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Real Madrid vs Monaco match centre

Real Madrid badgeReal MadridHome · 9 in league
WWLDW
Momentum→ Steady65/100OlderLatest
Full time
6:1
UK time · Europe/London
Monaco badgeMonacoAway · 21 in league
LWLWL
Momentum→ Steady40/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
K. Mbappe5′
K. Mbappe26′
F. Mastantuono51′
T. Kehrer55′ (og)
Vinicius Junior63′
J. Bellingham80′
J. Teze72′
Venue to be confirmedSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Real MadridMonaco
10Corner Kicks6
9Fouls11
1Yellow Cards1
Red Cards
5Goalkeeper Saves1
478Total passes507
429Passes accurate439

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Real Madrid 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Monaco 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Real Madrid

1/2Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect Real Madrid’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Monaco

0/3Wins
0.7Goals / game
3.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 1 available matches.

Inspect Monaco’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Real Madrid at home with Monaco away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:04 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

UEFA Champions League · 2025/26 · all league matches

Real MadridMonaco
6Matches played6
12Points earned9
4Wins2
2.2Goals scored / match1.2
1.2Goals conceded / match1.4
2Clean sheets3
1Failed to score1

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Real Madrid at home with Monaco away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Real Madrid

Confirmed formation4-3-3Alvaro Arbeloa
  1. 1T. CourtoisG
  2. 8F. ValverdeD
  3. 17R. AsencioD
  4. 24D. HuijsenD
  5. 6E. CamavingaD
  6. 15A. GulerM
  7. 14A. TchouameniM
  8. 5J. BellinghamM
  9. 30F. MastantuonoF
  10. 10K. MbappeF
  11. 7Vinicius JuniorF
Substitutes (9)

13 · A. Lunin

26 · Fran

2 · D. Carvajal

4 · D. Alaba

16 · G. Garcia

19 · D. Ceballos

20 · F. Garcia

33 · P. Fortuny

47 · D. Mesonero

Monaco

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Sebastien Pocognoli
  1. 16P. KohnG
  2. 2VandersonD
  3. 3E. DierD
  4. 5T. KehrerD
  5. 12Caio HenriqueD
  6. 6D. ZakariaM
  7. 4J. TezeM
  8. 11M. AklioucheM
  9. 31A. FatiM
  10. 10A. GolovinM
  11. 9F. BalogunF
Substitutes (11)

40 · J. Stawiecki

50 · Y. Lienard

14 · M. Biereth

17 · S. Idumbo

19 · G. Ilenikhena

20 · K. Ouattara

21 · L. Michal

23 · A. Bamba

28 · M. Coulibaly

41 · I. Toure

44 · S. Nibombe

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Real Madrid

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Thibaut Courtois907.5—0—25—
Federico Valverde837.2—2—50—
Raúl Asencio456.9—0—271
Dean Huijsen906.2—01491
Eduardo Camavinga777.3—0—441
Arda Güler766.9—11501
Aurélien Tchouaméni907.2—01463
Jude Bellingham908.5103542
Franco Mastantuono718.310421—
Kylian Mbappé909.520234—
Vinícius Júnior9010.0122371
Dani Ceballos456.3—0—22—
Gonzalo García196.5—0—3—
Daniel Carvajal146.7—017—
Fran García136.3—0—8—
Dani Meso116.5—0—5—
Andriy Lunin———————
Fran González———————
David Alaba———————
Pol Fortuny———————

Monaco

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Philipp Köhn905.3—0—23—
Vanderson615.6—0—332
Eric Dier905.7—0132—
Thilo Kehrer903.9—01611
Caio Henrique905.9—0—482
Denis Zakaria736.5—0—571
Jordan Teze908.2103682
Maghnes Akliouche906.2—03591
Ansu Fati616.3—01191
Aleksandr Golovin846.3—01531
Folarin Balogun736.7—0318—
Kassoum Ouattara296.3—01132
Mamadou Coulibaly296.5—0—111
Aladji Bamba176.9—0—7—
George Ilenikhena176.2—014—
Lucas Michal106.2—0—3—
Yann Lienard———————
Jules Stawiecki———————
Ilane Toure———————
Stanis Idumbo Muzambo———————
Samuel Nibombe———————
Mika Biereth———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

UEFA Champions League table

League centre ↗

Current standings · UEFA Champions League. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Arsenal88002341924
WWWWW
2Bayern München87012281421
WWWLW
3Liverpool86022081218
WWWLW
4Tottenham85211771017
WWWLW
5Barcelona85122214816
WWWLD
6Chelsea85121710716
WWLWD
7Sporting CP85121711616
WWLWD
8Manchester City8512159616
WLWLW
9Real Madrid85032112915
LWLWL
10Inter8503157815
WLLLW
11Paris Saint Germain842221111014
DLDWL
12Newcastle84221771014
DWDLW
13Juventus83411410413
DWWWD
14Atletico Madrid84131715213
LDWWW
15Atalanta84131010013
LLWWW
16Bayer Leverkusen83321314-112
WLDWW
17Borussia Dortmund83231917211
LLDWL
18Olympiakos Piraeus83231014-411
WWWLD
19Club Brugge KV83141517-210
WWLLD
20Galatasaray8314911-210
LDLLW
21Monaco8242814-610
DLWDW
22Qarabag83141321-810
LWLLD
23Bodo/Glimt82331415-19
WWDLL
24Benfica83051012-29
WLWWL
25Marseille83051114-39
LLWWL
26Pafos8233811-39
WLLDW
27Union St. Gilloise8305817-99
WLLWL
28PSV Eindhoven8224161608
LLLWD
29Athletic Club8224914-58
LWDDL
30Napoli8224915-68
LDLWD
31FC Copenhagen82241221-98
LDWWL
32Ajax8206821-136
LWWLL
33Eintracht Frankfurt81161021-114
LLLLD
34Slavia Praha8035519-143
LLLDL
35Villarreal8017518-131
LLLLL
36Kairat Almaty8017722-151
LLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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