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Atlanta United FC vs Philadelphia Union match centre

Atlanta United FC badgeAtlanta United FCHome · 14 in league
WDLLL
Momentum↘ Falling20/100OlderLatest
90′ · Live
3:1
UK time · Europe/London
Philadelphia Union badgePhiladelphia UnionAway · 6 in league
LWLLL
Momentum↘ Falling17/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
E. Latte Lath28′
T. Jacob47′
A. Miranchuk68′
A. Anello87′
Mercedes-Benz Stadium · AtlantaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
MATCHDAY LIVE

Inside the game

Every chance. Every turning point.

90′ IN PLAY
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING

What the match state suggests now

GOOD DATA
Current result estimate99.9%Atlanta United FC
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate0.0%Philadelphia Union
Another goal8.1%before full time

Next goal: Atlanta United FC 3.8% · no further goal 91.9% · Philadelphia Union 4.3%.

Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.
Atlanta United FCPhiladelphia Union
4Corner Kicks5
14Fouls11
4Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves1
326Total passes432
238Passes accurate344

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

IF THE SCORE HOLDS

Provisional table

Eastern Conference

Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.

#TeamPGDPtsMove
1Nashville SC27+3460—
2Inter Miami27+1446↑ 1
3New England Revolution27+946↓ 1
4Charlotte27+943—
5Chicago Fire26+842—
6Philadelphia Union28+839—
7Orlando City SC27-1634—
8New York City FC27+533↑ 1
9FC Cincinnati26-933↑ 1
10New York Red Bulls27-1733↓ 2
11DC United26-830—
12Atlanta United FC28-1130↑ 2
13Columbus Crew27-429↓ 1
14Toronto FC27-1229↓ 1
15CF Montreal27-2024—
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Atlanta United FC 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Philadelphia Union 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Atlanta United FC at home with Philadelphia Union away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 01:47 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Major League Soccer · 2026/27 · all league matches

Atlanta United FCPhiladelphia Union
26Matches played3
26Points earned0
7Wins0
1.2Goals scored / match0.3
1.7Goals conceded / match1.3
3Clean sheets0
9Failed to score2

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Atlanta United FC at home with Philadelphia Union away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Atlanta United FC

Confirmed formation4-3-3Gerardo Martino
  1. 1L. HoyosG
  2. 55T. JacobD
  3. 5S. GregersenD
  4. 4E. MihajD
  5. 3E. BaezD
  6. 48C. SanchezM
  7. 8T. MuyumbaM
  8. 88M. GalarzaM
  9. 59A. MiranchukF
  10. 9E. Latte LathF
  11. 10M. AlmironF
Substitutes (9)

42 · J. Hibbert

22 · F. Picault

30 · C. Togashi

19 · Sergio Santos

11 · S. Lobjanidze

47 · M. Edwards

2 · R. Hernandez

7 · S. Alzate

18 · P. Amador

Philadelphia Union

Confirmed formation4-4-2Bradley Carnell
  1. 18A. BlakeG
  2. 39F. WestfieldD
  3. 26N. HarrielD
  4. 29O. MakhanyaD
  5. 20P. NdingaD
  6. 10M. IloskiM
  7. 21D. Jean JacquesM
  8. 4J. LukicM
  9. 19I. VassilevM
  10. 37S. KorzeniowskiF
  11. 9B. DamianiF
Substitutes (9)

76 · A. Rick

11 · A. Bedoya

5 · J. Sery Larsen

8 · J. Bueno

28 · A. Anello

16 · B. Bender

6 · C. Sullivan

2 · G. Martinez

23 · E. Alladoh

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Atlanta United FC

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Lucas Hoyos906.7—0—46—
Tomás Jacob908.2102284
Stian Gregersen907.2—0—422
Enea Mihaj907.0—0—391
Elías Báez905.9—0—313
Cooper Sanchez876.9—0—363
Tristan Muyumba907.0—0—314
Matías Galarza696.9—0—262
Aleksei Miranchuk787.510219—
Emmanuel Latte Lath697.311391
Miguel Almirón888.5—2125—
Steven Alzate216.5—0—41
Fafà Picault216.3—0—7—
Saba Lobjanidze126.3—012—
Matthew Edwards116.9—0—21
Pedro Amador106.9—0—31
Jayden Hibbert———————
Ronald Hernández———————
Cayman Togashi———————
Sergio Santos———————

Philadelphia Union

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Andre Blake906.2—0—25—
Frankie Westfield906.5—12371
Nathan Harriel906.7—0—632
Olwethu Makhanya907.0—0—803
Philippe Ndinga775.9—01313
Milan Iloski575.6—0222—
Danley Jean Jacques817.2—01312
Jovan Lukić907.3—0—724
Indiana Vassilev576.5—0113—
Stas Kornzeniowski575.9—0—12—
Bruno Damiani906.5—0222—
Alejandro Bedoya336.3—0—18—
Agustin Anello337.310310—
Ezekiel Alladoh336.7—0—6—
Japhet Sery Larsen136.3—0—7—
Jesus Bueno97.0—0—17—
Andrew Rick———————
Geiner Martínez———————
Cavan Sullivan———————
Ben Bender———————
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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