St. Louis City
2/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect St. Louis City’s results
Major League SoccerMatchweek 10THE MATCH CENTRESt. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes match centre
90′ · Live
2:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
S. Cordova51′
M. Hartel54′
P. Judd8′
T. Werner69′ (pen)
T. Werner83′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.1%St. Louis City
Draw4.6%at full time
Current result estimate95.3%San Jose Earthquakes
Another goal8.2%before full time
Next goal: St. Louis City 4.8% · no further goal 91.8% · San Jose Earthquakes 3.4%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.St. Louis CitySan Jose Earthquakes
2.330Expected goals · API-Football1.500
5Shots on target3
19Total Shots9
57%Ball Possession43%
10Corner Kicks3
11Fouls12
2Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves3
428Total passes332
365Passes accurate254
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Western ConferenceProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 26 | +33 | 50 | — |
| 2 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | +11 | 48 | ↑ 2 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 28 | +11 | 47 | ↓ 1 |
| 4 |  FC Dallas | 27 | +8 | 47 | ↓ 1 |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 27 | +2 | 44 | — |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 28 | +13 | 41 | — |
| 7 |  Colorado Rapids | 27 | 0 | 36 | — |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | -7 | 36 | — |
| 9 |  Seattle Sounders | 26 | -1 | 35 | — |
| 10 |  San Diego | 27 | 0 | 32 | ↑ 2 |
| 11 |  Portland Timbers | 27 | -3 | 32 | ↓ 1 |
| 12 |  Real Salt Lake | 27 | -4 | 32 | ↓ 1 |
| 13 |  Austin | 27 | -12 | 31 | — |
| 14 |  Minnesota United FC | 27 | -9 | 29 | — |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 26 | -32 | 21 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
St. Louis City 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
San Jose Earthquakes 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
San Jose Earthquakes
8/10Wins
2.5Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect San Jose Earthquakes’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
St. Louis City
10 matchesResults2 wins · 3 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game1.5
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Seattle SoundersAway · Major League Soccer1–4FC TulsaHome · US Open Cup4–0FC DallasAway · Major League Soccer1–1New York City FCAway · Major League Soccer1–1Los Angeles FCAway · Major League Soccer0–2Seattle SoundersHome · Major League Soccer0–1San DiegoAway · Major League Soccer0–2CharlotteHome · Major League Soccer1–1Los Angeles GalaxyAway · Friendlies Clubs0–3AustinHome · Friendlies Clubs1–0
San Jose Earthquakes
10 matchesResults8 wins · 0 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game2.5
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals6 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
AustinHome · Major League Soccer5–1Los Angeles FCAway · Major League Soccer4–1Phoenix RisingHome · US Open Cup2–0Sporting Kansas CityAway · Major League Soccer3–1San DiegoHome · Major League Soccer3–0Vancouver WhitecapsAway · Major League Soccer1–0Seattle SoundersHome · Major League Soccer0–1Sporting Kansas CityHome · Major League Soccer3–0New York City FCHome · Friendlies Clubs2–0Always ReadyHome · Torneo Amistoso de Verano2–4
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare St. Louis City at home with San Jose Earthquakes away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:21 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Major League Soccer · 2026/27 · all league matches
St. Louis CitySan Jose Earthquakes
26Matches played9
44Points earned24
12Wins8
1.7Goals scored / match2.5
1.4Goals conceded / match0.4
3Clean sheets5
4Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares St. Louis City at home with San Jose Earthquakes away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
St. Louis City
Confirmed formation3-4-3Yoann Damet
- 1
R. BurkiG - 5
L. MacNaughtonD - 32
T. BaumgartlD - 21
D. PolvaraD - 14
T. TotlandM - 8
C. DurkinM - 24
D. EdelmanM - 6
C. WallemM - 11
S. BecherF - 16
S. CordovaF - 17
M. HartelF
Substitutes (9)
39 · B. Lundt
36 · C. Teuchert
10 · E. Lowen
20 · Rafael Santos
28 · M. Perez
27 · F. Fall
4 · M. Mbacke
59 · M. Joyner
80 · B. McSorley
San Jose Earthquakes
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Bruce Arena
- 36
E. EdwardsG - 17
J. JasinskiD - 5
D. MunieD - 25
M. FlorianiD - 4
D. RomneyD - 6
I. HarkesM - 40
J. A. Gonzalez MendozaM - 16
J. SkahanM - 20
N. FernandezM - 11
T. WernerM - 19
P. JuddF
Substitutes (9)
42 · Daniel
14 · R. Vieira
3 · P. Marie
10 · N. Tsakiris
7 · O. Bouda
2 · J. Ricketts
21 · N. Buck
34 · B. Leroux
18 · R. Roberts
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
St. Louis City
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Bürki | 99 | 5.9 | — | — | — | 27 | — |
| Lukas MacNaughton | 99 | 5.9 | — | — | 3 | 42 | — |
| Timo Baumgartl | 99 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 58 | 2 |
| Dante Polvara | 99 | 6.0 | — | — | — | 46 | 2 |
| Tomas Totland | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 24 | — |
| Christopher Durkin | 99 | 9.0 | — | — | — | 52 | 5 |
| Daniel Edelman | 85 | 7.0 | — | — | — | 42 | 1 |
| Conrad Wallem | 99 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 2 |
| Simon Becher | 81 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 4 | 16 | — |
| Sergio Córdova | 75 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 20 | — |
| Marcel Hartel | 99 | 8.9 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 45 | 1 |
| Brendan McSorley | 24 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 10 | — |
| Cedric Teuchert | 18 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| Eduard Löwen | 14 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 12 | — |
| Rafael Santos | 13 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Benjamin Lundt | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fallou Fall | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mamadou Mbacke | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mykhi Joyner | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Perez | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
San Jose Earthquakes
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earl Edwards Jr. | 24 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 9 | — |
| Jack Jasinski | 99 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 36 | 1 |
| Daniel Munie | 99 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 46 | — |
| Max Floriani | 70 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 18 | 2 |
| Dave Romney | 99 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 31 | 1 |
| Ian Harkes | 99 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 38 | 2 |
| Jonathan Gonzalez | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 15 | 1 |
| Jack Skahan | 45 | 6.0 | — | — | — | 11 | — |
| Nick Fernandez | 61 | 6.5 | — | 1 | 2 | 25 | — |
| Timo Werner | 99 | 7.9 | 2 | — | 2 | 36 | — |
| Preston Judd | 99 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | — |
| Daniel | 75 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 30 | — |
| Ronaldo Vieira | 54 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 9 | — |
| Niko Tsakiris | 54 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 11 | — |
| Ousseni Bouda | 38 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 7 | — |
| Jamar Ricketts | 29 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 9 | — |
| Reid Roberts | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noel Buck | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Beau Leroux | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Marie | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | St. Louis City | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.50 | 2.62 |
Snapshot from 25 Apr 2026, 20:47 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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