Celio PompeuKnee Injury
Reported out
Major League SoccerMatchweek 26THE MATCH CENTRESt. Louis City vs Toronto FC match centre
Full time
3:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
C. Holse41′
T. Totland54′
S. Becher68′
Scorer pending90+7′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 22:20 UK.
Odds updated 20 Sep 01:01 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 8 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
St. Louis CityToronto FC
2.230Expected goals · API-Football0.580
8Shots on target1
17Total Shots9
62%Ball Possession38%
8Corner Kicks4
14Fouls8
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves5
454Total passes277
385Passes accurate215
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
St. Louis City 3 reported
K. HiebertHip Injury
Reported out
P. AultAnkle Injury
Doubtful
Toronto FC 4 reported
D. MihailovicMuscle Injury
Reported out
N. PalacioLower-Body Injury
Reported out
J. OsorioKnee Injury
Doubtful
L. StefanovicFoot Injury
DoubtfulFetched 19 Sep, 21:30 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
St. Louis City
6/10Wins
2.3Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game
Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect St. Louis City’s resultsToronto FC
3/10Wins
1.6Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 2 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Toronto FC’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
St. Louis City
10 matchesResults6 wins · 4 draws · 0 losses
Goals scored per game2.3
Goals conceded per game1.2
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Colorado RapidsAway · US Open Cup3–0Minnesota United FCHome · Major League Soccer4–2Portland TimbersAway · Major League Soccer2–2Vancouver WhitecapsAway · Major League Soccer3–1FC DallasHome · Major League Soccer3–3Houston DynamoHome · Major League Soccer2–1Sporting Kansas CityAway · Major League Soccer1–1San Jose EarthquakesAway · Major League Soccer3–1Real Salt LakeHome · Major League Soccer1–1Colorado RapidsHome · Major League Soccer1–0
Toronto FC
10 matchesResults3 wins · 5 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.6
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Orlando City SCAway · Major League Soccer0–3Nashville SCHome · Major League Soccer2–1Chicago FireHome · Major League Soccer4–4New York City FCHome · Major League Soccer1–1Inter MiamiAway · Major League Soccer2–1CharlotteHome · Major League Soccer3–3New England RevolutionHome · Major League Soccer2–1New York City FCAway · Major League Soccer1–1DC UnitedAway · Major League Soccer1–2New England RevolutionAway · Major League Soccer0–0
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare St. Louis City at home with Toronto FC away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:47 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Major League Soccer · 2026/27 · all league matches
St. Louis CityToronto FC
25Matches played25
41Points earned29
11Wins6
1.7Goals scored / match1.5
1.4Goals conceded / match1.8
3Clean sheets3
4Failed to score4
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares St. Louis City at home with Toronto FC away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
1 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
St. Louis City
1wins1MEETINGS
Toronto FC
0winsJul 2023 – Jul 2023 · Historical meetings. Squads and team strength have changed.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
St. Louis City
Confirmed formation3-4-3Yoann Damet
- 1
Roman BürkiG - 99
Jaziel OrozcoD - 32
Timo BaumgartlD - 27
Fallou FallD - 6
Conrad WallemM - 8
Christopher DurkinM - 23
Alexandru MățanM - 14
Tomas TotlandM - 77
Jeong Sang-binF - 9
Rafael NavarroF - 19
Carlo HolseF
Substitutes (9)
39 · Benjamin Lundt
5 · Lukas MacNaughton
24 · Daniel Edelman
21 · Dante Polvara
59 · Mykhi Joyner
7 · Tomáš Ostrák
20 · Rafael Santos
11 · Simon Becher
42 · Damion Downs
Toronto FC
Confirmed formation5-3-2Robin Fraser
- 1
Luka GavranG - 11
Derrick EtienneD - 22
Richie LaryeaD - 25
Walker ZimmermanD - 13
Benjamin KuscevicD - 3
Matheus PereiraD - 14
Alonso CoelloM - 6
Niklas DorschM - 71
Markus CimermancicM - 9
Josh SargentF - 20
Dániel SallóiF
Substitutes (9)
23 · William Yarbrough
38 · Jackson Gilman
15 · Nickseon Gomis
19 · Kobe Franklin
12 · Zane Monlouis
21 · Jonathan Osorio
7 · Theo Corbeanu
17 · Emilio Aristizábal
90 · Lewis Morgan
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
St. Louis City
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roman Bürki | 94 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 32 | — |
| Jaziel Orozco | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 62 | 1 |
| Timo Baumgartl | 94 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 1 |
| Fallou Fall | 94 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 53 | 1 |
| Conrad Wallem | 78 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 33 | — |
| Christopher Durkin | 94 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 42 | 1 |
| Alexandru Mățan | 78 | 7.9 | — | 2 | 2 | 32 | 1 |
| Tomas Totland | 94 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 30 | — |
| Jeong Sang-bin | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 16 | — |
| Rafael Navarro | 83 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 1 |
| Carlo Holse | 92 | 9.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 40 | 2 |
| Simon Becher | 49 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 4 | 7 | — |
| Daniel Edelman | 16 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 8 | — |
| Dante Polvara | 16 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 12 | — |
| Damion Downs | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 3 | — |
| Tomáš Ostrák | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Lundt | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lukas MacNaughton | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mykhi Joyner | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafael Santos | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Toronto FC
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Gavran | 94 | 7.9 | — | — | — | 28 | — |
| Richie Laryea | 94 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 22 | 4 |
| Walker Zimmerman | 56 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 17 | — |
| Benjamin Kuscevic | 94 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 2 |
| Matheus Pereira | 94 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 30 | 4 |
| Alonso Coello | 94 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 3 |
| Niklas Dorsch | 62 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 14 | 2 |
| Derrick Etienne | 63 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 6 | — |
| Markus Cimermancic | 62 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 10 | 1 |
| Dániel Sallói | 94 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 19 | — |
| Josh Sargent | 74 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 17 | — |
| Nickseon Gomis | 38 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 12 | 2 |
| Jonathan Osorio | 32 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 15 | — |
| Theo Corbeanu | 32 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 9 | — |
| Zane Monlouis | 31 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 13 | 1 |
| Lewis Morgan | 20 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 3 | — |
| William Yarbrough | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jackson Gilman | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kobe Franklin | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emilio Aristizábal | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Major League Soccer table
Current standings · Western Conference. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 50 | DWLWL |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 47 | WWWDW |
| 3 |  FC Dallas | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 47 | WDWWW |
| 4 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 45 | WDWWD |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 44 | LDLWD |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 41 | LDLWD |
| 7 |  Colorado Rapids | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 36 | LDWDL |
| 8 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 36 | WWDLW |
| 9 |  Seattle Sounders | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 35 | WWDDD |
| 10 |  Portland Timbers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 32 | LLLDW |
| 11 |  Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 32 | WLLLL |
| 12 |  San Diego | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 32 | DDLLL |
| 13 |  Austin | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 31 | DDWDD |
| 14 |  Minnesota United FC | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 29 | LLLLL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 21 | WLWLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | St. Louis City | Draw | Toronto FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.65 | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.75 |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 4.15 | 4.40 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 4.20 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 4.20 | 4.40 |
Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 01:01 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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