AEL
2/4Wins
1.0Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. No matching venue sample is available.
Inspect AEL’s results
1. DivisionMatchweek 20THE MATCH CENTREAEL vs Aris match centre
Full time
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
L. Singh47′
Z. Sawo53′
R. Effaghe22′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
AELAris
0.930Expected goals · API-Football1.820
3Shots on target2
6Total Shots14
45%Ball Possession55%
4Corner Kicks5
9Fouls15
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards0
2Goalkeeper Saves1
292Total passes343
221Passes accurate277
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
AEL 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Aris 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Aris
2/4Wins
2.3Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 1 available matches.
Inspect Aris’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
AEL
4 matchesResults2 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals1 of 4
Both teams scored1 of 4
Only a few results are available.
Aris
4 matchesResults2 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.3
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals3 of 4
Both teams scored1 of 4
Only a few results are available.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare AEL at home with Aris away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 04:24 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
1. Division · 2025/26 · all league matches
AELAris
19Matches played19
27Points earned37
8Wins11
1.2Goals scored / match2.0
1.4Goals conceded / match0.9
6Clean sheets11
8Failed to score3
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares AEL at home with Aris away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
AEL
Confirmed formation3-4-3Hugo Martins
- 13
G. OchoaG - 97
S. Keller - 15
D. StevanovicD - 24
E. ImanishimweD - 35
Sergio ConceicaoM - 6
D. ZdravkovskiM - 37
J. SzokeM - 19
I. MilosavljevicM - 23
Leo NatelF - 27
Z. SawoF - 11
L. SinghF
Substitutes (11)
98 · P. Kyriakou
99 · A. Keravnos
10 · B. Z. Jradi
8 · V. Papafotis
63 · F. R. Mughe
29 · D. Paroutis
26 · N. Glavcic
25 · A. Panagiotou Filiotis
33 · A. Makris
45 · F. Forestieri
40 · T. Maseko
Aris
Confirmed formation4-4-2Liasos Louka
- 1
Vana AlvesG - 2
G. KaluluD - 6
C. GoldsonD - 20
S. YagoD - 7
Anderson CorreiaD - 30
Gustavo Paje - 18
Y. BourhaneM - 76
C. CharalampousM - 45
R. McCauslandM - 99
R. EffagheF - 14
Y. GomisF
Substitutes (9)
26 · A. Pishias
90 · E. Sofroniou
4 · D. Lelle
9 · A. Kokorin
19 · M. Sane
36 · V. Neokleous
75 · M. Theodosiou
80 · A. Kakoullis
88 · C. Fi Akamba
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
AEL
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guillermo Ochoa | 90 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | — | 12 | 0 |
| Stephane Keller | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 47 | 0 |
| Dušan Stevanović | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 35 | 0 |
| Emmanuel Imanishimwe | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 32 | 1 |
| Sérgio Conceição | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 1 | — | 31 | 0 |
| Davor Zdravkovski | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | — | 30 | 0 |
| Július Szőke | 72 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 9 | 3 |
| Ivan Milosavljević | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 33 | 1 |
| Léo Natel | 82 | 6.9 | 0 | 1 | — | 20 | 0 |
| Zakaria Sawo | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 0 |
| Luther Singh | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 |
| Nemanja Glavčić | 28 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | — | 9 | 1 |
| Danil Paroutis | 18 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 4 | 0 |
| Bassel Jradi | 10 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | — | 1 | 0 |
Aris
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vaná | 90 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 17 | 0 |
| Gedeon Kalulu | 74 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | — | 24 | 1 |
| Connor Goldson | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 51 | 1 |
| Steeve Yago | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | — | 46 | 0 |
| Anderson Correia | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 0 |
| Gustavo Paje | 66 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
| Yacine Bourhane | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 49 | 0 |
| Charalampos Charalampous | 90 | 7.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 48 | 0 |
| Ross McCausland | 74 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 3 | 0 |
| Rody Junior Effaghe | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
| Yannick Gomis | 66 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 0 |
| Andronikos Kakoullis | 35 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 5 | 0 |
| Aleksandr Kokorin | 35 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 7 | 0 |
| David Lelle | 26 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | — | 17 | 0 |
| Mamadou Sane | 26 | 7.3 | 0 | 0 | — | 8 | 1 |
| Michalis Theodosiou | 10 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
2025/26 STANDINGS
League centre ↗1. Division table
Current standings · 1-division: Regular season. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Omonia Nicosia | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 63 | 17 | 46 | 61 | WWDLW |
| 2 |  AEK Larnaca | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 22 | 27 | 53 | WWDLL |
| 3 |  Apollon Limassol | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 22 | 14 | 53 | DWDWW |
| 4 |  Pafos | 26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 53 | 24 | 29 | 51 | WWDDW |
| 5 |  Apoel Nicosia | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 45 | WLWWL |
| 6 | Aris | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 43 | LWDDD |
| 7 |  Omonia Aradippou | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 34 | WLWWD |
| 8 | AEL | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 33 | LLLWL |
| 9 |  Anorthosis | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 32 | DWWDD |
| 10 |  Krasava Ypsonas | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 28 | WLWDD |
| 11 |  Olympiakos | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 22 | 37 | -15 | 28 | LWDLD |
| 12 |  Akritas | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 26 | LLLWD |
| 13 |  Ethnikos Achna | 26 | 7 | 2 | 17 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 23 | LLLLW |
| 14 |  Enosis | 26 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 5 | 67 | -62 | 1 | LLLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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