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Guimaraes vs Moreirense match centre

Guimaraes badgeGuimaraesHome · 9 in league
WWWLL
Momentum↘ Falling51/100OlderLatest
Full time
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Moreirense badgeMoreirenseAway · 7 in league
DWWLW
Momentum↘ Falling68/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Samu66′ (pen)
Venue to be confirmedSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
GuimaraesMoreirense
5Corner Kicks5
19Fouls12
2Yellow Cards5
Red Cards
5Goalkeeper Saves1
360Total passes481
282Passes accurate392

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Guimaraes 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Moreirense 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Guimaraes

0/4Wins
1.0Goals / game
2.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect Guimaraes’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Moreirense

2/4Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect Moreirense’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Guimaraes at home with Moreirense away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 08:21 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches

GuimaraesMoreirense
19Matches played19
25Points earned30
7Wins9
1.1Goals scored / match1.4
1.4Goals conceded / match1.4
6Clean sheets7
8Failed to score4

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Guimaraes at home with Moreirense away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

5 recorded meetings

Guimaraes

2wins
1 draw

Moreirense

2wins

Nov 2023 – Aug 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Guimaraes first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Guimaraes

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Gil Lameiras
  1. 27Charles SilvaG
  2. 66T. StrataD
  3. 3M. NobregaD
  4. 26R. AbascalD
  5. 13J. I. MendesD
  6. 16BeniM
  7. 23D. SousaM
  8. 19O. CamaraM
  9. 11GustavoM
  10. 48N. SavioloM
  11. 7N. OliveiraF
Substitutes (9)

25 · J. Castillo

2 · Maga

6 · M. Mitrovic

17 · O. Lebedenko

18 · T. Arcanjo

20 · Samu

22 · F. Blanco

28 · Thiago Balieiro

90 · A. Ndoye

Moreirense

Confirmed formation4-4-2Vasco Costa
  1. 13A. FerreiraG
  2. 76D. PintoD
  3. 8M. StjepanovicD
  4. 66G. BatistaD
  5. 17A. MartinezD
  6. 78LandersonM
  7. 21RodriM
  8. 25A. AssisM
  9. 2TravassosM
  10. 9L. SemedoF
  11. 11AlanzinhoF
Substitutes (9)

16 · Mika

6 · M. A. Silva

7 · C. Teguia

10 · Kiko Bondoso

23 · N. John

27 · Kiko

30 · J. Gower

71 · L. Santos

99 · Yan Maranhao

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Guimaraes

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Charles907.5—0—35—
Tony Strata906.3—01291
Miguel Nóbrega906.9—0—40—
Rodrigo Abascal906.9—01591
João Mendes907.0—0—37—
Beni Mukendi907.2—0—422
Diogo Sousa808.2—03502
Oumar Camara456.6—0—51
Gustavo Silva696.5—0191
Noah Saviolo907.3—0—122
Nélson Oliveira636.3—0—82
Samu457.9102133
Alioune Ndoye277.2—016—
Fabio Blanco216.5—0—9—
Matija Mitrović106.9—0161
Juan Castillo———————
Miguel Maga———————
Orest Lebedenko———————
Thiago Balieiro———————
Telmo Arcanjo———————

Moreirense

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
André Ferreira907.2—0—38—
Dinis Pinto806.2—0—274
Mateja Stjepanović905.3—0—66—
Gilberto Batista906.3—0—81—
Álvaro Martínez806.6—0—44—
Landerson586.3—0—101
Rodrigo Alonso736.2—0134—
Afonso Assis906.6—0—531
Diogo Travassos906.9—01341
Luís Semedo905.9—0223—
Alan906.9—04481
Kiko Bondoso326.9—0—111
Nile John176.2—0—61
Leandro Santos106.9—0—41
Yan Maranhão106.3—012—
Mika———————
Kiko———————
Miguel Silva———————
Jimi Gower———————
Cedric Teguia———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Primeira Liga table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Primeira Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1FC Porto34284266184888
WLWWW
2Sporting CP34257289246582
WWWDD
3Benfica342311074254980
WDDWW
4SC Braga341611764362859
DDDLW
5Famalicao341511842291356
WDDWD
6GIL Vicente341311104738950
LLDWL
7Moreirense34127153749-1243
DLWLW
8Arouca34126164764-1742
WWDLW
9Guimaraes34126163951-1242
LLLWW
10Estoril34109155457-339
LDDLL
11Alverca34109153552-1739
LDLWL
12Rio Ave34812143557-2236
DLDLD
13Santa Clara3499163241-936
LWDWD
14Nacional3497183745-834
WLLWW
15Estrela34612163856-1830
DDLLL
16Casa Pia34612163157-2630
DWLLL
17Tondela34610182755-2828
LWWDL
18AVS34312192767-4021
DWWDD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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