El Mokawloon
3/6Wins
1.0Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 2 available matches.
Inspect El Mokawloon’s results
Premier LeagueMatchweek 21THE MATCH CENTREEl Mokawloon vs Al Ahly match centre
90′ · Live
1:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
M. Salim85′
Trezeguet35′
E. Ashour71′
H. El Shahat90+6′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.0%El Mokawloon
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate99.9%Al Ahly
Another goal8.2%before full time
Next goal: El Mokawloon 4.6% · no further goal 91.8% · Al Ahly 3.6%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.El MokawloonAl Ahly
1.010Expected goals · API-Football1.000
5Shots on target3
12Total Shots8
31%Ball Possession69%
3Corner Kicks3
13Fouls13
2Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves4
210Total passes494
126Passes accurate400
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Premier League: Regular seasonProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zamalek SC | 20 | +19 | 43 | — |
| 2 |  Pyramids FC | 20 | +18 | 43 | — |
| 3 |  Al Ahly | 21 | +16 | 43 | — |
| 4 |  Ceramica Cleopatra | 20 | +13 | 38 | — |
| 5 |  AL Masry | 20 | +9 | 32 | — |
| 6 |  Smouha SC | 20 | +8 | 31 | — |
| 7 |  Enppi | 20 | +4 | 30 | — |
| 8 |  Masr | 20 | +5 | 29 | ↑ 1 |
| 9 |  Wadi Degla | 20 | +3 | 29 | ↓ 1 |
| 10 |  El Gouna FC | 20 | +1 | 28 | — |
| 11 |  National Bank of Egypt | 20 | +4 | 26 | — |
| 12 |  Petrojet | 20 | -2 | 25 | — |
| 13 |  Future FC | 20 | -6 | 23 | — |
| 14 |  El Geish | 20 | -10 | 22 | — |
| 15 |  Al Ittihad | 20 | -9 | 20 | — |
| 16 |  Ghazl El Mehalla | 20 | -3 | 19 | — |
| 17 | El Mokawloon | 21 | -10 | 18 | — |
| 18 |  Haras El Hodood | 20 | -14 | 17 | — |
| 19 |  Kahraba Ismailia | 20 | -15 | 16 | — |
| 20 |  Pharco | 20 | -14 | 15 | — |
| 21 |  Ismaily SC | 20 | -17 | 11 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
El Mokawloon 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Al Ahly 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Al Ahly
5/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
0.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect Al Ahly’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
El Mokawloon
6 matchesResults3 wins · 2 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game0.7
Games with 3+ goals1 of 6
Both teams scored3 of 6
Past results, not predictions.
Al Ahly
10 matchesResults5 wins · 5 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game0.4
Games with 3+ goals1 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
MasrHome · Premier League1–1Smouha SCAway · Premier League1–0El Gouna FCHome · Premier League1–0FAR RabatHome · CAF Champions League0–0Ismaily SCHome · Premier League2–0JS KabylieAway · CAF Champions League0–0National Bank of EgyptAway · Premier League1–1Young AfricansAway · CAF Champions League1–1Wadi DeglaHome · Premier League3–1Young AfricansHome · CAF Champions League2–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare El Mokawloon at home with Al Ahly away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 10:08 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Premier League · 2025/26 · all league matches
El MokawloonAl Ahly
19Matches played18
18Points earned37
3Wins10
0.6Goals scored / match1.6
0.9Goals conceded / match0.9
4Clean sheets6
9Failed to score3
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares El Mokawloon at home with Al Ahly away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
El Mokawloon
Confirmed formation4-4-2Samy Elsoudany
- 1
M. Aboul SaoudG - 4
H. Hussein - 21
I. AbdellahD - 3
M. HamedD - 24
N. HeshamD - 44
A. HawashM - 14
M. GamalM - 31
M. AdelM - 28
A. Ouled BehiM - 32
H. FaisalF - 25
J. OjeraF
Substitutes (9)
18 · M. Fawzi
19 · I. Al Kadi
10 · S. Naguib
26 · Kahraba
13 · M. Hozian
74 · M. Abdelnasser
99 · H. Mohamed
9 · M. Salim
12 · O. El Wahsh
Al Ahly
Confirmed formation4-3-3Jess Thorup
- 31
O. ShobeirG - 28
K. FouadD - 21
H. Reyad - 6
Y. IbrahimD - 20
Y. BelammariD - 7
TrezeguetM - 13
M. AttiaM - 22
E. AshourM - 23
A. DiengF - 27
M. OtakaF - 25
ZizoF
Substitutes (9)
1 · M. El Shenawy
10 · M. Sherif
29 · T. Mohamed
14 · H. El Shahat
24 · A. Eid
4 · A. Ramadan
17 · A. Bencharki
5 · M. Ben Romdhane
36 · A. Kouka
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
El Mokawloon
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mahmoud Abou El-Saoud | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Hassan Hussein Shakoush | 73 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 3 |
| Islam Abdallah | 59 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 1 |
| Mohamed Hamed | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Nader Hesham | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 23 | 4 |
| Ahmed Nader Hawash | 73 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 3 | 14 | — |
| Mostafa Gamal | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 3 |
| Mohamed Adel | 90 | 6.7 | — | 1 | — | 26 | 1 |
| Ahmed Ouled Behi | 73 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 11 | — |
| Hussein Faisal | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 33 | 2 |
| Joackiam Ojera | 79 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Ibrahim El Kadi | 31 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 1 |
| Kahraba | 17 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Shokry Naguib | 17 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | — |
| Mohamed Salem | 17 | 7.5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | — | — |
| Mohamed Abdelnasser | 11 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| Mohamed Fawzi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Hozian | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Omar El Wahsh | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hazem Mohamed | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al Ahly
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mostafa Shobeir | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 37 | — |
| Karim Fouad | 9 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 3 | 1 |
| Hady Reyad | 90 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 64 | — |
| Yasser Ibrahim | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 85 | 2 |
| Youssef Belammari | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 46 | — |
| Mahmoud Trézéguet | 81 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | — |
| Marwan Attia | 81 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 61 | 1 |
| Emam Ashour | 90 | 8.3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 42 | 1 |
| Aliou Dieng | 66 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 28 | 1 |
| Marwan Osman | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 11 | 2 |
| Zizo | 66 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Ahmed Eid | 81 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 34 | 1 |
| Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane | 24 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 2 |
| Achraf Bencharki | 24 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 8 | — |
| Ahmed Nabil Koka | 9 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Hussein El Shahat | 9 | 5.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | — |
| Mohamed El-Shenawy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Ramadan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Sherif | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Taher Mohamed | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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