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FA WSLMatchweek 17THE MATCH CENTRE

Chelsea W vs Brighton W match centre

Chelsea W badgeChelsea WHome · 3 in league
LWWWW
Momentum↗ Rising86/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Brighton W badgeBrighton WAway · 7 in league
WLLDW
Momentum↗ Rising48/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
A. Thompson13′
A. Potter39′
C. Camacho17′
Kingsmeadow · LondonSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate96.4%Chelsea W
Draw3.6%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%Brighton W
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Chelsea W 4.4% · no further goal 91.9% · Brighton W 3.7%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Chelsea WBrighton W
3Corner Kicks4
13Fouls9
3Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves2
546Total passes400
485Passes accurate319

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Super League, Women

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Manchester City W22+4355—
2Chelsea W23+2552↑ 1
3Arsenal W22+3951↓ 1
4Manchester United W22+1640—
5Tottenham Hotspur W22-336—
6London City Lionesses W22-727—
7Brighton W23-226—
8Everton W22-1223—
9Aston Villa W22-2020—
10West Ham W22-2519—
11Liverpool W22-1317—
12Leicester City FC W22-419—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Chelsea W 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Brighton W 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Chelsea W

5/8Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 5 available matches.

Inspect Chelsea W’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Brighton W

3/7Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Brighton W’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Chelsea W at home with Brighton W away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:50 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

FA WSL · 2025/26 · all league matches

Chelsea WBrighton W
16Matches played15
33Points earned17
10Wins5
1.8Goals scored / match1.3
0.8Goals conceded / match1.3
8Clean sheets4
2Failed to score4

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Chelsea W at home with Brighton W away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Chelsea W

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Sonia Bompastor
  1. 24H. HamptonG
  2. 6S. NuskenD
  3. 22L. BronzeD
  4. 5V. Buurman
  5. 17S. BaltimoreD
  6. 32A. PotterM
  7. 30K. WalshM
  8. 12A. ThompsonM
  9. 18W. KapteinM
  10. 10L. JamesM
  11. 33A. Beever-Jones
Substitutes (7)

38 · R. Spencer

1 · L. Peng

8 · E. Cuthbert

26 · K. Buchanan

42 · C. Sarwie

43 · G. Storey

47 · L. Shooter

Brighton W

Confirmed formation4-3-1-2Dario Vidosic
  1. 1C. NnadozieG
  2. 27R. McLauchlanD
  3. 18C. HayesD
  4. 2M. VanegasD
  5. 19M. Olislagers
  6. 15N. Noordam
  7. 8M. SymondsM
  8. 10J. CankovicM
  9. 14F. KirbyM
  10. 22C. CamachoF
  11. 21M. HaleyF
Substitutes (9)

25 · H. Poulter

32 · S. Baggaley

20 · O. Tvedten

6 · R. Kafaji

29 · F. Tsunoda

17 · R. Rayner

23 · M. Auee

5 · M. Mpome

41 · T. Warren

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Chelsea W

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Hannah Hampton906.9—0—43—
Sjoeke Nüsken907.2—01683
Lucy Bronze907.3—0—742
Veerle Buurman906.3—0—481
Sandy Baltimore906.6—1—511
Alexia Potter908.7102513
Keira Walsh906.9—01562
Alyssa Thompson658.3112301
Wieke Kaptein846.2—0—382
Lauren James577.3—0—321
Aggie Beever-Jones906.5—01291
Kadeisha Buchanan337.2—0—162
Erin Cuthbert256.7—0—7—
Chloe Sarwie116.6—0—31
Livia Peng———————
Rebecca Spencer———————
Gabriella Storey———————
Lois Shooter———————

Brighton W

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Chiamaka Nnadozie906.3—0—42—
Rachel Mclauchlan846.2—0122—
Caitlin Hayes906.3—0—511
Manuela Vanegas906.9—0—624
Marisa Olislagers675.9—0—23—
Nadine Noordam676.2—1—24—
Maisie Symonds906.2—01383
Jelena Čanković906.6—0—361
Francesca Kirby846.3—0—21—
Carla Camacho457.610111—
Madison Haley907.2—0—202
Rebecca Rayner456.2—0—131
Maelys Mpomé236.6—0—171
Rosa Kafaji236.3—0—8—
Marit Auée116.3—0—9—
Olaug Tvedten116.7—0—3—
Sophie Baggaley———————
Hannah Poulter———————
Fuka Tsunoda———————
Warren Taylor———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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