AEK Athens FC
5/8Wins
2.3Goals / game
0.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect AEK Athens FC’s results
Super League 1Matchweek 24THE MATCH CENTREAEK Athens FC vs Larisa match centre
90′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
H. Moukoudi5′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate96.7%AEK Athens FC
Draw3.3%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Larisa
Another goal8.0%before full time
Next goal: AEK Athens FC 4.6% · no further goal 92.0% · Larisa 3.4%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.AEK Athens FCLarisa
3.000Expected goals · API-Football0.530
8Shots on target2
19Total Shots8
61%Ball Possession39%
6Corner Kicks2
12Fouls14
2Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves7
526Total passes339
462Passes accurate264
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Super League Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Athens FC | 27 | +33 | 63 | — |
| 2 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 26 | +34 | 58 | — |
| 3 |  PAOK | 26 | +35 | 57 | — |
| 4 |  Panathinaikos | 26 | +18 | 49 | — |
| 5 |  Levadiakos | 26 | +14 | 42 | — |
| 6 |  OFI | 26 | -11 | 32 | — |
| 7 |  Volos NFC | 26 | -12 | 31 | — |
| 8 |  Aris Thessalonikis | 26 | -7 | 30 | — |
| 9 |  Atromitos | 26 | -4 | 29 | — |
| 10 |  Kifisia | 26 | -10 | 27 | — |
| 11 |  Panetolikos | 26 | -14 | 26 | — |
| 12 |  Larisa | 27 | -18 | 23 | — |
| 13 |  Asteras Tripolis | 26 | -19 | 17 | ↑ 1 |
| 14 |  Panserraikos | 26 | -39 | 17 | ↓ 1 |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
AEK Athens FC 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Larisa 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Larisa
4/8Wins
1.1Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Larisa’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
AEK Athens FC
8 matchesResults5 wins · 3 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.3
Goals conceded per game0.4
Games with 3+ goals4 of 8
Both teams scored2 of 8
Past results, not predictions.
Larisa
8 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals3 of 8
Both teams scored4 of 8
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare AEK Athens FC at home with Larisa away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:44 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Super League 1 · 2025/26 · all league matches
AEK Athens FCLarisa
23Matches played23
53Points earned21
16Wins4
1.8Goals scored / match0.9
0.7Goals conceded / match1.6
13Clean sheets5
3Failed to score7
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares AEK Athens FC at home with Larisa away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
AEK Athens FC
Confirmed formation4-2-2-2Marko Nikolic
- 1
T. StrakoshaG - 12
L. RotaD - 2
H. MoukoudiD - 44
F. RelvasD - 29
J. PenriceD - 18
R. MarinM - 13
O. PinedaM - 19
N. EliassonM - 11
A. KoitaM - 9
L. JovicF - 25
B. VargaF
Substitutes (12)
91 · A. Brignoli
20 · P. Mantalos
37 · R. Pereyra
8 · M. Gacinovic
7 · D. Kutesa
3 · S. Pilios
10 · Joao Mario
21 · D. Vida
4 · M. Grujic
23 · R. Ljubicic
90 · Zini
15 · M. Georgiev
Larisa
Confirmed formation5-4-1Savvas Pantelidis
- 94
A. AnagnostopoulosG - 27
Y. MaconD - 28
D. BatubinsikaD - 33
L. RosicD - 4
T. IliadisD - 20
D. OlafssonD - 29
L. TuptaM - 15
G. NaorM - 31
J. AtanasovM - 8
F. PerezM - 5
G. KakutaF
Substitutes (12)
21 · T. Venetikidis
1 · N. Melissas
19 · G. Pasas
25 · A. Sagal
23 · L. Garate
11 · S. Mourgos
18 · Z. Chatzistravos
14 · E. Ferigra
90 · V. Sourlis
12 · A. Kossonou
17 · D. Diminikos
6 · E. Pantelakis
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
AEK Athens FC
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Strakosha | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| Lazaros Rota | 90 | 8.3 | — | 0 | — | 65 | 2 |
| Harold Moukoudi | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 76 | 1 |
| Filipe Relvas | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 78 | 3 |
| James Penrice | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 44 | 4 |
| Răzvan Marin | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 63 | — |
| Orbelín Pineda | 67 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 66 | 1 |
| Niclas Eliasson | 79 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 30 | 1 |
| Aboubakary Koita | 67 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 2 | 21 | 1 |
| Luka Jović | 84 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 5 | 18 | 1 |
| Barnabás Varga | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 5 | 17 | — |
| Petros Mantalos | 23 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 1 |
| Roberto Pereyra | 23 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Mijat Gaćinović | 11 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 1 |
| Zini | 12 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Alberto Brignoli | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Domagoj Vida | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stavros Pilios | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Georgiev | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Mário | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marko Grujić | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robert Ljubičić | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dereck Kutesa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Larisa
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexandros Anagnostopoulos | 90 | 9.6 | — | 0 | — | 27 | — |
| Yvann Maçon | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 41 | 1 |
| Dylan Batubinsika | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 1 |
| Lazar Rosić | 70 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 2 |
| Theocharis Iliadis | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| Davíð Kristján Ólafsson | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 32 | — |
| Ľubomír Tupta | 80 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 14 | — |
| Goni Naor | 58 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 3 |
| Jani Atanasov | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 60 | 4 |
| Facundo Pérez | 57 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Gaël Kakuta | 57 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1 |
| Savvas Mourgos | 33 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 2 | 1 |
| Ángelo Sagal | 33 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 8 | — |
| Vasilios Sourlis | 32 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 10 | 1 |
| Zisis Chatzistravos | 20 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Leandro Garate | 10 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Theodoros Venetekidis | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikolaos Melissas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Epameinondas Pantelakis | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Ouattara Kossonou | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Erick Ferigra | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dimitrios Diminikos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giannis Pasas | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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