Fenerbahçe
6/10Wins
2.1Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Fenerbahçe’s results
Süper LigMatchweek 25THE MATCH CENTREFenerbahçe vs Samsunspor match centre
90′ · Live
3:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Guendouzi15′
D. Nene90′
S. Cherif90+5′
Marius11′
Marius23′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate95.8%Fenerbahçe
Draw4.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Samsunspor
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Fenerbahçe 3.9% · no further goal 91.9% · Samsunspor 4.2%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.FenerbahçeSamsunspor
1.280Expected goals · API-Football0.990
5Shots on target5
14Total Shots12
56%Ball Possession44%
7Corner Kicks6
11Fouls24
2Yellow Cards6
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves2
437Total passes348
356Passes accurate263
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Super Lig Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 34 | +47 | 77 | — |
| 2 | Fenerbahçe | 35 | +41 | 77 | — |
| 3 |  Trabzonspor | 34 | +22 | 69 | — |
| 4 |  Beşiktaş | 34 | +19 | 60 | — |
| 5 |  Başakşehir | 34 | +23 | 57 | — |
| 6 |  Göztepe | 34 | +10 | 55 | — |
| 7 |  Samsunspor | 35 | 0 | 51 | — |
| 8 |  Rizespor | 34 | -6 | 41 | — |
| 9 |  Konyaspor | 34 | -7 | 40 | — |
| 10 |  Alanyaspor | 34 | 0 | 37 | ↑ 1 |
| 11 |  Kocaelispor | 34 | -12 | 37 | ↓ 1 |
| 12 |  Gaziantep FK | 34 | -15 | 37 | — |
| 13 |  Kasımpaşa | 34 | -16 | 35 | — |
| 14 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 34 | -11 | 34 | — |
| 15 |  Eyüpspor | 34 | -15 | 33 | — |
| 16 |  Antalyaspor | 34 | -22 | 32 | — |
| 17 |  Fatih Karagümrük | 34 | -23 | 30 | ↑ 1 |
| 18 |  Kayserispor | 34 | -35 | 30 | ↓ 1 |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Fenerbahçe 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Samsunspor 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Samsunspor
5/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Samsunspor’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Fenerbahçe
10 matchesResults6 wins · 3 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.1
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Gaziantep FKAway · Türkiye Kupası4–0AntalyasporAway · Süper Lig2–2Nottingham ForestAway · UEFA Europa League2–1KasımpaÅŸaHome · Süper Lig1–1Nottingham ForestHome · UEFA Europa League0–3TrabzonsporAway · Süper Lig3–2GenclerbirligiHome · Süper Lig3–1Erzurum BBHome · Türkiye Kupası3–1KocaelisporAway · Süper Lig2–0FCSBAway · UEFA Europa League1–1
Samsunspor
10 matchesResults5 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game0.6
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored1 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
AntalyasporAway · Türkiye Kupası2–0Gaziantep FKHome · Süper Lig0–0ShkendijaHome · UEFA Europa Conference League4–0Fatih KaragümrükAway · Süper Lig0–0ShkendijaAway · UEFA Europa Conference League1–0AntalyasporAway · Süper Lig1–3TrabzonsporHome · Süper Lig0–3BB BodrumsporHome · Türkiye Kupası2–0KasımpaÅŸaAway · Süper Lig1–0KocaelisporHome · Süper Lig0–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Fenerbahçe at home with Samsunspor away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:35 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Süper Lig · 2025/26 · all league matches
FenerbahçeSamsunspor
24Matches played24
54Points earned32
15Wins7
2.3Goals scored / match1.1
1.0Goals conceded / match1.2
8Clean sheets8
2Failed to score8
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Fenerbahçe at home with Samsunspor away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Fenerbahçe
Confirmed formation3-4-1-2Domenico Tedesco
- 31
EdersonG - 18
M. MuldurD - 24
J. OosterwoldeD - 22
L. MercanD - 20
A. MusabaM - 6
M. GuendouziM - 17
N. KanteM - 3
A. BrownM - 21
M. AsensioF - 26
S. CherifF - 9
K. AkturkogluF
Substitutes (10)
34 · M. Gunok
13 · T. Cetin
7 · Fred
5 · I. Yuksek
14 · Y. E. Demir
37 · M. Skriniar
70 · O. Aydin
45 · D. Nene
67 · K. Uregen
54 · A. Ekici
Samsunspor
Confirmed formation4-3-3Thorsten Fink
- 1
O. KocukG - 55
Y. E. CiftD - 37
L. SatkaD - 4
R. Van DrongelenD - 17
L. TomassonD - 5
C. YukselM - 29
A. MakoumbouM - 10
O. NtchamM - 2
J. MendesF - 9
MariusF - 21
C. HolseF
Substitutes (10)
48 · E. B. Toruz
71 · I. Egribayat
28 · S. Gonul
24 · T. Borevkovic
7 · E. Tavsan
70 · T. Coulibaly
20 · Y. Kayan
19 · C. Ndiaye
23 · E. Albak
15 · A. B. Diabbate
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Fenerbahçe
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ederson | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 38 | — |
| Mert Müldür | 61 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 35 | — |
| Jayden Oosterwolde | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 40 | — |
| Levent Mercan | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 77 | — |
| Anthony Musaba | 61 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | 12 | 2 |
| Mattéo Guendouzi | 90 | 8.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 52 | 3 |
| N'Golo Kanté | 75 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 6 |
| Archie Brown | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 31 | 1 |
| Marco Asensio | 89 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 33 | — |
| Sidiki Cherif | 90 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | — |
| Kerem Aktürkoğlu | 75 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 |
| Yiğit Efe Demir | 29 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 24 | — |
| İsmail Yüksek | 29 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 23 | — |
| Fred | 15 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 8 | — |
| Dorgeles Nene | 15 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Oğuz Aydın | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Tarık Çetin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mert Günok | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Milan Škriniar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kamil Efe Üregen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alaettin Ekici | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Samsunspor
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Okan Kocuk | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Yunus Emre Çift | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 3 |
| Ľubomír Šatka | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 3 |
| Rick Van Drongelen | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 36 | 2 |
| Logi Tomasson | 90 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 38 | 3 |
| Celil Yüksel | 89 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 7 |
| Antoine Makoumbou | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 37 | 1 |
| Olivier Ntcham | 84 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 46 | — |
| Josafat Mendes | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 |
| Marius Mouandilmadji | 79 | 8.7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | — |
| Carlo Holse | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 33 | 3 |
| Toni Borevković | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 4 |
| Elayis Tavsan | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 |
| Cherif Ndiaye | 11 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Yalçın Kayan | 18 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Ali Diabaté | 13 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Efe Berat Törüz | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| İrfan Can Eğribayat | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Soner Gönül | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Enes Albak | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tanguy Coulibaly | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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