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FriendliesFriendlies 1THE MATCH CENTRE

Japan vs Brazil match centre

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Momentum↘ Falling60/100OlderLatest
Full time
3:2
UK time · Europe/London
Brazil badgeBrazilAway
WDWLW
Momentum↘ Falling66/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Takumi Minamino52′
Keito Nakamura62′
Ayase Ueda71′
Paulo Henrique26′
Gabriel Martinelli32′
Ajinomoto Stadium · TokyoSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
JapanBrazil
4Corner Kicks2
15Fouls9
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves3
352Total passes754
296Passes accurate683

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Japan 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Brazil 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Japan

3/3Wins
2.3Goals / game
0.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 2 available matches.

Inspect Japan’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Brazil

2/4Wins
2.0Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 2 available matches.

Inspect Brazil’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Japan at home with Brazil away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:48 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Friendlies · 2025/26 · all league matches

JapanBrazil
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Japan at home with Brazil away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Japan

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Hajime Moriyasu
  1. 1Zion SuzukiG
  2. 4Tsuyoshi WatanabeD
  3. 3Shogo TaniguchiD
  4. 25Junnosuke SuzukiD
  5. 10Ritsu DoanM
  6. 21Kaishu SanoM
  7. 15Daichi KamadaM
  8. 13Keito NakamuraM
  9. 20Takefusa KuboF
  10. 8Takumi MinaminoF
  11. 18Ayase UedaF
Substitutes (14)

14 · Junya Ito

17 · Ao Tanaka

7 · Yuki Soma

9 · Shuto Machino

26 · Henry Heroki Mochizuki

19 · Koki Ogawa

12 · Keisuke Osako

23 · Tomoki Hayakawa

5 · Yuto Nagatomo

22 · Ayumu Seko

16 · Tomoya Ando

2 · Daiki Hashioka

24 · Koki Saito

6 · Joel Chima Fujita

Brazil

Confirmed formation4-3-3
  1. 1Hugo SouzaG
  2. 13Paulo HenriqueD
  3. 14Fabrício BrunoD
  4. 15Lucas BeraldoD
  5. 24Carlos AugustoD
  6. 8Bruno GuimarãesM
  7. 5CasemiroM
  8. 11Lucas PaquetáM
  9. 19Luiz HenriqueF
  10. 7Vinícius JúniorF
  11. 22Gabriel MartinelliF
Substitutes (15)

17 · Joelinton

21 · Matheus Cunha

10 · Rodrygo

16 · Caio Henrique

20 · Estêvão

9 · Richarlison

23 · John Victor

12 · Bento

6 · Douglas Santos

3 · Gabriel Magalhães

4 · Éder Militão

2 · Vitinho

25 · João Gomes

18 · André

26 · Igor Jesus

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Japan

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Zion Suzuki906.9—0—19—
Tsuyoshi Watanabe906.6—0—324
Shogo Taniguchi906.7—0—351
Junnosuke Suzuki906.6—0—416
Ritsu Doan857.9—01332
Kaishu Sano906.3—0—32—
Daichi Kamada856.2—0—55—
Keito Nakamura747.210120—
Takefusa Kubo546.9—0—19—
Takumi Minamino747.210218—
Ayase Ueda747.5102161
Junya Ito368.0—2—12—
Ao Tanaka167.0—0191
Yuki Soma166.6—013—
Shuto Machino166.3—0—6—
Henry Heroki Mochizuki126.3—0——1
Koki Ogawa126.6—0—2—
Keisuke Osako———————
Tomoki Hayakawa———————
Yuto Nagatomo———————
Ayumu Seko———————
Tomoya Ando———————
Daiki Hashioka———————
Koki Saito———————
Joel Chima Fujita———————

Brazil

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Hugo Souza906.0—0—24—
Paulo Henrique907.7101691
Fabrício Bruno906.3—0—111—
Lucas Beraldo906.7—0—122—
Carlos Augusto756.2—0—50—
Bruno Guimarães577.2—1—541
Casemiro907.5—01725
Lucas Paquetá757.3—11552
Luiz Henrique756.6—0—231
Vinícius Júnior576.6—0—283
Gabriel Martinelli576.910114—
Joelinton336.9—02371
Matheus Cunha336.7—0—161
Rodrygo337.2—0—44—
Caio Henrique157.0—0—23—
Estêvão156.2—0—9—
Richarlison156.5—013—
John Victor———————
Bento———————
Douglas Santos———————
Gabriel Magalhães———————
Éder Militão———————
Vitinho———————
João Gomes———————
André———————
Igor Jesus———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

Friendlies table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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