W. MadrigalLower-Body Injury
Reported out
Major League SoccerMatchweek 26THE MATCH CENTRENashville SC vs Chicago Fire match centre
Full time
3:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
S. Surridge33′
C. Espinoza78′
H. Mukhtar87′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 22:29 UK.
Odds updated 20 Sep 01:01 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 8 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
Nashville SCChicago Fire
2.070Expected goals · API-Football0.960
5Shots on target1
13Total Shots8
56%Ball Possession44%
5Corner Kicks2
12Fouls8
1Yellow Cards1
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves3
496Total passes397
443Passes accurate338
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Nashville SC 1 reported
Chicago Fire 3 reported
A. FrancoKnee Injury
Reported out
M. MbokaziLower-Body Injury
Reported out
A. SaletrosLower-Body Injury
Reported outFetched 20 Sep, 01:20 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Nashville SC
5/10Wins
2.0Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 8 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Nashville SC’s resultsChicago Fire
4/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
1.6Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Chicago Fire’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Nashville SC
10 matchesResults5 wins · 2 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game2.0
Goals conceded per game1.1
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored6 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Inter MiamiAway · Major League Soccer2–2Toronto FCAway · Major League Soccer1–2New York City FCAway · Major League Soccer0–0FC CincinnatiHome · Major League Soccer4–0Columbus CrewHome · Major League Soccer3–2New York Red BullsAway · Major League Soccer1–0Inter MiamiHome · Major League Soccer4–1MonterreyAway · Leagues Cup1–2Atletico San LuisHome · Leagues Cup4–1LeonHome · Leagues Cup0–1
Chicago Fire
10 matchesResults4 wins · 4 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game1.6
Games with 3+ goals8 of 10
Both teams scored10 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
New England RevolutionHome · Major League Soccer1–2Inter MiamiHome · Major League Soccer1–1Toronto FCAway · Major League Soccer4–4Seattle SoundersAway · Major League Soccer2–2MonterreyAway · Leagues Cup1–2New York Red BullsAway · Major League Soccer1–1Orlando City SCAway · Major League Soccer2–1Portland TimbersHome · Major League Soccer2–1Cruz AzulAway · Leagues Cup2–1Santos LagunaHome · Leagues Cup3–1
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Nashville SC at home with Chicago Fire away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:05 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Major League Soccer · 2026/27 · all league matches
Nashville SCChicago Fire
25Matches played24
54Points earned39
16Wins11
2.0Goals scored / match1.9
0.8Goals conceded / match1.5
11Clean sheets6
5Failed to score1
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Nashville SC at home with Chicago Fire away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
4 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Nashville SC
3wins4MEETINGS
Chicago Fire
1winsOct 2024 – Apr 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Nashville SC
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Brian Callaghan
- 99
Brian SchwakeG - 31
Andy NajarD - 4
Jeisson PalaciosD - 3
Maxwell WoledziD - 27
Reed Baker-WhitingD - 8
Patrick YazbekM - 16
Matthew CorcoranM - 7
Cristian EspinozaM - 10
Hany MukhtarM - 11
Elias SaadM - 9
Sam SurridgeF
Substitutes (9)
1 · Joe Willis
5 · Jack Maher
22 · Josh Bauer
2 · Daniel Lovitz
19 · Alex Muyl
14 · Shakur Mohammed
37 · Ahmed Qasem
20 · Edvard Tagseth
6 · Bryan Acosta
Chicago Fire
Confirmed formation4-3-3Mario Barcena
- 1
Chris BradyG - 24
Jonathan DeanD - 3
Jack ElliottD - 32
Noah AllenD - 15
Andrew GutmanD - 35
Sergio OregelM - 42
Dje Tah D'AvillaM - 17
Robin LodM - 11
Philip ZinckernagelF - 9
Robert LewandowskiF - 7
Maren Haile-SelassieF
Substitutes (9)
44 · Josh Cohen
5 · Samuel Rogers
2 · Leonardo Barroso
22 · Mauricio Pineda
29 · David Poreba
23 · Anzor Mekvabishvili
12 · Puso Dithejane
18 · Johan Gomez
19 · Jonathan Bamba
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Nashville SC
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Schwake | 93 | 6.7 | — | — | — | 24 | — |
| Andy Najar | 83 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 1 | 44 | 1 |
| Jeisson Palacios | 93 | 7.7 | — | — | — | 73 | 2 |
| Maxwell Woledzi | 93 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 60 | 1 |
| Reed Baker-Whiting | 93 | 8.0 | — | 1 | — | 46 | — |
| Patrick Yazbek | 83 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 40 | 2 |
| Matthew Corcoran | 93 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 82 | 6 |
| Cristian Espinoza | 91 | 8.6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 38 | 1 |
| Hany Mukhtar | 91 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 4 | 42 | 1 |
| Elias Saad | 68 | 7.3 | — | — | — | 21 | 3 |
| Sam Surridge | 93 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 3 | 11 | 2 |
| Shakur Mohammed | 25 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 8 | — |
| Daniel Lovitz | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Edvard Tagseth | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 5 | — |
| Josh Bauer | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Muyl | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Joe Willis | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jack Maher | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Qasem | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bryan Acosta | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Chicago Fire
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Brady | 93 | 7.5 | — | — | — | 30 | — |
| Jonathan Dean | 79 | 6.2 | — | — | — | 29 | 3 |
| Jack Elliott | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 42 | — |
| Noah Allen | 93 | 6.9 | — | — | — | 48 | 1 |
| Andrew Gutman | 93 | 5.6 | — | — | 1 | 23 | — |
| Sergio Oregel | 75 | 7.2 | — | — | — | 45 | — |
| Dje Tah D'Avilla | 79 | 6.5 | — | — | — | 38 | 1 |
| Philip Zinckernagel | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 2 |
| Robin Lod | 68 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 17 | — |
| Maren Haile-Selassie | 68 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 19 | — |
| Robert Lewandowski | 93 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | 15 | — |
| Puso Dithejane | 25 | 6.6 | — | — | — | 8 | 1 |
| Jonathan Bamba | 25 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 12 | — |
| Anzor Mekvabishvili | 18 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 18 | 1 |
| Mauricio Pineda | 14 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 19 | — |
| Johan Gomez | 14 | 6.3 | — | — | — | 7 | — |
| Josh Cohen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel Rogers | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leonardo Barroso | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Poreba | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Major League Soccer table
Current standings · Eastern Conference. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55 | 21 | 34 | 60 | WWDLD |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 46 | LWWWL |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 46 | LDDDD |
| 4 |  Charlotte | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 43 | LWDWD |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 42 | WLLDD |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 39 | WWWWW |
| 7 |  Orlando City SC | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 34 | LLWWW |
| 8 |  New York Red Bulls | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 51 | -17 | 33 | LWWLD |
| 9 |  New York City FC | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 33 | DLWLD |
| 10 |  FC Cincinnati | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 33 | LDDLL |
| 11 |  DC United | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 30 | DLDWD |
| 12 |  Columbus Crew | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 29 | WWLLW |
| 13 |  Toronto FC | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 29 | LLLWD |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 27 | DWDLD |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 24 | WLLLL |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Nashville SC | Draw | Chicago Fire |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 4.20 | 3.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.74 | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 4.00 | 4.00 |
Snapshot from 20 Sep 2026, 01:01 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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