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First LeagueMatchweek 24THE MATCH CENTRE

Spartak Varna vs Montana match centre

Spartak Varna badgeSpartak VarnaHome · 12 in league
WDDDL
Momentum↘ Falling34/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
1:0
UK time · Europe/London
Montana badgeMontanaAway · 16 in league
LLLLD
Momentum↓ Low8/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
G. Stojanovski90′
Stadion Spartak · VarnaSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Market chance —See match research Draw—Market chance —See match research Away win—Market chance —See match research No stored odds · open the match for form and team context Chances are estimates for 90 minutes. Stored prices can change; likelihood alone does not establish value.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate97.6%Spartak Varna
Draw2.4%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Montana
Another goal5.8%before full time

Next goal: Spartak Varna 3.3% · no further goal 94.2% · Montana 2.5%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Spartak VarnaMontana
8Corner Kicks4
8Fouls9
2Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
415Total passes373
332Passes accurate291

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

A PFG: Regular season

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Levski Sofia30+4270—
2Ludogorets30+3760—
3CSKA 194830+1959—
4CSKA Sofia30+2056—
5Lokomotiv Plovdiv30-346—
6Cherno More Varna30+744—
7Arda Kardzhali30+644—
8Botev Plovdiv30+340—
9Slavia Sofia30+339—
10Botev Vratsa30-238—
11Lokomotiv Sofia30+137—
12Spartak Varna31-2430—
13Dobrudzha30-2026—
14Septemvri Sofia30-3326—
15Beroe30-2523—
16Montana31-3117—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Spartak Varna 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Montana 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Spartak Varna

3/9Wins
1.1Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 1 wins from 2 available matches.

Inspect Spartak Varna’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Montana

1/8Wins
0.4Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 3 available matches.

Inspect Montana’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Spartak Varna at home with Montana away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 09:49 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

First League · 2025/26 · all league matches

Spartak VarnaMontana
23Matches played23
20Points earned16
3Wins3
0.9Goals scored / match0.6
1.5Goals conceded / match1.6
5Clean sheets7
8Failed to score10

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Spartak Varna at home with Montana away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Spartak Varna

Confirmed formation4-4-2Gjoko Hadzievski
  1. 23M. KovalyovG
  2. 50M. Georgiev
  3. 3M. Juric-Petrasilo
  4. 44A. GranchovD
  5. 2B. IvanovD
  6. 10J. Lopes
  7. 88D. YordanovM
  8. 17T. MarinovM
  9. 21Xande
  10. 29TailsonF
  11. 9T. ChunchukovF
Substitutes (9)

6 · E. John

8 · D. Ivanov

18 · S. Moukachar

1 · P. Ribeiro

11 · A. Georgiev

90 · G. Stojanovski

7 · P. Prindzhev

13 · Tales

19 · E. Yanchev

Montana

Confirmed formation3-5-2Atanas Atanasov
  1. 1M. RosaG
  2. 3A. LinnerD
  3. 13J. SoaresD
  4. 18K. Iliev
  5. 16D. Carmona Sierra
  6. 23A. TungarovM
  7. 24A. TsingarasM
  8. 10A. TodorovM
  9. 14D. BurovM
  10. 9P. EjikeF
  11. 7B. DimitrovF
Substitutes (9)

30 · V. Simeonov

11 · Vitinho

15 · C. Acheampong

5 · I. Markov

26 · R. Slavchev

6 · V. Sakor

22 · Beji

27 · T. Azevedo

20 · U. Balde

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Spartak Varna

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Maksym Kovalyov907.000—110
Martin Georgiev707.3002411
Mateo Jurić-Petrašilo907.2001360
Angel Granchov907.301—391
Boris Ivanov907.500—550
Jota Lopes907.2002250
Damyan Yordanov906.900—461
Tsvetoslav Marinov906.9001621
Xandy907.9001461
Tailson746.9001410
Tsvetelin Chunchukov706.700101
Petar Prindzhev276.300—70
Georg Stojanovski277.510250
Emmanuel John4—00—00
Emil Yanchev4—00—10

Montana

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Márcio Rosa907.200—130
Albin Linnér907.200—240
Jorginho Soares906.700—370
Kostadin Iliev907.000—631
David Carmona666.500—191
Anton Tungarov906.6001360
Angelos Tsingaras907.0001370
Aleksandar Todorov666.500—270
Dimitar Burov907.200—440
Philip Ejike906.300—130
Boris Dimitrov454.600—60
Vitinho526.9001140
Vajebah Sakor316.900—170
Tomás Azevedo316.2001200
Umaro Baldé6—00—30
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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