Toronto FC
5/9Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Toronto FC’s results
Major League SoccerMatchweek 7THE MATCH CENTREToronto FC vs FC Cincinnati match centre
45′ · Live
0:0
UK time · Europe/LondonTHE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
45′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate26.1%Toronto FC
Draw48.1%at full time
Current result estimate25.8%FC Cincinnati
Another goal61.1%before full time
Next goal: Toronto FC 30.7% · no further goal 38.9% · FC Cincinnati 30.4%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Toronto FCFC Cincinnati
0.490Expected goals · API-Football0.660
1Shots on target1
3Total Shots3
46%Ball Possession54%
3Corner Kicks2
5Fouls10
1Yellow Cards0
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves2
173Total passes209
139Passes accurate178
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Eastern ConferenceProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 27 | +34 | 60 | — |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 27 | +14 | 46 | ↑ 1 |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 27 | +9 | 46 | ↓ 1 |
| 4 |  Charlotte | 27 | +9 | 43 | — |
| 5 |  Chicago Fire | 26 | +8 | 42 | — |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 27 | +10 | 39 | — |
| 7 |  FC Cincinnati | 27 | -9 | 34 | ↑ 3 |
| 8 |  Orlando City SC | 27 | -16 | 34 | ↓ 1 |
| 9 |  New York City FC | 27 | +5 | 33 | — |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 27 | -17 | 33 | ↓ 2 |
| 11 |  DC United | 26 | -8 | 30 | — |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 28 | -12 | 30 | ↑ 1 |
| 13 |  Columbus Crew | 27 | -4 | 29 | ↓ 1 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 27 | -13 | 27 | — |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 27 | -20 | 24 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Toronto FC 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
FC Cincinnati 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
FC Cincinnati
3/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
2.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 8 available matches.
Inspect FC Cincinnati’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Toronto FC
9 matchesResults5 wins · 1 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.4
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals5 of 9
Both teams scored5 of 9
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Colorado RapidsHome · Major League Soccer3–2Columbus CrewHome · Major League Soccer2–1New York Red BullsHome · Major League Soccer1–1FC CincinnatiAway · Major League Soccer1–0Vancouver WhitecapsAway · Major League Soccer0–3FC DallasAway · Major League Soccer2–3PolessyaHome · Friendlies Clubs2–1FredrikstadHome · Friendlies Clubs0–1Jeonbuk MotorsHome · Friendlies Clubs2–0
FC Cincinnati
10 matchesResults3 wins · 0 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game2.7
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
New York Red BullsAway · Major League Soccer2–4CF MontrealHome · Major League Soccer4–3Tigres UANLAway · CONCACAF Champions League1–5New England RevolutionAway · Major League Soccer1–6Toronto FCHome · Major League Soccer0–1Minnesota United FCAway · Major League Soccer0–1Louisville CityHome · Friendlies Clubs0–4Atlanta United FCHome · Major League Soccer2–0Universidad O&MAway · CONCACAF Champions League4–0Orlando City SCAway · Friendlies Clubs2–3
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Toronto FC at home with FC Cincinnati away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:48 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Major League Soccer · 2026/27 · all league matches
Toronto FCFC Cincinnati
6Matches played6
10Points earned6
3Wins2
1.5Goals scored / match1.5
1.7Goals conceded / match2.5
1Clean sheets1
1Failed to score2
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Toronto FC at home with FC Cincinnati away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Toronto FC
Confirmed formation4-3-3Robin Fraser
- 1
Luka GavranG - 22
Richie LaryeaD - 13
Benjamin KuscevicD - 12
Zane MonlouisD - 3
Matheus PereiraD - 8
José CifuentesM - 21
Jonathan OsorioM - 14
Alonso CoelloM - 11
Derrick Etienne JuniorF - 9
Josh SargentF - 20
Dániel SallóiF
Substitutes (9)
77 · Adisa De Rosario
71 · Markus Cimermancic
17 · Emilio Aristizábal
78 · Malik Henry
23 · William Yarbrough
76 · Lazar Stefanovic
96 · Richard Chukwu
64 · Jahmarie Nolan
19 · Kobe Franklin
FC Cincinnati
Confirmed formation3-5-2Pat Noonan
- 18
Roman CelentanoG - 21
Matthew MiazgaD - 4
Nick HagglundD - 3
Gilberto FloresD - 66
Ender EcheniqueM - 20
Pavel BuchaM - 11
Samuel GidiM - 10
EvanderM - 29
Bryan RamirezM - 9
Kévin DenkeyF - 16
Tom BarlowF
Substitutes (9)
13 · Evan Louro
37 · Stiven Jimenez
17 · Kenji Mboma Dem
22 · Gerardo Valenzuela
99 · Ayoub Jabbari
88 · Andrei Chirila
27 · Tah Anunga
24 · Kyle Smith
5 · Obinna Nwobodo
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Toronto FC
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Gavran | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 19 | — |
| Richie Laryea | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 47 | 1 |
| Zane Monlouis | 82 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 33 | 2 |
| Benjamin Kuscevic | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 3 | 43 | 2 |
| Derrick Etienne Junior | 82 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | — |
| Jonathan Osorio | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 57 | 3 |
| Alonso Coello | 90 | 7.5 | — | 0 | — | 48 | 4 |
| Matheus Pereira | 82 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 26 | — |
| José Cifuentes | 82 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 33 | 1 |
| Dániel Sallói | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 18 | — |
| Josh Sargent | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 22 | — |
| Emilio Aristizábal | 8 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Malik Henry | 8 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lazar Stefanovic | 8 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Kobe Franklin | 8 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Adisa De Rosario | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Markus Cimermancic | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| William Yarbrough | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Richard Chukwu | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jahmarie Nolan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FC Cincinnati
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Celentano | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Nick Hagglund | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 43 | — |
| Matthew Miazga | 62 | 7.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 38 | — |
| Gilberto Flores | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 51 | 4 |
| Ender Echenique | 89 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 26 | 1 |
| Pavel Bucha | 88 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 45 | 2 |
| Samuel Gidi | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 47 | 1 |
| Bryan Ramirez | 88 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 4 |
| Evander | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 34 | — |
| Kévin Denkey | 71 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 20 | — |
| Tom Barlow | 62 | 5.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1 |
| Ayoub Jabbari | 28 | 6.3 | — | 1 | — | 11 | — |
| Kyle Smith | 28 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 8 | 1 |
| Kenji Mboma Dem | 12 | 7.6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | — |
| Gerardo Valenzuela | 12 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Obinna Nwobodo | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Evan Louro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Stiven Jimenez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrei Chirila | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tah Anunga | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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