Panathinaikos
3/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Panathinaikos’s results
Super League 1Matchweek 23THE MATCH CENTREPanathinaikos vs Aris Thessalonikis match centre
90′ · Live
3:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Hernandez9′
V. Taborda65′
A. Tetteh80′
U. Racic72′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate99.9%Panathinaikos
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Aris Thessalonikis
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Panathinaikos 4.0% · no further goal 91.9% · Aris Thessalonikis 4.2%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.PanathinaikosAris Thessalonikis
2.200Expected goals · API-Football0.710
3Shots on target1
9Total Shots12
43%Ball Possession57%
1Corner Kicks4
12Fouls13
2Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
—Goalkeeper Saves—
301Total passes407
252Passes accurate348
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Super League Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AEK Athens FC | 26 | +32 | 60 | — |
| 2 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 26 | +34 | 58 | — |
| 3 |  PAOK | 26 | +35 | 57 | — |
| 4 | Panathinaikos | 27 | +20 | 52 | — |
| 5 |  Levadiakos | 26 | +14 | 42 | — |
| 6 |  OFI | 26 | -11 | 32 | — |
| 7 |  Volos NFC | 26 | -12 | 31 | — |
| 8 |  Aris Thessalonikis | 27 | -9 | 30 | — |
| 9 |  Atromitos | 26 | -4 | 29 | — |
| 10 |  Kifisia | 26 | -10 | 27 | — |
| 11 |  Panetolikos | 26 | -14 | 26 | — |
| 12 |  Larisa | 26 | -17 | 23 | — |
| 13 |  Asteras Tripolis | 26 | -19 | 17 | ↑ 1 |
| 14 |  Panserraikos | 26 | -39 | 17 | ↓ 1 |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Panathinaikos 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Aris Thessalonikis 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Aris Thessalonikis
2/7Wins
0.9Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Aris Thessalonikis’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Panathinaikos
10 matchesResults3 wins · 5 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals2 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Aris Thessalonikis
7 matchesResults2 wins · 4 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game0.7
Games with 3+ goals1 of 7
Both teams scored3 of 7
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Panathinaikos at home with Aris Thessalonikis away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:55 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Super League 1 · 2025/26 · all league matches
PanathinaikosAris Thessalonikis
21Matches played22
36Points earned28
10Wins6
1.5Goals scored / match0.9
1.1Goals conceded / match1.0
8Clean sheets7
4Failed to score7
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Panathinaikos at home with Aris Thessalonikis away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Panathinaikos
Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Rafael Benitez
- 40
A. LafontG - 26
J. HernandezD - 21
T. JedvajD - 3
G. Katris - 2
D. CalabriaM - 16
A. Gnezda CerinM - 18
S. KontourisM - 77
G. KyriakopoulosM - 10
S. AndinoF - 23
P. Pantelidis - 19
K. SwiderskiF
Substitutes (12)
70 · K. Kotsaris
17 · M. Sissoko
31 · F. Djuricic
11 · A. Bakasetas
8 · R. Sanches
5 · A. Touba
72 · M. Pantovic
20 · V. Taborda
7 · A. Tetteh
9 · A. Zaroury
28 · F. Pellistri
88 · A. Jagusic
Aris Thessalonikis
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Michalis Grigoriou
- 33
G. AthanasiadisG - 27
N. FadigaD - 20
N. Sonko SundbergD - 4
FabianoD - 37
H. MendylD - 10
U. RacicM - 78
M. HonglaM - 7
C. PerezM - 90
B. GarreM - 11
A. DonisM - 9
T. KadewereF
Substitutes (12)
13 · S. Dioudis
91 · E. Karaj
70 · G. Gianniotas
31 · C. Kouame
49 · O. Boussaid
22 · M. Voriazidis
77 · M. Panagidis
92 · L. Rose
17 · M. Frydek
15 · A. Tejero
19 · M. Alfarela
88 · M. Kerkez
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Panathinaikos
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alban Lafont | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Javier Hernández | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 3 |
| Tin Jedvaj | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 27 | — |
| Georgios Katris | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 39 | 1 |
| Davide Calabria | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 27 | 2 |
| Adam Gnezda Čerin | 88 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 51 | 3 |
| Sotiris Kontouris | 89 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 30 | 3 |
| Georgios Kyriakopoulos | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 3 |
| Santino Andino | 57 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 2 |
| Pavlos Pantelidis | 56 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | 6 | — |
| Karol Świderski | 79 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 14 | — |
| Filip Đuričić | 34 | 6.5 | — | 1 | — | 10 | — |
| Vicente Taborda | 33 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 |
| Andreas Tetteh | 11 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | — |
| Anastasios Bakasetas | 9 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Moussa Sissoko | 8 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Konstantinos Kotsaris | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Touba | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Pellistri | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Renato Sanches | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adriano Jagušić | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miloš Pantović | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Anass Zaroury | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Aris Thessalonikis
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giorgos Athanasiadis | 90 | 5.7 | — | 0 | — | 27 | — |
| Noah Fadiga | 61 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 3 |
| Noah Sonko Sundberg | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 57 | — |
| Fabiano | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 76 | 1 |
| Hamza Mendyl | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Uroš Račić | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 38 | — |
| Martin Hongla | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 63 | 5 |
| Carles Pérez | 90 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | 24 | 5 |
| Benjamín Garré | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 42 | 2 |
| Anastasios Donis | 45 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 1 |
| Tino Kadewere | 83 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
| Álvaro Tejero | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Migouel Alfarela | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 5 | — |
| Martin Frýdek | 29 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 1 |
| Christian Kouamé | 14 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Emiliano Karaj | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sokratis Dioudis | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lindsay Rose | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marko Kerkez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Othman Boussaid | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michalis Panagidis | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michalis Voriazidis | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giannis Gianniotas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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