aue | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 51 | 70 | -19 | 34 | WDWDD |
| 19 |  SSV Ulm 1846 | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 33 | LDLLW |
| 20 |  FC Schweinfurt 05 | 38 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 38 | 87 | -49 | 21 | LLDDD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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