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DFB PokalRound of 16THE MATCH CENTRE

Union Berlin vs Bayern München match centre

Union Berlin badgeUnion BerlinHome
W
Momentum→ Limited sample100/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:3
UK time · Europe/London
Bayern München badgeBayern MünchenAway
Momentum→ Unavailable—
Goalscorers
L. Querfeld40′ (pen)
L. Querfeld55′ (pen)
I. Ansah12′ (og)
H. Kane24′
D. Leite45′ (og)
An der alten Försterei · BerlinSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Union BerlinBayern München
2Corner Kicks4
14Fouls11
3Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
4Goalkeeper Saves5
289Total passes460
187Passes accurate338

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Union Berlin 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Bayern München 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Union Berlin

1/3Wins
4.0Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 2 available matches.

Inspect Union Berlin’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Bayern München

0/2Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 2 available matches.

Inspect Bayern München’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Union Berlin at home with Bayern München away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 04:50 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

DFB Pokal · 2025/26 · all league matches

Union BerlinBayern München
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Union Berlin at home with Bayern München away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Union Berlin

Confirmed formation3-4-1-2Steffen Baumgart
  1. 1F. RonnowG
  2. 5D. DoekhiD
  3. 14L. QuerfeldD
  4. 4D. LeiteD
  5. 19J. HabererM
  6. 6A. KemleinM
  7. 13A. SchaferM
  8. 15T. RotheM
  9. 8R. KhediraF
  10. 11Jeong Woo-YeongF
  11. 10I. AnsahF
Substitutes (9)

31 · M. Raab

18 · J. Juranovic

28 · C. Trimmel

33 · A. Kral

34 · S. Nsoki

39 · D. Kohn

9 · L. Burcu

21 · T. Skarke

27 · M. Ljubicic

Bayern München

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Vincent Jean Mpoy Kompany
  1. 1M. NeuerG
  2. 27K. LaimerD
  3. 2D. UpamecanoD
  4. 4J. TahD
  5. 44J. StanisicD
  6. 6J. KimmichM
  7. 45A. PavlovicM
  8. 17M. OliseM
  9. 42L. KarlM
  10. 14L. DiazM
  11. 9H. KaneF
Substitutes (9)

40 · J. Urbig

3 · Kim Min-Jae

21 · H. Ito

22 · R. Guerreiro

23 · S. Boey

8 · L. Goretzka

20 · T. Bischof

7 · S. Gnabry

11 · N. Jackson

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Union Berlin

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Frederik Rønnow906.9—0—26—
Danilho Doekhi905.6—01311
Leopold Querfeld907.2203351
Diogo Leite906.2—01363
Janik Haberer907.0—01252
Aljoscha Kemlein906.5—01311
András Schäfer836.6—03242
Tom Rothe886.5—0—314
Rani Khedira906.6—0—92
Woo-Yeong Jeong836.7—01231
Ilyas Ansah906.0—03112
Tim Skarke146.6—012—
Livan Burcu146.5—0—2—
Stanley N'Soki96.9—0—3—
Matheo Raab———————
Josip Juranović———————
Derrick Köhn———————
Christopher Trimmel———————
Alex Král———————
Marin Ljubičić———————

Bayern München

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Manuel Neuer907.0—0—48—
Konrad Laimer866.2—0—465
Dayot Upamecano907.3—0—569
Jonathan Tah906.7—0—521
Josip Stanišić906.5—0—441
Joshua Kimmich907.6—1—492
Aleksandar Pavlović496.3—0—321
Michael Olise866.5—02371
Lennart Karl736.2—0127—
Luis Díaz906.7—0131—
Harry Kane906.9102131
Leon Goretzka416.3—0—122
Serge Gnabry176.5—0—8—
Hiroki Itō116.6—0—4—
Min-jae Kim116.9—0—1—
Jonas Urbig———————
Sacha Boey———————
Raphaël Guerreiro———————
Tom Bischof———————
Nicolas Jackson———————
2025/26 STANDINGS

DFB Pokal table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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