L. FosterInactive
Reported out
Major League SoccerMatchweek 26THE MATCH CENTREHouston Dynamo vs FC Cincinnati match centre
Full time
2:2
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Guilherme38′
M. Bogusz50′ (pen)
B. J. Ramirez Leon73′
K. Denkey90+7′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 22:16 UK.
Odds updated 20 Sep 01:01 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 8 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Houston DynamoFC Cincinnati
1.200Expected goals · API-Football2.050
2Shots on target7
7Total Shots25
43%Ball Possession57%
3Corner Kicks7
6Fouls12
—Yellow Cards—
—Red Cards—
6Goalkeeper Saves0
424Total passes540
368Passes accurate499
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Houston Dynamo 3 reported
J. MaurerConcussion
Reported out
M. SaracchiLower-Body Injury
Doubtful
FC Cincinnati 0 reported
No absences returned for this team. This does not confirm a fully fit squad.
Fetched 20 Sep, 01:26 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Houston Dynamo
5/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
0.5Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 7 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Houston Dynamo’s resultsFC Cincinnati
4/10Wins
1.7Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect FC Cincinnati’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Houston Dynamo
10 matchesResults5 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game0.5
Games with 3+ goals3 of 10
Both teams scored3 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
San Jose EarthquakesAway · Major League Soccer0–1Real Salt LakeHome · Major League Soccer2–1CharlotteAway · Major League Soccer0–0San Jose EarthquakesHome · Major League Soccer0–0St. Louis CityAway · Major League Soccer1–2Vancouver WhitecapsAway · Major League Soccer1–0Los Angeles GalaxyHome · Major League Soccer1–0Sporting Kansas CityAway · Major League Soccer2–0AustinHome · Major League Soccer3–0DC UnitedHome · Major League Soccer1–1
FC Cincinnati
10 matchesResults4 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game1.7
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
CharlotteHome · Major League Soccer3–3Philadelphia UnionAway · Major League Soccer0–5Nashville SCAway · Major League Soccer0–4Seattle SoundersHome · Major League Soccer1–1New York City FCHome · Major League Soccer2–1Orlando City SCAway · Major League Soccer1–1AtlasHome · Leagues Cup1–2U.N.A.M. - PumasHome · Leagues Cup2–0CF PachucaHome · Leagues Cup3–1San Jose EarthquakesHome · Major League Soccer4–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Houston Dynamo at home with FC Cincinnati away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:55 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Major League Soccer · 2026/27 · all league matches
Houston DynamoFC Cincinnati
25Matches played24
43Points earned32
13Wins8
1.3Goals scored / match2.2
1.1Goals conceded / match2.5
11Clean sheets2
7Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Houston Dynamo at home with FC Cincinnati away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Houston Dynamo
0wins4MEETINGS
FC Cincinnati
1winsJul 2021 – Jan 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Houston Dynamo
Confirmed formation5-3-2Ben Olsen
- 31
Jonathan BondG - 36
Felipe AndradeD - 5
Lucas HalterD - 6
ArturD - 3
Antônio CarlosD - 21
Franco NegriD - 11
Lawrence EnnaliM - 30
Agustín BouzatM - 16
Héctor HerreraM - 20
GuilhermeF - 19
Mateusz BoguszF
Substitutes (9)
35 · Logan Erb
26 · Blake Gillingham
18 · Diadié Samassékou
22 · Matthew Arana
37 · Gilberto Rivera
14 · Duane Holmes
24 · Ibrahim Aliyu
23 · Duncan McGuire
17 · Nick Markanich
FC Cincinnati
Confirmed formation3-5-2Pat Noonan
- 18
Roman CelentanoG - 12
Miles RobinsonD - 4
Nick HagglundD - 11
Samuel GidiD - 66
Ender EcheniqueM - 5
Obinna NwobodoM - 10
EvanderM - 20
Pavel BuchaM - 17
Kenji Mboma DemM - 22
Gerardo ValenzuelaF - 9
Kévin DenkeyF
Substitutes (9)
13 · Evan Louro
88 · Andrei Chirila
15 · Teenage Hadebe
24 · Kyle Smith
2 · Alvas Powell
29 · Bryan Ramirez
16 · Tom Barlow
99 · Ayoub Jabbari
14 · Kristian Fletcher
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Houston Dynamo
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Bond | 96 | 8.0 | — | — | — | 36 | — |
| Felipe Andrade | 96 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 38 | 1 |
| Antônio Carlos | 96 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 42 | — |
| Lucas Halter | 96 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 38 | — |
| Franco Negri | 96 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 29 | 2 |
| Lawrence Ennali | 81 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 1 |
| Artur | 96 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 61 | — |
| Héctor Herrera | 81 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 55 | — |
| Mateusz Bogusz | 96 | 6.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 1 |
| Guilherme | 94 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 42 | — |
| Agustín Bouzat | 67 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 19 | — |
| Diadié Samassékou | 29 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 8 | 1 |
| Matthew Arana | 15 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 7 | — |
| Ibrahim Aliyu | 15 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 10 | — |
| Duncan McGuire | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Logan Erb | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Blake Gillingham | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gilberto Rivera | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Duane Holmes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nick Markanich | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
FC Cincinnati
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Celentano | 96 | 5.9 | — | — | — | 7 | — |
| Miles Robinson | 96 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 67 | 1 |
| Nick Hagglund | 54 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 47 | — |
| Samuel Gidi | 96 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 78 | 1 |
| Ender Echenique | 54 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 18 | — |
| Pavel Bucha | 84 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 1 |
| Obinna Nwobodo | 54 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 3 |
| Kenji Mboma Dem | 96 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 4 |
| Gerardo Valenzuela | 87 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 1 |
| Kévin Denkey | 96 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 4 | 15 | 1 |
| Evander | 96 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 58 | 2 |
| Teenage Hadebe | 42 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 33 | — |
| Bryan Ramirez | 42 | 8.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 1 |
| Tom Barlow | 42 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 12 | — |
| Kyle Smith | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 12 | — |
| Ayoub Jabbari | 9 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — |
| Evan Louro | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrei Chirila | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alvas Powell | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kristian Fletcher | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Major League Soccer table
Current standings · Western Conference. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 50 | DWLWL |
| 2 |  St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 47 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 47 | WDWWW |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 45 | WDWWD |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 44 | LDLWD |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 41 | LDLWD |
| 7 |  Colorado Rapids | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 36 | LDWDL |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 36 | WWDLW |
| 9 |  Seattle Sounders | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 35 | WWDDD |
| 10 |  Portland Timbers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 32 | LLLDW |
| 11 |  Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 32 | WLLLL |
| 12 |  San Diego | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 32 | DDLLL |
| 13 |  Austin | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 31 | DDWDD |
| 14 |  Minnesota United FC | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 29 | LLLLL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 21 | WLWLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Houston Dynamo | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.60 | 3.25 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.90 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.94 | 3.76 | 3.40 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.80 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.80 | 3.40 |
Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 01:01 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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