Aston Villa W
1/7Wins
1.3Goals / game
2.9Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Aston Villa W’s results
FA WSLMatchweek 17THE MATCH CENTREAston Villa W vs Manchester City W match centre
90′ · Live
0:0
UK time · Europe/LondonTHE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate3.6%Aston Villa W
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate4.0%Manchester City W
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Aston Villa W 3.7% · no further goal 92.3% · Manchester City W 4.0%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Aston Villa WManchester City W
—Expected goals · API-Football—
4Shots on target4
10Total Shots16
50%Ball Possession50%
7Corner Kicks13
5Fouls9
1Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves3
392Total passes372
320Passes accurate307
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Super League, Women Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City W | 23 | +43 | 56 | — |
| 2 |  Arsenal W | 22 | +39 | 51 | — |
| 3 |  Chelsea W | 22 | +24 | 49 | — |
| 4 |  Manchester United W | 22 | +16 | 40 | — |
| 5 |  Tottenham Hotspur W | 22 | -3 | 36 | — |
| 6 |  London City Lionesses W | 22 | -7 | 27 | — |
| 7 |  Brighton W | 22 | -1 | 26 | — |
| 8 |  Everton W | 22 | -12 | 23 | — |
| 9 | Aston Villa W | 23 | -20 | 21 | — |
| 10 |  West Ham W | 22 | -25 | 19 | — |
| 11 |  Liverpool W | 22 | -13 | 17 | — |
| 12 |  Leicester City FC W | 22 | -41 | 9 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Aston Villa W 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Manchester City W 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Manchester City W
6/8Wins
3.1Goals / game
0.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Manchester City W’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Aston Villa W
7 matchesResults1 wins · 1 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.3
Goals conceded per game2.9
Games with 3+ goals5 of 7
Both teams scored5 of 7
Past results, not predictions.
Manchester City W
8 matchesResults6 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game3.1
Goals conceded per game0.6
Games with 3+ goals6 of 8
Both teams scored3 of 8
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Aston Villa W at home with Manchester City W away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:03 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
FA WSL · 2025/26 · all league matches
Aston Villa WManchester City W
16Matches played16
16Points earned42
4Wins14
1.4Goals scored / match2.9
2.3Goals conceded / match0.8
5Clean sheets5
2Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Aston Villa W at home with Manchester City W away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Aston Villa W
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Natalia Arroyo
- 26
E. RoebuckG - 14
L. WilmsD - 4
A. PattenD - 15
L. ParkerD - 32
J. NighswongerD - 6
O. Jean-FrancoisM - 25
M. TaylorM - 23
C. Grant - 21
L. KendallM - 16
N. MaritzM - 20
K. HansonF
Substitutes (8)
1 · S. D'Angelo
24 · O. Deslandes
17 · E. Salmon
5 · L. Staniforth
38 · R. Maltby
44 · I. Seymour
46 · P. Lea
47 · J. Johnson
Manchester City W
Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Andree Jeglertz
- 35
K. KeatingG - 18
K. CasparijD - 4
J. RoseD - 27
R. KnaakD - 5
A. GreenwoodD - 17
S. CoffeyM - 14
KerolinM - 19
L. BlindkildeM - 10
V. MiedemaM - 11
L. HempM - 9
K. ShawF
Substitutes (9)
1 · E. Cumings
7 · L. Coombs
15 · L. Ouahabi
22 · S. Lohmann
46 · L. Murphy
48 · R. Adedini
24 · I. Beney
30 · A. Oyama
28 · G. Prior
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Aston Villa W
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellie Roebuck | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Lynn Wilms | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 41 | 2 |
| Anna Patten | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 30 | 1 |
| Lucy Parker | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 42 | — |
| Jenna Nighswonger | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 1 |
| Oriane Jean Francois | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 43 | 2 |
| Miriael Taylor | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 44 | 4 |
| Chasity Grant | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 30 | 2 |
| Lucia Kendall | 89 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 36 | 3 |
| Noelle Maritz | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 30 | 1 |
| Kirsty Hanson | 89 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 24 | 1 |
| Lucy Staniforth | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Ebony Salmon | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 2 | 1 |
| Sabrina D'Angelo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oceane Deslandes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jessica Johnson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Piper Lea | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Imogen Seymour | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rachel Maltby | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Manchester City W
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khiara Keating | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Kerstin Casparij | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | — | 32 | 2 |
| Jade Rose | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 47 | 1 |
| Rebecca Knaak | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | 3 | 57 | 1 |
| Alex Greenwood | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 43 | 1 |
| Samantha Coffey | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 37 | 4 |
| Kerolin Nicoli | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 21 | 1 |
| Laura Blindkilde | 65 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 1 |
| Vivianne Miedema | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 3 | 23 | — |
| Lauren Hemp | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 1 |
| Khadija Shaw | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 4 | 15 | 1 |
| Sydney Lohmann | 25 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 3 |
| Eartha Cumings | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leila Ouahabi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gracie Prior | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Laura Coombs | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aemu Oyama | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lily Murphy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rachael Adedini | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iman Beney | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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