Pafos
1/3Wins
0.3Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 1 available matches.
Inspect Pafos’s results
1. DivisionMatchweek 19THE MATCH CENTREPafos vs AEK Larnaca match centre
Full time
1:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Anderson Silva77′
Miramon4′
D. Ivanovic87′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
PafosAEK Larnaca
1.220Expected goals · API-Football1.570
2Shots on target7
12Total Shots10
70%Ball Possession30%
5Corner Kicks1
13Fouls15
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves1
619Total passes242
537Passes accurate172
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Pafos 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
AEK Larnaca 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
AEK Larnaca
2/2Wins
2.0Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. No matching venue sample is available.
Inspect AEK Larnaca’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Pafos
3 matchesResults1 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game0.3
Goals conceded per game1.0
Games with 3+ goals0 of 3
Both teams scored0 of 3
Only a few results are available.
AEK Larnaca
2 matchesResults2 wins · 0 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game0.5
Games with 3+ goals1 of 2
Both teams scored1 of 2
Only a few results are available.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Pafos at home with AEK Larnaca away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 03:58 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
1. Division · 2025/26 · all league matches
PafosAEK Larnaca
17Matches played18
37Points earned37
12Wins11
2.0Goals scored / match1.9
0.8Goals conceded / match0.9
8Clean sheets6
2Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Pafos at home with AEK Larnaca away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Pafos
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Albert Celades
- 1
J. GorterG - 7
BrunoD - 23
D. LuckassenD - 19
A. GuessandD - 2
K. PileasD - 26
I. SunjicM - 88
PepeM - 17
M. OrsicM - 30
V. DragomirM - 12
K. SemaM - 10
L. DimataF
Substitutes (12)
99 · A. Papadoudis
93 · N. Michail
25 · B. Langa
11 · Jaja
50 · A. Brito
42 · G. Michael
21 · O. Mimovic
8 · D. Quina
33 · Anderson Silva
20 · W. Odefalk
9 · M. Bassouamina
87 · P. Caldieraro
AEK Larnaca
Confirmed formation4-4-2Imanol Idiakez
- 51
A. ParaskevasG - 22
G. EkpoloD - 15
H. MilicevicD - 27
V. RobergeD - 4
E. SaboritD - 21
MiramonM - 7
Ledes GustavoM - 17
P. PonsM - 14
A. GarciaM - 11
R. BajicF - 30
E. CabreraF
Substitutes (9)
1 · Z. Alomerovic
12 · K. Komar
99 · D. Demetriou
41 · Mathias Gonzalez
2 · P. Ioannou
20 · Y. Amyn
9 · D. Ivanovic
23 · J. Izquierdo
25 · C. Kyriakou
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Pafos
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jay Gorter | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 38 | 0 |
| Bruno | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 56 | 0 |
| Derrick Luckassen | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | — | 84 | 0 |
| Axel Guessand | 87 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 65 | 0 |
| Kostas Pileas | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 50 | 0 |
| Ivan Šunjić | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 74 | 0 |
| Pêpê | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 100 | 0 |
| Mislav Oršić | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 53 | 0 |
| Vlad Dragomir | 63 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 16 | 0 |
| Ken Sema | 63 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 30 | 0 |
| Landry Dimata | 63 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 12 | 0 |
| Domingos Quina | 37 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| Jajá | 37 | 7.3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 |
| Anderson Silva | 37 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
| Ognjen Mimović | 14 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 8 | 0 |
| Wilmer Odefalk | 10 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 4 | 0 |
AEK Larnaca
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antreas Paraskevas | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | — | 15 | 0 |
| Godswill Ekpolo | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 28 | 0 |
| Hrvoje Miličević | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | — | 46 | 0 |
| Valentin Roberge | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | — | 19 | 1 |
| Enric Saborit | 90 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 27 | 0 |
| Jorge Miramón | 90 | 8.7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 0 |
| Gus Ledes | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 23 | 0 |
| Pere Pons | 90 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 0 |
| Ángel García | 80 | 7.2 | 0 | 1 | — | 13 | 0 |
| Riad Bajić | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 1 |
| Enzo Cabrera | 74 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
| Đorđe Ivanović | 26 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jairo Izquierdo | 20 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 3 | 0 |
| Charalampos Kyriakou | 9 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 1 | 0 |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗1. Division table
Current standings · 1-division: Regular season. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Omonia Nicosia | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 63 | 17 | 46 | 61 | WWDLW |
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 22 | 27 | 53 | WWDLL |
| 3 |  Apollon Limassol | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 22 | 14 | 53 | DWDWW |
| 4 | Pafos | 26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 53 | 24 | 29 | 51 | WWDDW |
| 5 |  Apoel Nicosia | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 45 | WLWWL |
| 6 |  Aris | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 43 | LWDDD |
| 7 |  Omonia Aradippou | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 34 | WLWWD |
| 8 |  AEL | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 33 | LLLWL |
| 9 |  Anorthosis | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 32 | DWWDD |
| 10 |  Krasava Ypsonas | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 28 | WLWDD |
| 11 |  Olympiakos | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 22 | 37 | -15 | 28 | LWDLD |
| 12 |  Akritas | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 26 | LLLWD |
| 13 |  Ethnikos Achna | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 23 | LLLLW |
| 14 |  Enosis | 26 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 5 | 67 | -62 | 1 | LLLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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