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First LeagueMatchweek 23THE MATCH CENTRE

Dobrudzha vs Cherno More Varna match centre

Dobrudzha badgeDobrudzhaHome · 13 in league
WLWDW
Momentum→ Steady68/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London
Cherno More Varna badgeCherno More VarnaAway · 6 in league
WWDDD
Momentum↘ Falling54/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
M. Triki18′
I. Mihaylov32′
I. Mihaylov3′ (og)
Stadion Spartak · DobrichSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate97.9%Dobrudzha
Draw2.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Cherno More Varna
Another goal7.5%before full time

Next goal: Dobrudzha 5.3% · no further goal 92.5% · Cherno More Varna 2.2%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
DobrudzhaCherno More Varna
6Corner Kicks2
10Fouls18
4Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
3Goalkeeper Saves4
315Total passes399
236Passes accurate306

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

A PFG: Regular season

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Levski Sofia30+4270—
2Ludogorets30+3760—
3CSKA 194830+1959—
4CSKA Sofia30+2056—
5Lokomotiv Plovdiv30-346—
6Cherno More Varna31+644—
7Arda Kardzhali30+644—
8Botev Plovdiv30+340—
9Slavia Sofia30+339—
10Botev Vratsa30-238—
11Lokomotiv Sofia30+137—
12Dobrudzha31-1929↑ 1
13Spartak Varna30-2527↓ 1
14Septemvri Sofia30-3326—
15Beroe30-2523—
16Montana30-3017—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Dobrudzha 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Cherno More Varna 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Dobrudzha

4/7Wins
1.4Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 4 available matches.

Inspect Dobrudzha’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Dobrudzha at home with Cherno More Varna away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:23 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

First League · 2025/26 · all league matches

DobrudzhaCherno More Varna
22Matches played22
19Points earned36
5Wins9
0.8Goals scored / match1.2
1.3Goals conceded / match0.7
5Clean sheets10
11Failed to score7

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Dobrudzha at home with Cherno More Varna away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Dobrudzha

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Yasen Petrov
  1. 13G. GrigorovG
  2. 15B. KostovD
  3. 98I. MihaylovD
  4. 3D. PirgovD
  5. 37V. KerchevD
  6. 35D. LovricM
  7. 7A. IvanovM
  8. 27M. TrikiM
  9. 10T. Costa SilvaM
  10. 8A. AngelovM
  11. 9Valdumar
Substitutes (9)

1 · G. Argilashki

11 · B. Hanne

20 · A. Ramadan

23 · M. Fall

45 · D. Hasan

30 · G. Carvalho

70 · K. Stanev

88 · D. Madaleno

99 · G. Trifonov

Cherno More Varna

Confirmed formation4-4-2Ilian Iliev
  1. 33P. IlievG
  2. 50E. TombakD
  3. 3Z. AtanasovD
  4. 4R. StefanovD
  5. 2T. PanovD
  6. 77C. SidneyM
  7. 29B. BeyhanM
  8. 10A. ChandarovM
  9. 39N. ZlatevM
  10. 9J. PadillaF
  11. 71V. PanayotovF
Substitutes (9)

81 · K. Tomov

16 · A. Calcan

8 · A. Donchev

28 · V. Drobarov

19 · G. Lazarov

24 · D. Teles

15 · D. Martin

23 · D. Tonev

22 · N. Kostadinov

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Dobrudzha

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Galin Grigorov907.500—180
Bogdan Kostov907.000—280
Ivaylo Mihaylov907.9101340
Dimitar Pirgov907.5002291
Ventsislav Kerchev906.900—330
Di Mateo Lovrić666.7001260
Anton Ivanov907.3003280
Montassar Triki907.9103260
Tomás Silva887.301—300
Angel Angelov666.500—130
Valdu Te886.901—120
Diogo Madaleno336.900—180
Boubacar Hanne336.600—100
Aykut Ramadan117.200170
Georgi Trifonov116.500—20
Malick Fall4—00—10

Cherno More Varna

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Plamen Iliev906.900—200
Ertan Tombak565.300—300
Zhivko Atanasov907.000—810
Rosen Stefanov906.900—550
Tsvetomir Panov486.000—151
Celso Sidney906.2002300
Berk Beyhan756.200—280
Asen Chandarov486.200—90
Nikolay Zlatev756.500—210
Jorge Padilla586.900190
Vasil Panayotov906.6001341
Dani Martín516.9001230
Georgi Lazarov516.700—70
Asen Donchev406.200—230
Andreias Calcan246.300—40
Dimitar Tonev246.300—100
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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