New York City FC
5/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect New York City FC’s results
Major League SoccerRegular seasonTHE MATCH CENTRENew York City FC vs Orlando City SC match centre
89′ · Live
5:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
A. Ojeda21′
N. Mercau42′
M. Moralez45+7′ (pen)
K. Parks49′
K. Parks54′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
89′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate100.0%New York City FC
Draw0.0%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Orlando City SC
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: New York City FC 5.7% · no further goal 92.3% · Orlando City SC 1.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.New York City FCOrlando City SC
2.520Expected goals · API-Football0.160
5Shots on target1
13Total Shots4
69%Ball Possession31%
4Corner Kicks2
13Fouls6
0Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
1Goalkeeper Saves0
587Total passes259
531Passes accurate192
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Eastern ConferenceProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 27 | +34 | 60 | — |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 27 | +14 | 46 | ↑ 1 |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 27 | +9 | 46 | ↓ 1 |
| 4 |  Charlotte | 27 | +9 | 43 | — |
| 5 |  Chicago Fire | 26 | +8 | 42 | — |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 27 | +10 | 39 | — |
| 7 | New York City FC | 28 | +10 | 36 | ↑ 2 |
| 8 |  Orlando City SC | 28 | -21 | 34 | ↓ 1 |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 26 | -9 | 33 | ↑ 1 |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 27 | -17 | 33 | ↓ 2 |
| 11 |  DC United | 26 | -8 | 30 | — |
| 12 |  Columbus Crew | 27 | -4 | 29 | — |
| 13 |  Toronto FC | 27 | -12 | 29 | — |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 27 | -13 | 27 | — |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 27 | -20 | 24 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
New York City FC 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Orlando City SC 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Orlando City SC
2/6Wins
2.0Goals / game
2.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 1 available matches.
Inspect Orlando City SC’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
New York City FC
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Philadelphia UnionAway · Major League Soccer2–1San Jose EarthquakesAway · Friendlies Clubs0–2Sporting Kansas CityAway · Friendlies Clubs1–2Los Angeles FCAway · Friendlies Clubs1–1AustinHome · Friendlies Clubs2–0Tampa Bay RowdiesHome · Friendlies Clubs2–2New York Red BullsAway · Major League Soccer3–2Atlanta United FCHome · Major League Soccer4–0New York Red BullsHome · Major League Soccer2–0Atlanta United FCAway · Major League Soccer3–4
Orlando City SC
6 matchesResults2 wins · 2 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game2.3
Games with 3+ goals6 of 6
Both teams scored6 of 6
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare New York City FC at home with Orlando City SC away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:30 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Major League Soccer · 2026/27 · all league matches
New York City FCOrlando City SC
26Matches played2
32Points earned0
8Wins0
1.5Goals scored / match1.5
1.3Goals conceded / match3.0
5Clean sheets0
5Failed to score0
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares New York City FC at home with Orlando City SC away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
New York City FC
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Pascal Jansen
- 49
M. FreeseG - 24
T. GrayD - 13
Thiago MartinsD - 5
K. TrewinD - 22
K. O'TooleD - 21
A. O'NeillM - 55
K. ParksM - 26
A. OjedaM - 10
M. MoralezM - 17
H. WolfM - 7
N. MercauF
Substitutes (9)
30 · T. Romero
34 · Raul Gustavo
29 · M. Carrizo
38 · D. Baiera
19 · S. Tanasijevic
11 · Talles Magno
32 · J. Shore
2 · N. Cavallo
99 · S. Reid
Orlando City SC
Confirmed formation5-3-2Oscar Pareja
- 71
M. CrepeauG - 24
G. DorseyD - 21
N. MillerD - 4
D. BrekaloD - 29
T. Reid-BrownD - 14
T. SpicerD - 8
B. OjedaM - 5
Luis OtavioM - 77
I. AnguloM - 87
M. PasalicF - 10
M. OjedaF
Substitutes (9)
12 · J. Otero
57 · Iago Teodoro
19 · Z. Taifi
13 · D. McGuire
3 · A. Gomez
20 · E. Atuesta
11 · Tiago
41 · D. Judelson
23 · H. Sarajian
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
New York City FC
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Freese | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Tayvon Gray | 90 | 8.0 | — | 1 | 1 | 82 | — |
| Thiago Martins | 71 | 7.9 | — | 0 | — | 99 | 2 |
| Kai Trewin | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 106 | — |
| Kevin O'Toole | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 66 | — |
| Aiden O'Neill | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 66 | 1 |
| Keaton Parks | 71 | 8.3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 1 |
| Agustin Ojeda | 71 | 8.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 35 | 1 |
| Maxi Moralez | 62 | 8.3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 46 | — |
| Hannes Wolf | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 34 | 2 |
| Nicolás Fernández | 87 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 1 |
| Talles Magno | 28 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Strahinja Tanasijević | 19 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Raul Gustavo | 19 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 14 | — |
| Máximo Carrizo | 19 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Seymour Garfield-Reid | 3 | — | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Tomás Romero | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nico Cavallo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew Baiera | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Shore | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Orlando City SC
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxime Crépeau | 16 | 3.0 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Griffin Dorsey | 90 | 5.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 21 | 1 |
| Nolan Miller | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 1 |
| David Brekalo | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 2 |
| Tahir Reid-Brown | 45 | 5.5 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Tyrese Spicer | 19 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Braian Ojeda | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Luis Otávio | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 1 |
| Iván Angulo | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 17 | 2 |
| Marco Pašalić | 78 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 17 | — |
| Martín Ojeda | 62 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Javier Otero | 71 | 5.6 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Adrián Marín | 45 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Duncan McGuire | 45 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Eduard Atuesta | 28 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Tiago Souza | 12 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Zakaria Taifi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iago Silva | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dylan Judelson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Harvey Sarajian | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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