BaÅŸakÅŸehir
4/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 9 available matches.
Inspect BaÅŸakÅŸehir’s results
Süper LigMatchweek 31THE MATCH CENTREBaşakşehir vs Kasımpaşa match centre
88′ · Live
4:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
E. Shomurodov5′
B. Yildirim22′
D. Selke81′
E. Shomurodov87′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
88′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%Başakşehir
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Kasımpaşa
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Başakşehir 5.8% · no further goal 92.3% · Kasımpaşa 1.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.BaşakşehirKasımpaşa
2.220Expected goals · API-Football0.240
7Shots on target1
12Total Shots4
69%Ball Possession31%
3Corner Kicks2
13Fouls8
3Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
564Total passes247
522Passes accurate183
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Super Lig Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 34 | +47 | 77 | — |
| 2 |  Fenerbahçe | 34 | +40 | 74 | — |
| 3 |  Trabzonspor | 34 | +22 | 69 | — |
| 4 | Başakşehir | 35 | +27 | 60 | ↑ 1 |
| 5 |  Beşiktaş | 34 | +19 | 60 | ↓ 1 |
| 6 |  Göztepe | 34 | +10 | 55 | — |
| 7 |  Samsunspor | 34 | +1 | 51 | — |
| 8 |  Rizespor | 34 | -6 | 41 | — |
| 9 |  Konyaspor | 34 | -7 | 40 | — |
| 10 |  Alanyaspor | 34 | 0 | 37 | ↑ 1 |
| 11 |  Kocaelispor | 34 | -12 | 37 | ↓ 1 |
| 12 |  Gaziantep FK | 34 | -15 | 37 | — |
| 13 |  Kasımpaşa | 35 | -20 | 35 | — |
| 14 |  Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 34 | -11 | 34 | — |
| 15 |  Eyüpspor | 34 | -15 | 33 | — |
| 16 |  Antalyaspor | 34 | -22 | 32 | — |
| 17 |  Fatih Karagümrük | 34 | -23 | 30 | ↑ 1 |
| 18 |  Kayserispor | 34 | -35 | 30 | ↓ 1 |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
BaÅŸakÅŸehir 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Kasımpaşa 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Kasımpaşa
4/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 7 available matches.
Inspect KasımpaÅŸa’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
BaÅŸakÅŸehir
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
TrabzonsporAway · Süper Lig1–1GençlerbirliÄŸi S.K.Home · Süper Lig3–0KocaelisporAway · Süper Lig0–0AntalyasporHome · Süper Lig0–0GalatasarayAway · Süper Lig0–3GöztepeHome · Süper Lig2–1TrabzonsporHome · Türkiye Kupası2–4KonyasporHome · Süper Lig2–0AlanyasporAway · Süper Lig2–1BeÅŸiktaÅŸHome · Süper Lig2–3
Kasımpaşa
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
AlanyasporHome · Süper Lig1–0GöztepeAway · Süper Lig3–3KayserisporHome · Süper Lig2–0BeÅŸiktaÅŸAway · Süper Lig1–2EyüpsporHome · Süper Lig1–0KonyasporAway · Süper Lig1–1RizesporHome · Süper Lig0–3FenerbahçeAway · Süper Lig1–1Fatih KaragümrükHome · Süper Lig3–2GaziÅŸehir GaziantepAway · Süper Lig1–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare BaÅŸakÅŸehir at home with KasımpaÅŸa away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:48 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Süper Lig · 2025/26 · all league matches
BaşakşehirKasımpaşa
30Matches played30
48Points earned31
13Wins7
1.6Goals scored / match1.0
1.0Goals conceded / match1.4
11Clean sheets8
6Failed to score10
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Başakşehir at home with Kasımpaşa away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
BaÅŸakÅŸehir
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Nuri Sahin
- 16
M. SengezerG - 42
O. SahinerD - 5
L. DuarteD - 27
O. BaD - 88
K. KaratasD - 8
O. KemenM - 20
U. GunesM - 7
Y. SariM - 14
E. ShomurodovM - 25
A. HaritM - 91
B. YildirimF
Substitutes (10)
80 · D. Alemdar
9 · D. Selke
77 · I. Brnic
36 · F. Ebosele
18 · J. Kaluzinski
15 · H. Gureler
6 · O. Bulut
10 · N. Da Costa
4 · O. Ergun
13 · M. Crespo
Kasımpaşa
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Shota Arveladze
- 1
A. GianniotisG - 2
C. WinckD - 50
Rodrigo BecaoD - 4
A. ArousD - 21
G. FrimpongD - 8
CafuM - 16
A. F. BaldurssonM - 71
I. C. KahveciM - 26
K. DemirbayM - 34
F. DiabateM - 19
A. BenedyczakF
Substitutes (10)
25 · A. Yanar
23 · C. Tosun
22 · K. Corekci
20 · N. Opoku
11 · A. Kol
5 · E. Aydin
33 · E. Tasdemir
17 · K. Kanatsizkus
77 · P. Gueye
29 · T. Aydin
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Başakşehir
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammed Şengezer | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 46 | — |
| Omer Ali Sahiner | 45 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Léo Duarte | 69 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 72 | 1 |
| Ousseynou Ba | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 91 | — |
| Kazımcan Karataş | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 50 | 1 |
| Olivier Kemen | 90 | 8.3 | — | 0 | — | 70 | — |
| Umut Güneş | 82 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 70 | 1 |
| Yusuf Sarı | 60 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 1 | 25 | — |
| Eldor Shomurodov | 90 | 8.7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | — |
| Amine Harit | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 53 | 1 |
| Bertuğ Yıldırım | 60 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
| Onur Bulut | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Davie Selke | 30 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Ivan Brnić | 30 | 9.2 | — | 2 | — | 12 | 1 |
| Hamza Güreler | 21 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| Onur Ergün | 8 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Doğan Alemdar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Festy Ebosele | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Crespo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jakub Kałuziński | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nuno Da Costa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Kasımpaşa
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Gianniotis | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 34 | — |
| Claudio Winck | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 24 | 2 |
| Rodrigo Becão | 44 | 5.3 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Adem Arous | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 39 | 2 |
| Godfried Frimpong | 90 | 5.5 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 1 |
| Cafu | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Andri Baldursson | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 1 |
| Irfan Can Kahveci | 86 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 33 | 2 |
| Kerem Demirbay | 80 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 18 | 1 |
| Fousseni Diabaté | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 2 |
| Adrian Benedyczak | 80 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 15 | 1 |
| Nicholas Opoku | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 1 |
| Eyüp Aydın | 10 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Kubilay Kanatsızkuş | 10 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Ali Yavuz Kol | 4 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Ali Emre Yanar | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emre Tasdemir | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kamil Corekci | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Taylan Utku Aydın | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pape Habib Gueye | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cenk Tosun | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Başakşehir | Draw | Kasımpaşa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.75 |
Snapshot from 23 Apr 2026, 21:33 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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