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First LeagueMatchweek 16THE MATCH CENTRE

Septemvri Sofia vs Ludogorets match centre

Septemvri Sofia badgeSeptemvri SofiaHome · 14 in league
W
Momentum→ Limited sample100/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:2
UK time · Europe/London
Ludogorets badgeLudogoretsAway · 2 in league
Momentum→ Unavailable—
Goalscorers
D. Almeida25′
I. Chochev67′
Stadion Lokomotiv · SofiaSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
—Corner Kicks—
—Fouls—
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
—Goalkeeper Saves—
—Total passes—
—Passes accurate—

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Septemvri Sofia 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Ludogorets 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Ludogorets

1/1Wins
5.0Goals / game
0.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. No matching venue sample is available.

Inspect Ludogorets’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

Ludogorets

1 matches
Oldest newest
Results1 wins · 0 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game5.0
Goals conceded per game0.0
Games with 3+ goals1 of 1
Both teams scored0 of 1

Only a few results are available.

See results
About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Septemvri Sofia at home with Ludogorets away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:04 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

First League · 2025/26 · all league matches

Septemvri SofiaLudogorets
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Septemvri Sofia at home with Ludogorets away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

5 recorded meetings

Septemvri Sofia

0wins
1 draw

Ludogorets

4wins

Jul 2022 – Jul 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Septemvri Sofia first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Septemvri Sofia

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Hristo Arangelov
  1. 21Y. GeorgievG
  2. 23R. SchoutenD
  3. 4M. HristovD
  4. 26V. OzornwaforD
  5. 27G. VarbanovD
  6. 5Y. BaurenskiM
  7. 6V. OchayiM
  8. 17N. FontaineM
  9. 33G. IvanovM
  10. 28S. StoichkovM
  11. 9B. FourrierF
Substitutes (9)

12 · Ivanov Vladimir

25 · A. Aruna

20 · B. Tomovski

10 · K. Serber

13 · K. Onasci

7 · M. Parra

14 · S. Vasilev

3 · S. Wade

18 · M. Bibishkov

Ludogorets

Confirmed formation4-4-2Per-Mathias Hogmo
  1. 39H. BonmannG
  2. 17SonD
  3. 55I. NachmiasD
  4. 4D. AlmeidaD
  5. 3A. NedyalkovD
  6. 37B. TekpeteyM
  7. 30Pedro NaressiM
  8. 18I. ChochevM
  9. 11Caio VidalM
  10. 14P. StanicF
  11. 29E. BileF
Substitutes (9)

67 · D. Hristov

9 · K. Duah

10 · M. Machado

20 · A. Camara

23 · D. Duarte

24 · O. Verdon

25 · E. Rodriguez

26 · F. Kaloc

82 · I. Yordanov

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Septemvri Sofia

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Yanko Georgiev906.500—220
Robin Schouten906.700—510
Martin Hristov906.200—470
Valentine Ozornwafor906.900—560
Georgi Varbanov795.900—352
Yoan Baurenski566.900—270
Victor Ochayi466.700—200
Nicolas Fontaine907.0002330
Galin Ivanov797.0002300
Stoyan Stoichkov907.000—300
Bertrand Fourrier906.9001120
Moi Parra526.300—170
Kubrat Onashchi426.900—230
Kleri Serber196.300—70
Ali Aruna196.600140
Marsel Bibishkov86.200—00

Ludogorets

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Hendrik Bonmann907.900—260
Son906.900—420
Idan Nachmias907.200—490
Dinis Almeida908.2101470
Anton Nedyalkov907.300—380
Bernard Tekpetey636.5002170
Pedro Naressi637.0001231
Ivajlo Chochev908.2101263
Caio Vidal908.5003280
Petar Stanić906.901—290
Yves Erick Bile726.700180
Aguibou Camara346.5001160
Deroy Duarte346.900—91
Kwadwo Duah266.700—70
Filip Kaloč86.300—20
2025/26 STANDINGS

First League table

League centre ↗

Current standings · A PFG: Regular season. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Levski Sofia30224464224270
DWDWW
2Ludogorets30179457203760
LDWWW
3CSKA 194830185750311959
WWLWW
4CSKA Sofia30168643232056
DWWWL
5Lokomotiv Plovdiv30111363033-346
DDWWW
6Cherno More Varna30111183326744
LDLLW
7Arda Kardzhali30128103327644
WLWWW
8Botev Plovdiv30117124037340
WDWWL
9Slavia Sofia30109113633339
DLWLD
10Botev Vratsa30911102426-238
WLDLW
11Lokomotiv Sofia30910114039137
LWLLW
12Spartak Varna30512132550-2527
DWLLL
13Dobrudzha3075182343-2026
LLDLL
14Septemvri Sofia3075182558-3326
DWDLL
15Beroe30411151944-2523
DLLWL
16Montana3038191545-3017
DLLLL
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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