D. BaieraKnee Injury
Reported out
Major League SoccerMatchweek 26THE MATCH CENTRENew York City FC vs New York Red Bulls match centre
Full time
0:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
J. Hall57′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 18 Sep 22:26 UK.
Odds updated 18 Sep 21:01 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 8 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
New York City FCNew York Red Bulls
2.300Expected goals · API-Football1.400
3Shots on target1
14Total Shots9
63%Ball Possession37%
6Corner Kicks7
9Fouls18
2Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves3
490Total passes289
418Passes accurate221
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
New York City FC 6 reported
A. FarnosInjury
Reported out
M. MoralezKnee Injury
Reported out
K. ParksInjury
Reported out
Talles MagnoMuscle Injury
Reported out
K. TrewinAnkle Injury
Reported out
New York Red Bulls 4 reported
A. MarcucciKnee Injury
Reported out
N. BenedettiInjury
Doubtful
J. CheAnkle Injury
Doubtful
J. Marshall-RuttyInjury
DoubtfulFetched 18 Sep, 22:08 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
New York City FC
2/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game
Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect New York City FC’s resultsNew York Red Bulls
2/10Wins
0.8Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect New York Red Bulls’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
New York City FC
10 matchesResults2 wins · 3 draws · 5 losses
Goals scored per game1.2
Goals conceded per game1.3
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Real Salt LakeAway · Major League Soccer2–0New England RevolutionHome · Major League Soccer1–2Nashville SCHome · Major League Soccer0–0Toronto FCAway · Major League Soccer1–1New England RevolutionAway · Major League Soccer1–1FC CincinnatiAway · Major League Soccer1–2Philadelphia UnionHome · Major League Soccer2–3NecaxaHome · Leagues Cup1–2Cruz AzulAway · Leagues Cup1–2Santos LagunaHome · Leagues Cup2–0
New York Red Bulls
10 matchesResults2 wins · 2 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game0.8
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Columbus CrewAway · Major League Soccer1–0Los Angeles FCAway · Major League Soccer0–2Seattle SoundersAway · Major League Soccer0–0Philadelphia UnionHome · Major League Soccer1–3Chicago FireHome · Major League Soccer1–1Nashville SCHome · Major League Soccer0–1Atlanta United FCAway · Major League Soccer1–2Orlando City SCHome · Major League Soccer3–2CharlotteHome · Major League Soccer0–2Philadelphia UnionAway · Major League Soccer1–3
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare New York City FC at home with New York Red Bulls away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:07 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Major League Soccer · 2026/27 · all league matches
New York City FCNew York Red Bulls
26Matches played26
32Points earned33
8Wins9
1.5Goals scored / match1.3
1.3Goals conceded / match1.8
5Clean sheets4
5Failed to score7
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares New York City FC at home with New York Red Bulls away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
New York City FC
3wins4MEETINGS
New York Red Bulls
0winsMay 2025 – May 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
Scores shown with New York City FC first; venues vary.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
New York City FC
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Pascal Jansen
- 49
Matthew FreeseG - 24
Tayvon GrayD - 13
Thiago MartinsD - 6
James SandsD - 2
Nico CavalloD - 21
Aiden O'NeillM - 8
Andrés PereaM - 26
Agustin OjedaM - 7
Nicolás FernándezM - 17
Hannes WolfM - 20
Luighi HanriF
Substitutes (9)
30 · Tomás Romero
34 · Raul Gustavo
35 · Mitja Ilenič
23 · Max Murray
22 · Kevin O'Toole
32 · Jonathan Shore
9 · Bénie Traoré
88 · Malachi Jones
16 · Alonso Martínez
New York Red Bulls
Confirmed formation4-3-3
- 34
Ethan HorvathG - 12
Dylan NealisD - 26
Tim ParkerD - 14
Julián BazánD - 56
Matthew Dos SantosD - 48
Ronald DonkorM - 15
Adri MehmetiM - 37
Mohammed SofoM - 17
Cameron HarperF - 16
Julian HallF - 7
Cade CowellF
Substitutes (9)
77 · John McCarthy
6 · Robert Voloder
59 · Devin Padelford
8 · David Ruíz
60 · Sekou Kone
11 · Jorge Ruvalcaba
10 · Emil Forsberg
13 · Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting
92 · Dennis Nelich
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
New York City FC
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Freese | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| Tayvon Gray | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 54 | 1 |
| Thiago Martins | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 76 | 1 |
| James Sands | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 87 | 1 |
| Nico Cavallo | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 55 | 1 |
| Aiden O'Neill | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 50 | 3 |
| Andrés Perea | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 42 | 2 |
| Agustin Ojeda | 75 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Nicolás Fernández | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 46 | 2 |
| Hannes Wolf | 62 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 |
| Luighi Hanri | 62 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 17 | 1 |
| Bénie Traoré | 28 | 7.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
| Alonso Martínez | 28 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 2 | 3 | — |
| Malachi Jones | 15 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Tomás Romero | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raul Gustavo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mitja Ilenič | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Max Murray | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin O'Toole | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Shore | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
New York Red Bulls
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Horvath | 46 | 8.2 | — | 0 | — | 24 | — |
| Dylan Nealis | 46 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 36 | 1 |
| Tim Parker | 46 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 1 |
| Julián Bazán | 46 | 8.0 | — | 0 | — | 40 | 6 |
| Matthew Dos Santos | 62 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 21 | — |
| Ronald Donkor | 46 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 31 | 1 |
| Adri Mehmeti | 84 | 7.2 | — | 0 | — | 46 | — |
| Mohammed Sofo | 46 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 28 | 3 |
| Cameron Harper | 46 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 1 |
| Julian Hall | 84 | 6.9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | — |
| Cade Cowell | 84 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 13 | — |
| Devin Padelford | 33 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 5 | — |
| David Ruíz | 11 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | 11 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 5 | 1 |
| Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting | 11 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 4 | — |
| John McCarthy | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robert Voloder | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sekou Kone | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emil Forsberg | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dennis Nelich | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Major League Soccer table
Current standings · Eastern Conference. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55 | 21 | 34 | 60 | WWDLD |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 46 | LWWWL |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 46 | LDDDD |
| 4 |  Charlotte | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 43 | LWDWD |
| 5 |  Chicago Fire | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 42 | WLLDD |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 39 | WWWWW |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 34 | LLWWW |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 51 | -17 | 33 | LWWLD |
| 9 | New York City FC | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 33 | DLWLD |
| 10 |  FC Cincinnati | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 33 | LDDLL |
| 11 |  DC United | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 30 | DLDWD |
| 12 |  Columbus Crew | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 29 | WWLLW |
| 13 |  Toronto FC | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 29 | LLLWD |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 27 | DWDLD |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 24 | WLLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | New York City FC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.83 | 3.70 | 3.75 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 4.10 | 3.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.84 | 3.82 | 3.70 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 4.10 | 3.80 |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 3.90 | 3.70 |
Snapshot from 18 Sep 2026, 21:01 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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