TSV 1860 München
3/7Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect TSV 1860 München’s results
3. LigaMatchweek 27THE MATCH CENTRETSV 1860 München vs Erzgebirge Aue match centre
85′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Wolfram7′
S. Haugen50′
M. Bar12′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
85′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
Waiting for shots and shots-on-target data
TSV 1860 MünchenErzgebirge Aue
2.280Expected goals · API-Football3.540
Shots on target
Total Shots
Ball Possession
Corner Kicks
Fouls
1Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards0
Goalkeeper Saves
Total passes
Passes accurate
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
3. LigaProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  VfL Osnabrück | 38 | +32 | 80 | — |
| 2 |  Energie Cottbus | 38 | +21 | 72 | — |
| 3 |  Rot-Weiß Essen | 38 | +12 | 70 | — |
| 4 |  MSV Duisburg | 38 | +17 | 68 | — |
| 5 |  Hansa Rostock | 38 | +25 | 67 | — |
| 6 |  Verl | 38 | +34 | 64 | — |
| 7 |  Alemannia Aachen | 38 | +19 | 64 | — |
| 8 | TSV 1860 München | 39 | +2 | 59 | — |
| 9 |  SV Wehen | 38 | +2 | 53 | — |
| 10 |  Waldhof Mannheim | 38 | -13 | 52 | — |
| 11 |  FC Viktoria Köln | 38 | -2 | 51 | — |
| 12 |  FC Ingolstadt 04 | 38 | +9 | 49 | — |
| 13 |  SSV Jahn Regensburg | 38 | -4 | 49 | — |
| 14 |  Stuttgart II | 38 | -12 | 46 | — |
| 15 |  FC Saarbrücken | 38 | -6 | 44 | — |
| 16 |  Hoffenheim II | 38 | -6 | 43 | — |
| 17 |  Havelse | 38 | -32 | 35 | — |
| 18 |  Erzgebirge Aue | 39 | -20 | 34 | — |
| 19 |  SSV Ulm 1846 | 38 | -29 | 33 | — |
| 20 |  FC Schweinfurt 05 | 38 | -49 | 21 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
TSV 1860 München 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Erzgebirge Aue 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Erzgebirge Aue
0/7Wins
0.9Goals / game
2.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Erzgebirge Aue’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
TSV 1860 München
7 matchesResults3 wins · 3 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals4 of 7
Both teams scored5 of 7
Past results, not predictions.
Erzgebirge Aue
7 matchesResults0 wins · 2 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game2.1
Games with 3+ goals6 of 7
Both teams scored5 of 7
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare TSV 1860 München at home with Erzgebirge Aue away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:27 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
3. Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
TSV 1860 MünchenErzgebirge Aue
26Matches played26
42Points earned24
12Wins5
1.6Goals scored / match1.1
1.4Goals conceded / match1.6
6Clean sheets7
4Failed to score8
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares TSV 1860 München at home with Erzgebirge Aue away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
TSV 1860 München
Confirmed formation5-4-1Markus Kauczinski
- 21
T. DahneG - 2
T. DanhofD - 37
R. SchifferlD - 16
M. ReinthalerD - 3
S. VoetD - 29
M. RittmullerD - 31
K. VollandM - 23
D. Dordan - 5
T. JacobsenM - 30
M. WolframM - 22
S. HaugenF
Substitutes (9)
40 · P. Bachmann
4 · J. Verlaat
7 · F. Niederlechner
9 · J. Steinkotter
17 · M. Schroter
33 · L. Fassmann
34 · P. Hobsch
41 · C. Lippmann
44 · L. Husic
Erzgebirge Aue
Confirmed formation3-1-4-2Christoph Dabrowski
- 1
M. MannelG - 11
E. UhlmannD - 16
R. MaloneD - 29
J. CollinsD - 5
L. SimnicaM - 17
P. FallmannM - 19
J. GuttauM - 34
M. StefaniakM - 24
J. EhlersM - 15
M. BarF - 10
J. Gunther-SchmidtF
Substitutes (9)
36 · M. Uhlig
7 · E. Weinhauer
8 · M. Clausen
9 · R. Bornschein
20 · J. Fabisch
27 · F. Hetzsch
30 · M. Seiffert
39 · M. Schmid
45 · A. F. Ocansey V.
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
TSV 1860 München
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Dähne | 90 | 7.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 33 | 0 |
| Tim Danhof | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 30 | 0 |
| Raphael Schifferl | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 45 | 0 |
| Max Reinthaler | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 42 | 1 |
| Siemen Voet | 90 | 7.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 56 | 0 |
| Marvin Rittmüller | 82 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 45 | 0 |
| Kevin Volland | 82 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 0 |
| Damjan Dordan | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 33 | 1 |
| Thore Jacobsen | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 58 | 1 |
| Maximilian Wolfram | 67 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 0 |
| Sigurd Haugen | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| Justin Steinkötter | 23 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | — | 7 | 0 |
| Clemens Lippmann | 8 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| Patrick Hobsch | 8 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 2 | 0 |
| Florian Niederlechner | 1 | — | 0 | 0 | — | 1 | 0 |
Erzgebirge Aue
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Männel | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 21 | 0 |
| Eric Uhlmann | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 46 | 0 |
| Ryan Malone | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 48 | 1 |
| Jamilu Collins | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 42 | 1 |
| Luan Simnica | 80 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 1 |
| Pascal Fallmann | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | — | 38 | 0 |
| Julian Guttau | 80 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 0 |
| Marvin Stefaniak | 74 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 34 | 0 |
| Jannic Ehlers | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 22 | 0 |
| Marcel Bär | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 0 |
| Julian Günther-Schmidt | 65 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| Vincent Ocansey | 25 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 11 | 0 |
| Mika Clausen | 16 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 11 | 0 |
| Jonah Fabisch | 10 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 8 | 0 |
| Erik Weinhauer | 10 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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