Estoril
5/7Wins
2.7Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Estoril’s results
Primeira LigaMatchweek 21THE MATCH CENTREEstoril vs Tondela match centre
Full time
2:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Carvalho26′
Ferro29′
Pedro Maranhao12′
Pedro Maranhao16′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
EstorilTondela
0.710Expected goals · API-Football1.350
6Shots on target5
15Total Shots6
68%Ball Possession32%
5Corner Kicks4
8Fouls8
1Yellow Cards0
Red Cards
3Goalkeeper Saves4
670Total passes310
581Passes accurate234
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Estoril 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Tondela 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Tondela
0/3Wins
0.0Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 1 available matches.
Inspect Tondela’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Estoril
7 matchesResults5 wins · 1 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game2.7
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals5 of 7
Both teams scored4 of 7
Past results, not predictions.
Tondela
3 matchesResults0 wins · 1 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game0.0
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals1 of 3
Both teams scored0 of 3
Only a few results are available.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Estoril at home with Tondela away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:30 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Primeira Liga · 2025/26 · all league matches
EstorilTondela
20Matches played20
29Points earned13
8Wins3
2.1Goals scored / match0.6
1.7Goals conceded / match1.7
3Clean sheets3
5Failed to score13
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Estoril at home with Tondela away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Estoril
Confirmed formation4-3-3Ian Cathro
- 1
J. RoblesG - 2
R. SanchezD - 4
FerroD - 25
F. BacherD - 24
P. AmaralD - 21
PizziM - 10
J. HolsgroveM - 12
J. CarvalhoM - 14
Y. BegraouiF - 99
R. GuitaneF - 9
A. MarquesF
Substitutes (9)
16 · M. Turk
5 · A. Tsoungui
6 · Jandro
7 · N. Lominadze
8 · Xeka
11 · K. Edwards
20 · G. Costa
22 · P. Carvalho
70 · Peixinho
Tondela
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Cristiano Bacci
- 31
BernardoG - 2
BebetoD - 4
C. MarquesD - 20
B. MedinaD - 27
R. ConceicaoD - 15
S. SitholeM - 97
CiceroM - 7
Pedro MaranhaoM - 10
J. HodgeM - 90
M. AikoM - 29
J. SiebatcheuF
Substitutes (9)
30 · L. Canizares
5 · J. Afonso
8 · H. Tavares
23 · B. Kimpioka
26 · A. van der Heide
32 · J. Rodriguez
44 · J. Silva
48 · T. Manso
79 · H. Felix
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Estoril
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Robles | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Ricard Sánchez | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 2 | 43 | 1 |
| Ferro | 83 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 57 | 2 |
| Felix Bacher | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 91 | — |
| Pedro Amaral | 83 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 61 | — |
| Pizzi | 55 | 6.9 | — | 2 | — | 46 | — |
| Jordan Holsgrove | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 140 | 4 |
| João Carvalho | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 63 | 1 |
| Yanis Begraoui | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 3 | 31 | — |
| Rafik Guitane | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 3 | 48 | 3 |
| Alejandro Marqués | 74 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 14 | — |
| Jandro Orellana | 35 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 38 | 3 |
| Peixinho | 16 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 14 | — |
| Antef Tsoungui | 12 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Gonçalo Costa | 12 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Martin Turk | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Carvalho | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nodar Lominadze | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Xeka | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khayon Edwards | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Tondela
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernardo Fontes | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 32 | — |
| Bebeto | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 3 |
| Christian Marques | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 42 | 1 |
| Brayan Medina | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 25 | 1 |
| Rodrigo Conceição | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 |
| Siphephelo Sithole | 89 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 32 | 3 |
| Cicero | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 38 | 1 |
| Maranhão | 74 | 8.5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 1 |
| Joe Hodge | 65 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 2 |
| Makan Aïko | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 17 | 2 |
| Jordan Siebatcheu | 65 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 1 |
| Hugo Félix | 25 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka | 25 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 2 |
| Arjen Van Der Heide | 16 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Hélder Tavares | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Lucas Cañizares | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Silva | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Afonso | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Rodríguez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tiago Manso | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Primeira Liga table
Current standings · Primeira Liga. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 88 | WLWWW |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 82 | WWWDD |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 80 | WDDWW |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 59 | DDDLW |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 56 | WDDWD |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 50 | LLDWL |
| 7 |  Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 | DLWLW |
| 8 |  Arouca | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 42 | WWDLW |
| 9 |  Guimaraes | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 42 | LLLWW |
| 10 | Estoril | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 39 | LDDLL |
| 11 |  Alverca | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 39 | LDLWL |
| 12 |  Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 36 | DLDLD |
| 13 |  Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 36 | LWDWD |
| 14 |  Nacional | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 34 | WLLWW |
| 15 |  Estrela | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 30 | DDLLL |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | DWLLL |
| 17 | Tondela | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 28 | LWWDL |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27 | 67 | -40 | 21 | DWWDD |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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