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TuS BW Königsdorf vs Pesch match centre

TuS BW Königsdorf badgeTuS BW KönigsdorfHome · 9 in league
WWLWL
Momentum→ Steady54/100OlderLatest
Technical loss
14:30
UK time · Europe/London
Pesch badgePeschAway · 16 in league
LLLLL
Momentum↓ Low0/100OlderLatest
Venue to be confirmedSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Match winner · 90 minutes Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Reported absences can change the picture. Check confirmed lineups before kickoff. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

TuS BW Königsdorf 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Pesch 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

A SECOND MODEL VIEW

Compare the forecasts

Pre-match only

Two separately generated forecasts. Agreement is not proof of accuracy; both may use overlapping football data.

Kickoff Edge

Our stored model estimate

No valid forecast received yet.

See the match forecast for model details.

API-Football

Provider model estimate

Provider forecast under review

Provider percentages are missing or invalid.

Provider team identities do not match this fixture.

Provider forecast is missing a current timestamp or is more than two hours old.

Provider competition sample for the home team is fewer than five matches or unavailable.

Provider competition sample for the away team is fewer than five matches or unavailable.

Awaiting provider forecast

Provider percentages and advice are withheld when team identities, freshness, competition samples or large bookmaker disagreements fail our quality checks. Accepted percentages are shown as supplied; they are not guarantees. These are forecasts, not bookmaker prices or live win probabilities. No assumption is made that either model accounts for the injury report above.

FROM OUR STORED RESULTS

Kickoff Edge history fallback

Experimental research

The provider forecast failed our quality checks and a verified primary forecast is unavailable. This separate estimate uses TuS BW Königsdorf’s 13 and Pesch’s 8 prior completed games across competitions.

TuS BW Königsdorf55.1%
Draw19.9%
Pesch25.0%

Up to 20 stored results per team in the previous year; 180-day decay; five-match prior at 1.35 goals; joint Poisson score model. No opponent-strength, lineup or xG adjustment; not calibrated or eligible for tips. The bookmaker comparison is a quality check; odds do not enter this model. Inspect the recorded results.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Pesch

1/8Wins
1.0Goals / game
4.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Pesch’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Confirmed lineups are not available on this page yet.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

TuS BW Königsdorf

10 matches
Oldest newest
Results6 wins · 0 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game2.3
Goals conceded per game2.1
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10

Past results, not predictions.

See results

Pesch

8 matches
Oldest newest
Results1 wins · 0 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game4.1
Games with 3+ goals6 of 8
Both teams scored2 of 8

Past results, not predictions.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare TuS BW Königsdorf at home with Pesch away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 5 Oct, 09:30 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 2025/26 · all league matches

TuS BW KönigsdorfPesch
28Matches played23
41Points earned8
12Wins2
1.8Goals scored / match1.1
1.9Goals conceded / match4.3
5Clean sheets2
4Failed to score9

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares TuS BW Königsdorf at home with Pesch away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Awaiting lineups

Official XIs are normally published around 20–60 minutes before kickoff. We check again automatically once that window opens.

TuS BW Königsdorf

Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied

Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.

Pesch

Most-used league formationPendingNo formation data supplied

Starting XI not confirmed. The formation above is a season trend, not a predicted lineup.

2025/26 STANDINGS

Oberliga - Mittelrhein table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Mittelrheinliga . Both teams are highlighted.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Bergisch Gladbach30207385285767
WDWWL
2Eintracht Hohkeppel30204686365064
WWWWL
3Siegburger SV30196675344162
LWLWW
4SSV Merten30186680285260
WWWDW
5VfL Vichttal30186780433759
LWWWD
6Wegberg-Beeck30156962352751
WDWDL
7Frechen301621266541250
WWLLW
8Bornheim30144126556946
WLWWW
9TuS BW Königsdorf30144125354-146
WLWLW
10Fortuna Köln II301361162471545
WWLLL
11Düren Merzenich30115144959-1038
LLWLL
12Hennef 0530112174566-2135
LLWWW
13Porz3074195899-4125
LLLLD
14Teutonia Weiden30442225104-7916
LLLLL
15SF Düren30422441103-6214
LLLLL
16Pesch30222626112-868
LLLWL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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