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Independiente vs Lanus match centre

Independiente badgeIndependienteHome · 5 in league
WDDDW
Momentum→ Steady60/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:0
UK time · Europe/London
Lanus badgeLanusAway · 6 in league
WWWDD
Momentum↘ Falling67/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
M. Abaldo57′
G. Avalos63′
Venue to be confirmedSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
IndependienteLanus
7Corner Kicks1
18Fouls14
4Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves1
358Total passes372
284Passes accurate292

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Independiente 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Lanus 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Independiente

1/4Wins
1.0Goals / game
0.8Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At home, 0 wins from 2 available matches.

Inspect Independiente’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Lanus

2/4Wins
1.5Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 1 loss in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 2 available matches.

Inspect Lanus’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • At least one team has fewer than five usable recent results.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Independiente at home with Lanus away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 04:18 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Liga Profesional Argentina · 2026/27 · all league matches

IndependienteLanus
4Matches played4
6Points earned8
1Wins2
1.0Goals scored / match2.0
0.8Goals conceded / match1.5
1Clean sheets0
0Failed to score0

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Independiente at home with Lanus away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Independiente

Confirmed formation4-3-3Gustavo Quinteros
  1. 33R. ReyG
  2. 29L. GodoyD
  3. 26K. LomonacoD
  4. 36S. ValdezD
  5. 22F. ZabalaD
  6. 8L. MillanM
  7. 23I. MarconeM
  8. 40I. MalcorraM
  9. 7S. MontielF
  10. 9G. AvalosF
  11. 19M. AbaldoF
Substitutes (12)

1 · J. Blazquez

3 · M. Valenzuela

4 · S. Arias

6 · N. Freire

13 · J. Fedorco

5 · Rodrigo Fernandez

10 · L. Cabral

11 · F. Mancuello

16 · M. Perez Curci

17 · W. Mazzantti

20 · S. Bodnar

25 · I. Pussetto

Lanus

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Mauricio Pellegrino
  1. 26N. LosadaG
  2. 33T. GuidaraD
  3. 35R. De JesusD
  4. 13J. Canale DominguezD
  5. 6S. MarcichD
  6. 5F. Pena BiaforeM
  7. 30A. CardozoM
  8. 11E. SalvioM
  9. 8F. N. WatsonM
  10. 23R. CarreraM
  11. 9W. BouF
Substitutes (12)

1 · F. Petroli

2 · L. Romero

3 · N. Morgantini

4 · G. Perez

24 · C. Izquierdoz

16 · M. Sepulveda

17 · A. Medina

27 · F. Sanchez

20 · B. Cabrera

25 · D. Aquino

37 · T. De Martis

77 · L. Besozzi

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Independiente

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Rodrigo Rey1006.3———27—
Leonardo Godoy1006.9——1282
Kevin Lomónaco1007.9———573
Sebastián Valdez1007.3———432
Facundo Zabala1007.9——1401
Lautaro Millán767.3—1—241
Iván Marcone1007.0———443
Ignacio Malcorra767.2—1—281
Santiago Montiel526.7———11—
Gabriel Ávalos887.71—419—
Matías Abaldo1007.21—221—
Ignacio Pussetto486.2——1101
Rodrigo Fernández246.9————1
Luciano Cabral205.2—013—
Walter Mazzantti126.7———3—
Joaquín Blázquez———————
Santiago Arias———————
Nicolás Freire———————
Juan Fedorco———————
Milton Valenzuela———————
Federico Mancuello———————
Mateo Perez———————
Simón Bodnar———————

Lanus

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Nahuel Losada1006.5———33—
Tomás Guidara1006.0———282
Ronaldo de Jesus Lopez1006.7——142—
José Canale1005.9———342
Sasha Marcich766.7——125—
Felipe Peña Biafore1007.0———493
Agustín Cardozo1007.2———502
Eduardo Salvio656.2——1161
Franco Watson766.9———25—
Ramiro Carrera656.3———204
Walter Bou826.2———132
Matías Sepúlveda357.2——1131
Dylan Aquino356.6———11—
Thomas de Martis246.5———4—
Bruno Cabrera246.5———4—
Lucas Besozzi186.3———5—
Franco Petroli———————
Facundo Sánchez———————
Gonzalo Perez———————
Luciano Romero———————
Nicolás Morgantini———————
Carlos Izquierdoz———————
Agustín Medina———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Liga Profesional Argentina table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Apertura - Group A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Estudiantes L.P.169431971231
LWLDL
2Boca Juniors168622291330
WWDWD
3Velez Sarsfield167721812628
WDWDD
4Talleres Cordoba167541713426
LWLDD
5Independiente166642420424
WDWLD
6Lanus166641815324
WWWLD
7San Lorenzo165741414022
LDWLD
8Union Santa Fe165652420421
LLWWW
9Instituto Cordoba166371717021
WWLWD
10Defensa Y Justicia164751821-319
DWLWW
11Gimnasia M.165471422-819
DLDWW
12Platense163761015-516
LLDLW
13Central Cordoba de Santiago164481121-1016
DLLDL
14Newells Old Boys163671527-1215
WDDDW
15Deportivo Riestra16187512-711
DLDDD
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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