Estrela
1/2Wins
0.5Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 1 available matches.
Inspect Estrela’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 9THE MATCH CENTREEstrela vs Rio Ave match centre
Full time
1:2
UK time · Europe/London
Rio Ave Momentum→ Unavailable—
Goalscorers
P. Moreira28′
Andre Luiz50′
M. Vrousai71′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
EstrelaRio Ave
0.840Expected goals · API-Football0.610
—Shots on target—
—Total Shots—
—Ball Possession—
—Corner Kicks—
—Fouls—
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
—Goalkeeper Saves—
—Total passes—
—Passes accurate—
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Estrela 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Rio Ave 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Rio Ave
1/2Wins
1.0Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 1 available matches.
Inspect Rio Ave’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Estrela
2 matchesResults1 wins · 0 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game0.5
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals0 of 2
Both teams scored0 of 2
Only a few results are available.
Rio Ave
2 matchesResults1 wins · 0 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game0.5
Games with 3+ goals0 of 2
Both teams scored0 of 2
Only a few results are available.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Estrela at home with Rio Ave away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 06:44 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
EstrelaRio Ave
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Estrela at home with Rio Ave away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Estrela
Confirmed formation3-1-4-2Luís Filipe Saraiva da Silva
- 40
R. RibeiroG - 30
Luan PatrickD - 79
A. ChernevD - 83
OtavioD - 6
O. NgomM - 17
J. EncadaM - 19
P. MoreiraM - 18
J. MeirelesM - 55
S. CabralM - 99
A. MarcusF - 98
KikasF
Substitutes (9)
22 · D. Grilo
3 · Ni
7 · L. Antonetti
8 · Robinho
9 · Rodrigo Pinho
10 · I. Stoica
21 · G. Montoia
63 · A. Sola
89 · J. Gastao
Rio Ave
Confirmed formation3-4-3Sotiris Silaidopoulos
- 1
C. MisztaG - 23
F. PetrassoD - 32
J. BrabecD - 4
J. PanzoD - 17
M. VrousaiM - 5
A. NtoiM - 10
B. Aguilera ZamoraM - 3
N. AthanasiouM - 11
Andre LuizF - 9
ClaytonF - 18
D. SpikicF
Substitutes (9)
22 · K. Chamorro
2 · E. da Silva Moreira
19 · A. Papakanellos
21 · J. Graca
28 · M. Gual
44 · T. Nikitscher
54 · G. Liavas
63 · J. Lomboto
80 · O. Pohlmann
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Estrela
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renan Ribeiro | 90 | 5.5 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Luan Patrick | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 63 | 1 |
| Atanas Chernev | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 44 | 1 |
| Otavio | 57 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 29 | 2 |
| Oumar Ngom | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 71 | 6 |
| Jefferson Encada | 74 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 1 |
| Paulo Moreira | 74 | 8.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 1 |
| Jorge Meireles | 67 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 1 | 18 | — |
| Sidny Lopes Cabral | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 28 | — |
| Abraham Marcus | 67 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 23 | — |
| Kikas | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 17 | — |
| Guilherme Montóia | 33 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 20 | 2 |
| Robson Lucas Oliveira Botelho | 23 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Ianis Stoica | 23 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Joao Gastao | 16 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Rodrigo Pinho | 16 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| David Grilo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ni | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Sola | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leandro Antonetti | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Rio Ave
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cezary Miszta | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Francisco Petrasso | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 1 |
| Jakub Brabec | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 40 | — |
| Jonathan Panzo | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 49 | — |
| Marios Vrousai | 90 | 8.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 4 |
| Andreas Ndoj | 90 | 6.7 | — | 1 | — | 23 | 1 |
| Brandon Aguilera | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Nikolaos Athanasiou | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 39 | 4 |
| André Luiz | 89 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 |
| Clayton | 82 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 2 | 16 | — |
| Dario Špikić | 67 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 1 |
| Georgios Liavas | 45 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 22 | 1 |
| Ole Pohlmann | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 12 | 1 |
| Antonis Papakanellos | 23 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 10 | 1 |
| Marc Gual | 8 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Julien Lomboto | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Kevin Chamorro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eric da Silva Moreira | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Graça | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tamás Nikitscher | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Primeira Liga table
Current standings · Primeira Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 88 | WLWWW |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 82 | WWWDD |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 80 | WDDWW |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 59 | DDDLW |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 56 | WDDWD |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 50 | LLDWL |
| 7 |  Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 | DLWLW |
| 8 |  Arouca | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 42 | WWDLW |
| 9 |  Guimaraes | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 42 | LLLWW |
| 10 |  Estoril | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 39 | LDDLL |
| 11 |  Alverca | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 39 | LDLWL |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 36 | DLDLD |
| 13 |  Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 36 | LWDWD |
| 14 |  Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 34 | WLLWW |
| 15 | Estrela | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 30 | DDLLL |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | DWLLL |
| 17 |  Tondela | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 28 | LWWDL |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27 | 67 | -40 | 21 | DWWDD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST
Open practice slip +Try it with virtual funds
Start with £1,000 virtual funds. Choose a single or combine different matches in an accumulator, then track confirmed results. No real money. Record an actual bet in your manual journal ↗
Football data. A clearer perspective.Back to matches →