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CupRound of 16THE MATCH CENTRE

Baltika vs Zenit match centre

Baltika badgeBaltikaHome
WWDWL
Momentum↘ Falling61/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
0:1
UK time · Europe/London
Zenit badgeZenitAway
LWDWW
Momentum↗ Rising72/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
A. Sobolev79′
Rostec Arena · KaliningradSeason 2025/26Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

Waiting for shots and shots-on-target data

BaltikaZenit
Corner Kicks
Fouls
4Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
Goalkeeper Saves
Total passes
Passes accurate

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

Round of 16Baltika 0–1 Zenit
Current progressionZenit
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Baltika 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Zenit 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Baltika

4/9Wins
1.1Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 6 available matches.

Inspect Baltika’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Zenit

5/8Wins
2.0Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 2 available matches.

Inspect Zenit’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Baltika at home with Zenit away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 04:30 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Cup · 2025/26 · all league matches

BaltikaZenit
7Matches played8
9Points earned21
3Wins7
1.3Goals scored / match2.7
1.3Goals conceded / match1.0
2Clean sheets4
2Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Baltika at home with Zenit away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

5 recorded meetings

Baltika

0wins
1 draw

Zenit

4wins

Nov 2023 – Feb 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.

Scores shown with Baltika first; venues vary.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Baltika

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Andrey Talalaev
  1. 81I. KukushkinG
  2. 2S. VaratynovD
  3. 16K. AndradeD
  4. 4N. GassamaD
  5. 14S. KovacM
  6. 8A. MendelM
  7. 10I. PetrovM
  8. 68M. RyadnoD
  9. 69I. ManelovF
  10. 15T. YenneM
  11. 39K. StepanovF
Substitutes (12)

67 · M. Borisko

44 · E. Lyubakov

25 · A. Filin

23 · M. Beveev

46 · K. Obonin

73 · M. Petrov

42 · V. Pospelov

11 · Y. Kovalev

22 · N. Titkov

5 · A. Mourid

26 · I. Belikov

91 · B. Gil

Zenit

Confirmed formation3-4-3Sergey Semak
  1. 1E. LatyshonokG
  2. 6V. DrkusicD
  3. 33NinoD
  4. 28N. AlipD
  5. 17A. MostovoyM
  6. 5W. BarriosM
  7. 61D. KondakovM
  8. 66R. VegaD
  9. 11Luiz HenriqueM
  10. 9J. DuranF
  11. 20PedrinhoM
Substitutes (12)

57 · B. Moskvichev

41 · M. Kerzhakov

4 · Y. Gorshkov

3 · D. Santos

23 · A. Adamov

78 · I. Diveev

31 · Gustavo Mantuan

21 · A. Erokhin

8 · Wendel

14 · Jhon Jhon

10 · M. Glushenkov

7 · A. Sobolev

2025/26 STANDINGS

Cup table

League centre ↗

Current standings. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

Standings are not available for this competition and season.

THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

PUT YOUR VIEW TO THE TEST

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