Al-Gharafa
3/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
2.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 6 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 6 available matches.
Inspect Al-Gharafa’s results
Stars LeagueMatchweek 19THE MATCH CENTREAl-Gharafa vs Al Ahli Doha match centre
90′ · Live
1:3
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Y. Brahimi28′ (pen)
Y. Abdelrahman46′
W. Troost-Ekong59′
M. Vlap87′ (pen)
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate0.0%Al-Gharafa
Draw0.1%at full time
Current result estimate99.9%Al Ahli Doha
Another goal8.1%before full time
Next goal: Al-Gharafa 4.2% · no further goal 91.9% · Al Ahli Doha 3.9%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Al-GharafaAl Ahli Doha
—Expected goals · API-Football—
5Shots on target5
9Total Shots14
54%Ball Possession46%
3Corner Kicks4
10Fouls12
1Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
0Goalkeeper Saves4
382Total passes340
299Passes accurate265
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Stars League: Regular seasonProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Sadd | 22 | +26 | 45 | — |
| 2 |  Al Shamal | 22 | +11 | 40 | — |
| 3 |  Al-Rayyan SC | 22 | +14 | 38 | — |
| 4 | Al-Gharafa | 23 | -2 | 36 | — |
| 5 |  Al-Duhail SC | 22 | +13 | 33 | — |
| 6 |  Qatar SC | 22 | +2 | 32 | — |
| 7 |  Al-Arabi SC | 22 | -4 | 32 | — |
| 8 |  Al Ahli Doha | 23 | -7 | 29 | ↑ 1 |
| 9 |  Al Wakrah | 22 | -4 | 27 | ↓ 1 |
| 10 |  Al-Sailiya | 22 | -13 | 22 | — |
| 11 |  Al Shahaniya | 22 | -17 | 21 | — |
| 12 |  UMM Salal | 22 | -19 | 20 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Al-Gharafa 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Al Ahli Doha 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Al Ahli Doha
0/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
2.1Conceded / game
Keep in view: 7 losses in that sample. At away venues, 0 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Al Ahli Doha’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Al-Gharafa
10 matchesResults3 wins · 1 draws · 6 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game2.1
Games with 3+ goals5 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Al-Rayyan SCHome · Stars League3–2Al ShamalHome · Stars League0–1Tractor SaziHome · AFC Champions League0–2Al KharaitiyatHome · Emir Cup2–0Al-Ittihad FCAway · AFC Champions League0–7Al-SailiyaAway · Stars League0–1Al SaddHome · Stars League1–3Sharjah FCHome · Qatar-UAE Super Cup1–1Qatar SCAway · QSL Cup2–3Al-Arabi SCAway · Stars League2–1
Al Ahli Doha
10 matchesResults0 wins · 3 draws · 7 losses
Goals scored per game1.1
Goals conceded per game2.1
Games with 3+ goals7 of 10
Both teams scored8 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Al ShahaniyaHome · Stars League1–2Al-Rayyan SCAway · Stars League1–2Sepahan FCHome · AFC Cup0–0UMM SalalHome · Emir Cup2–4Sepahan FCAway · AFC Cup2–2Al WakrahAway · Stars League2–3Qatar SCHome · Stars League1–3Al-JaziraHome · Qatar-UAE Super Cup1–1Al-SailiyaAway · QSL Cup1–2Al SaddAway · Stars League0–2
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Al-Gharafa at home with Al Ahli Doha away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 02:32 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Stars League · 2025/26 · all league matches
Al-GharafaAl Ahli Doha
18Matches played18
34Points earned16
11Wins5
1.6Goals scored / match1.3
1.4Goals conceded / match2.1
3Clean sheets0
6Failed to score7
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Al-Gharafa at home with Al Ahli Doha away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Al-Gharafa
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Pedro Martins
- 1
K. N'DiayeG - 18
A. Al Oui - 24
A. GunnarssonD - 6
D. TraoreD - 26
R. A. Al-AliD - 13
F. SassiM - 57
Y. M. Al KhlifM - 11
A. SuragM - 8
Y. BrahimiM - 7
F. ComanM - 9
JoseluF
Substitutes (12)
34 · M. Gamal
21 · H. Kahiout
12 · M. Normann
14 · A. Djalo
90 · H. Aladin
99 · J. Hamed
55 · N. H. Al Rayami
22 · A. Sudarmanto
5 · M. Essam
33 · C. Abdulnasir
16 · J. Friakh
97 · A. Nasar Mohamed
Al Ahli Doha
Confirmed formation5-4-1Younes Ali
- 35
M. BadredlinG - 41
A. ReyedD - 16
R. TihiD - 5
W. Troost-EkongD - 23
K. RadwanD - 3
I. YassineD - 14
M. VlapM - 8
D. FettouhiM - 4
T. Ali - 7
J. DraxlerM - 9
S. YansaneF
Substitutes (12)
1 · Y. Naim
20 · H. Mansour
12 · H. Mohammed
33 · K. Mohammed
21 · M. Al Ishaq
24 · A. Doumbouya
17 · O. Alawi
11 · A. Moustafa
6 · I. Diallo
88 · A. Amraoui
29 · S. Gannan
70 · Y. Abdelrahman
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Al-Gharafa
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khalifa Ababacar | 90 | 5.5 | — | 0 | — | 28 | — |
| Ayoub Al Oui | 90 | 5.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 28 | 1 |
| Aron Gunnarsson | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | — | 63 | — |
| Dame Traore | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 57 | 2 |
| Rayyan Ahmed Al Ali | 90 | 5.3 | — | 0 | — | 24 | 4 |
| Ferjani Sassi | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 56 | 1 |
| Yousef Moussa | 58 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 10 | 2 |
| Amro Abdelfatah Surag | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 35 | 4 |
| Yacine Brahimi | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 33 | 1 |
| Florinel Coman | 66 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 17 | 2 |
| Joselu | 77 | 6.2 | — | 0 | 1 | 11 | — |
| Hassan Alaa Aldeen | 32 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
| Álvaro Djaló | 24 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 8 | 2 |
| Jamal Hamed | 13 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Mahmood Gamal Mohamed | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hamad Majid | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mostafa Essam Qadeera | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chalpan Abdulnasir | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andri Syahputra Sudarmanto | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nawaf Al Rayami | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jamil Friakh | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mathias Normann | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amjed Mohamed | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al Ahli Doha
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marwan Badredlin | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| Ahmed Reyed Mawla | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 24 | 3 |
| Robin Tihi | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 29 | — |
| William Troost-Ekong | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | — |
| Khalid Radwan | 45 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| Islam Yaseen | 88 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 28 | 1 |
| Michel Vlap | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 1 |
| Driss Fettouhi | 90 | 7.6 | — | 2 | 2 | 60 | 1 |
| Talal Al-Shila | 73 | 5.6 | — | 0 | — | 16 | — |
| Julian Draxler | 72 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 3 | 35 | 1 |
| Sekou Oumar Yansane | 88 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 2 | 27 | — |
| Younis Abdelrahman | 45 | 9.0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| Ibrahima Diallo | 18 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 3 |
| Hamad Mansour | 17 | 6.3 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Helal Mohammed | 9 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 3 | — |
| Ayoub Amraoui | 9 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | — | — |
| Yazan Naim | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amidou Doumbouya | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Abdulla Al-Ishaq | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Othman Alawi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Suhaib Gannan | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdelrahman Moustafa | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khaled Mohammed | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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