BG Pathum United
5/10Wins
1.9Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect BG Pathum United’s results
Thai League 1Matchweek 23THE MATCH CENTREBG Pathum United vs Sukhothai FC match centre
69′ · Live
2:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
I. bin Fandi Ahmad6′
I. bin Fandi Ahmad23′
C. Otton45+3′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
69′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate78.5%BG Pathum United
Draw18.1%at full time
Current result estimate3.4%Sukhothai FC
Another goal49.9%before full time
Next goal: BG Pathum United 25.3% · no further goal 50.1% · Sukhothai FC 24.6%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.BG Pathum UnitedSukhothai FC
—Expected goals · API-Football—
4Shots on target3
12Total Shots6
50%Ball Possession50%
1Corner Kicks1
13Fouls5
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
2Goalkeeper Saves2
460Total passes451
405Passes accurate380
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Thai League 1 Provisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Buriram United | 30 | +45 | 70 | — |
| 2 |  Port FC | 30 | +36 | 60 | — |
| 3 |  Ratchaburi | 30 | +25 | 59 | — |
| 4 | BG Pathum United | 31 | +17 | 55 | — |
| 5 |  Bangkok United | 30 | +11 | 50 | — |
| 6 |  Prachuap | 30 | +2 | 45 | — |
| 7 |  Chiangrai United | 30 | -1 | 40 | — |
| 8 |  Chonburi FC | 30 | -3 | 39 | — |
| 9 |  Rayong FC | 30 | -5 | 37 | — |
| 10 |  Ayutthaya FC | 30 | -16 | 32 | — |
| 11 |  Uthai Thani | 30 | -5 | 31 | — |
| 12 |  Lamphun Warrior | 30 | -12 | 29 | — |
| 13 |  Sukhothai FC | 31 | -20 | 28 | — |
| 14 |  Muangthong United | 30 | -25 | 26 | — |
| 15 |  Nakhon Ratchasima FC | 30 | -24 | 24 | — |
| 16 |  Kanchanaburi | 30 | -25 | 23 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
BG Pathum United 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Sukhothai FC 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Sukhothai FC
0/6Wins
0.3Goals / game
2.0Conceded / game
Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 3 available matches.
Inspect Sukhothai FC’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
BG Pathum United
10 matchesResults5 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game1.9
Goals conceded per game0.8
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored4 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Ayutthaya FCAway · Thai League 12–0Buriram UnitedHome · Thai League 11–3SelangorAway · ASEAN Club Championship1–1Chiangrai UnitedHome · Thai League 12–2Dynamic Herb CebuHome · ASEAN Club Championship2–0Uthai ThaniHome · Thai League 14–0Muangthong UnitedAway · League Cup2–0Bangkok UnitedHome · Thai League 10–1UttaraditAway · League Cup4–0Home UnitedHome · Cup1–1
Sukhothai FC
6 matchesResults0 wins · 3 draws · 3 losses
Goals scored per game0.3
Goals conceded per game2.0
Games with 3+ goals2 of 6
Both teams scored2 of 6
Past results, not predictions.
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare BG Pathum United at home with Sukhothai FC away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 08:20 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Thai League 1 · 2025/26 · all league matches
BG Pathum UnitedSukhothai FC
21Matches played21
36Points earned21
10Wins4
1.5Goals scored / match0.7
1.0Goals conceded / match1.4
8Clean sheets4
3Failed to score10
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares BG Pathum United at home with Sukhothai FC away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
BG Pathum United
Confirmed formation4-3-3Vladimir Vujovic
- 28
S. AnuinG - 81
W. ChoolthongD - 44
E. DolahD - 16
N. SandokhadzeD - 33
P. SangvilayD - 31
Y. TakagiM - 5
K. KamanM - 8
E. PanyaM - 9
S. SareepimF - 99
I. bin Fandi AhmadF - 7
RanielF
Substitutes (12)
49 · N. Inthacharoen
18 · C. Songkrasin
15 · R. Matsuda
6 · S. Yooyen
95 · Matheus Fornazari
11 · P. Gustavsson
89 · C. Buaphan
22 · N. James
47 · N. Wongsawang
2 · S. Nonthasila
27 · P. Jantawong
24 · T. Pimoytha
Sukhothai FC
Confirmed formation5-4-1Ekalak Thong-Am
- 99
K. SaensukG - 2
S. LogarwitD - 27
T. ThumpornD - 15
S. PromsupaD - 93
ClaudioD - 25
C. OttonD - 95
BarretoM - 5
RomeuM - 10
J. BaggioM - 7
L. ThiamratM - 11
GildoF
Substitutes (12)
28 · T. Samerjai
35 · S. Chatthong
8 · R. Aranpiroj
19 · P. Phatthaphon
21 · A. Denman
24 · P. Jansuwan
3 · P. Suksakit
22 · S. Kanlayanabandit
9 · J. Paredes
70 · Mateusinho
17 · T. Mhuaddarak
39 · A. Jantrapho
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
BG Pathum United
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saranon Anuin | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 27 | 1 |
| Waris Choolthong | 89 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 52 | 2 |
| Elias Dolah | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 55 | — |
| Nika Sandokhadze | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 63 | — |
| Photthavong Sangvilay | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 36 | 1 |
| Yoshiaki Takagi | 67 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 27 | — |
| Kritsada Kaman | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | — | 54 | — |
| Ekanit Panya | 89 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 41 | 1 |
| Surachart Sareepim | 61 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Ikhsan Fandi Ahmad | 45 | 8.3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | — |
| Raniel | 90 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 3 | 27 | 2 |
| Sarach Yooyen | 45 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 25 | 1 |
| Pongrawit Jantawong | 29 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 1 |
| Chanathip Songkrasin | 23 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 16 | — |
| Sanchai Nonthasila | 1 | — | — | 0 | 1 | — | — |
| Patrik Gustavsson | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 1 | 1 |
| Nalawich Inthacharoen | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chanapach Buaphan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nathan James | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nattawut Wongsawang | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thanawat Pimyotha | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Riku Matsuda | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Fornazari | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sukhothai FC
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kittipun Saensuk | 90 | 6.0 | — | 0 | — | 33 | — |
| Surawich Lokavit | 45 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 15 | — |
| Thiti Thumporn | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 45 | 2 |
| Saringkan Promsupa | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 70 | — |
| Cláudio | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 60 | 1 |
| Chaiyaphon Otton | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 36 | 3 |
| Luccas Barreto | 76 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 41 | — |
| Romeu | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 2 | 49 | 1 |
| John Baggio | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 16 | 1 |
| Lursan Thiamrat | 40 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 19 | 2 |
| Gildo Araújo | 62 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 1 |
| Tassanapong Mhuaddarak | 50 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 30 | — |
| Apichart Denman | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 10 | — |
| Siroch Chatthong | 28 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Mateusinho | 14 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 10 | — |
| Thitikit Samerjai | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pattarapon Suksakit | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pharadon Phatthaphon | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sarawut Kanlayanabandit | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Athirat Jantrapho | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ratchanat Aranpiroj | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Paredes | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Phattharaphon Jansuwan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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