Nashville SC
7/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Nashville SC’s results
Major League SoccerMatchweek 16THE MATCH CENTRENashville SC vs New York City FC match centre
90′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Palacios16′
M. Woledzi49′
N. Mercau23′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate96.1%Nashville SC
Draw3.8%at full time
Current result estimate0.1%New York City FC
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Nashville SC 4.2% · no further goal 91.9% · New York City FC 3.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Nashville SCNew York City FC
0.750Expected goals · API-Football1.360
6Shots on target4
12Total Shots7
49%Ball Possession51%
6Corner Kicks3
10Fouls11
2Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves4
443Total passes462
394Passes accurate401
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Eastern ConferenceProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 28 | +35 | 63 | — |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 27 | +14 | 46 | ↑ 1 |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 27 | +9 | 46 | ↓ 1 |
| 4 |  Charlotte | 27 | +9 | 43 | — |
| 5 |  Chicago Fire | 26 | +8 | 42 | — |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 27 | +10 | 39 | — |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 27 | -16 | 34 | — |
| 8 |  New York City FC | 28 | +4 | 33 | ↑ 1 |
| 9 |  FC Cincinnati | 26 | -9 | 33 | ↑ 1 |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 27 | -17 | 33 | ↓ 2 |
| 11 |  DC United | 26 | -8 | 30 | — |
| 12 |  Columbus Crew | 27 | -4 | 29 | — |
| 13 |  Toronto FC | 27 | -12 | 29 | — |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 27 | -13 | 27 | — |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 27 | -20 | 24 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Nashville SC 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
New York City FC 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
New York City FC
4/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.4Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect New York City FC’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Nashville SC
10 matchesResults7 wins · 2 draws · 1 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Los Angeles FCHome · Major League Soccer3–2New England RevolutionAway · Major League Soccer3–0DC UnitedHome · Major League Soccer2–2Tigres UANLHome · CONCACAF Champions League1–0Philadelphia UnionAway · Major League Soccer0–0Tigres UANLHome · CONCACAF Champions League0–1CharlotteHome · Major League Soccer4–2Atlanta United FCAway · Major League Soccer2–0Club AmericaAway · CONCACAF Champions League1–0CharlotteAway · Major League Soccer2–1
New York City FC
10 matchesResults4 wins · 2 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.8
Goals conceded per game1.4
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Columbus CrewAway · US Open Cup0–1New York Red BullsAway · Major League Soccer1–1CharlotteAway · Major League Soccer1–0Columbus CrewHome · Major League Soccer3–0DC UnitedHome · Major League Soccer0–2New York Red BullsAway · US Open Cup3–1CF MontrealAway · Major League Soccer0–1FC CincinnatiHome · Major League Soccer4–4CharlotteHome · Major League Soccer1–2Westchester SCAway · US Open Cup5–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Nashville SC at home with New York City FC away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:47 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Major League Soccer · 2026/27 · all league matches
Nashville SCNew York City FC
12Matches played26
27Points earned32
8Wins8
2.1Goals scored / match1.5
0.7Goals conceded / match1.3
6Clean sheets5
3Failed to score5
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Nashville SC at home with New York City FC away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
5 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Nashville SC
1wins5MEETINGS
New York City FC
3winsApr 2023 – Aug 2025 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with Nashville SC first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Nashville SC
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Brian Callaghan
- 99
B. SchwakeG - 27
R. Baker-WhitingD - 4
J. PalaciosD - 3
M. WoledziD - 2
D. LovitzD - 6
B. AcostaM - 16
M. CorcoranM - 7
C. EspinozaM - 41
W. MadrigalM - 37
A. QasemM - 10
H. MukhtarF
Substitutes (9)
1 · J. Willis
5 · J. Maher
22 · J. Bauer
14 · S. Mohammed
9 · S. Surridge
19 · A. Muyl
17 · W. Pacius
23 · J. Knight
12 · C. Brunet
New York City FC
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Pascal Jansen
- 49
M. FreeseG - 24
T. GrayD - 13
Thiago MartinsD - 34
Raul GustavoD - 2
N. CavalloD - 5
K. TrewinM - 8
A. PereaM - 26
A. OjedaM - 87
A. FarnosM - 88
M. JonesM - 7
N. MercauF
Substitutes (9)
30 · T. Romero
17 · H. Wolf
29 · M. Carrizo
71 · P. Molinari
19 · S. Tanasijevic
45 · K. Acito
32 · J. Shore
99 · S. Reid
15 · K. Pierre
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Nashville SC
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Schwake | 90 | 7.7 | — | 0 | — | 31 | — |
| Reed Baker-Whiting | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| Jeisson Palacios | 90 | 8.3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 69 | — |
| Maxwell Woledzi | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 69 | 2 |
| Daniel Lovitz | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 43 | — |
| Bryan Acosta | 79 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | 56 | 1 |
| Matthew Corcoran | 90 | 7.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 59 | 5 |
| Cristian Espinoza | 89 | 6.3 | — | 1 | — | 28 | — |
| Warren Madrigal | 79 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 13 | — |
| Ahmed Qasem | 72 | 6.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 18 | 1 |
| Hany Mukhtar | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 4 | 24 | 1 |
| Sam Surridge | 18 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 4 | — |
| Alex Muyl | 11 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Charles-Emile Brunet | 11 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 4 | 1 |
| Josh Bauer | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Joe Willis | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jack Maher | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jordan Knight | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Shakur Mohammed | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Woobens Pacius | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
New York City FC
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Freese | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Tayvon Gray | 90 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 80 | 2 |
| Thiago Martins | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 102 | — |
| Raul Gustavo | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 80 | 1 |
| Nico Cavallo | 85 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 25 | — |
| Kai Trewin | 85 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 43 | 2 |
| Andrés Perea | 78 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 2 |
| Agustin Ojeda | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 22 | 1 |
| Arnau Farnos | 66 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Malachi Jones | 66 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 9 | 2 |
| Nicolás Fernández | 90 | 7.0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 2 |
| Hannes Wolf | 24 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 1 |
| Jonathan Shore | 24 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 1 |
| Máximo Carrizo | 12 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 9 | — |
| Kevin Pierre | 11 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 7 | — |
| Seymour Garfield-Reid | 11 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Tomás Romero | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Strahinja Tanasijević | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kamran Acito | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Peter Molinari | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Nashville SC | Draw | New York City FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 4.00 | 4.50 |
Snapshot from 23 May 2026, 17:30 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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