Boca Juniors
2/7Wins
0.9Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At home, 2 wins from 5 available matches.
Inspect Boca Juniors’s results
Liga Profesional ArgentinaMatchweek 10THE MATCH CENTREBoca Juniors vs San Lorenzo match centre
90′ · Live
1:1
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
S. Ascacibar55′
G. Rodriguez65′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.
Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
MATCHDAY LIVE
90′ IN PLAYInside the game
Every chance. Every turning point.
KICKOFF EDGE LIVE READING
GOOD DATAWhat the match state suggests now
Current result estimate4.2%Boca Juniors
Draw92.5%at full time
Current result estimate3.4%San Lorenzo
Another goal7.7%before full time
Next goal: Boca Juniors 4.3% · no further goal 92.3% · San Lorenzo 3.4%.
Experimental model combining the pre-match forecast with score, time, shots, shots on target, possession, corners and red cards. This is not live xG or bookmaker odds.Boca JuniorsSan Lorenzo
—Expected goals · API-Football—
3Shots on target2
11Total Shots4
71%Ball Possession29%
1Corner Kicks2
8Fouls14
3Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
1Goalkeeper Saves3
486Total passes200
412Passes accurate129
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
IF THE SCORE HOLDS
Apertura - Group AProvisional table
Illustrative positions after applying the current score to the latest stored standings. Official tables can also change as other live matches finish.
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 17 | +13 | 31 | ↑ 1 |
| 2 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | +12 | 31 | ↓ 1 |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | +6 | 28 | — |
| 4 |  Talleres Cordoba | 16 | +4 | 26 | — |
| 5 |  Independiente | 16 | +4 | 24 | — |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | +3 | 24 | — |
| 7 |  San Lorenzo | 17 | 0 | 23 | — |
| 8 |  Union Santa Fe | 16 | +4 | 21 | — |
| 9 |  Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 0 | 21 | — |
| 10 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | -3 | 19 | — |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | -8 | 19 | — |
| 12 |  Platense | 16 | -5 | 16 | — |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | -10 | 16 | — |
| 14 |  Newells Old Boys | 16 | -12 | 15 | — |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | -7 | 11 | — |
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Boca Juniors 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
San Lorenzo 0 reported
Availability report not received yet.
Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
San Lorenzo
2/7Wins
0.7Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 4 available matches.
Inspect San Lorenzo’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Boca Juniors
7 matchesResults2 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game0.7
Games with 3+ goals2 of 7
Both teams scored3 of 7
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Gimnasia M.Home · Liga Profesional Argentina1–1Racing ClubHome · Liga Profesional Argentina0–0PlatenseHome · Liga Profesional Argentina0–0Velez SarsfieldAway · Liga Profesional Argentina1–2Newells Old BoysHome · Liga Profesional Argentina2–0Estudiantes L.P.Away · Liga Profesional Argentina1–2Deportivo RiestraHome · Liga Profesional Argentina1–0
San Lorenzo
7 matchesResults2 wins · 3 draws · 2 losses
Goals scored per game0.7
Goals conceded per game0.7
Games with 3+ goals1 of 7
Both teams scored2 of 7
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Talleres CordobaAway · Liga Profesional Argentina0–0Instituto CordobaHome · Liga Profesional Argentina1–1Union Santa FeAway · Liga Profesional Argentina0–0HuracanAway · Liga Profesional Argentina0–1Central Cordoba de SantiagoHome · Liga Profesional Argentina1–0Gimnasia M.Away · Liga Profesional Argentina1–0LanusHome · Liga Profesional Argentina2–3
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Boca Juniors at home with San Lorenzo away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 07:04 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Liga Profesional Argentina · 2026/27 · all league matches
Boca JuniorsSan Lorenzo
8Matches played8
12Points earned12
3Wins3
1.1Goals scored / match0.9
0.6Goals conceded / match0.7
5Clean sheets5
2Failed to score3
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Boca Juniors at home with San Lorenzo away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
0 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Boca Juniors
Confirmed formation4-4-2Claudio Ubeda
- 1
A. MarchesinG - 23
M. WeigandtD - 2
L. Di LolloD - 32
A. CostaD - 3
L. BlancoD - 25
S. AscacibarM - 5
L. ParedesM - 18
M. DelgadoM - 36
T. ArandaM - 28
A. BareiroF - 16
Miguel MerentielF
Substitutes (12)
12 · L. Brey
21 · A. Herrera
24 · J. Barinaga
22 · K. Zenon
41 · I. Zufiaurre
11 · L. Janson
4 · J. Figal
27 · M. Braida
15 · W. H. Alarcon Cepeda
26 · M. Pellegrino
38 · C. Rey Domenech
37 · G. Gelini
San Lorenzo
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Gustavo Alvarez
- 12
O. GillG - 32
E. HerreraD - 4
J. RomanaD - 23
G. HernandezD - 6
M. De RitisD - 24
N. TripichioM - 5
I. PerruzziM - 7
E. CeruttiM - 10
F. GulliM - 14
A. LadstatterM - 9
A. CuelloF
Substitutes (12)
25 · J. Devecchi
19 · L. Vietto
15 · M. Cardillo
34 · F. Lopez
28 · N. Barrios
16 · G. Corujo
11 · M. Reali
26 · G. Abrego
17 · G. Rodriguez
21 · F. Perruzzi
44 · M. Hernandez
3 · T. Rodriguez Pagano
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Boca Juniors
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agustín Marchesín | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | — | 21 | — |
| Marcelo Weigandt | 90 | 7.0 | — | 0 | 1 | 44 | 1 |
| Lautaro Di Lollo | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 70 | 3 |
| Ayrton Costa | 90 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 52 | 3 |
| Lautaro Blanco | 90 | 6.6 | — | 0 | 1 | 47 | 2 |
| Santiago Ascacíbar | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 1 |
| Leandro Paredes | 90 | 7.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 86 | 1 |
| Milton Delgado | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | 79 | 1 |
| Tomas Aranda | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 2 | 38 | — |
| Adam Bareiro | 89 | 6.5 | — | 0 | 3 | 18 | 1 |
| Miguel Merentiel | 90 | 7.3 | — | 0 | 2 | 19 | — |
| Iker Zufiaurre | 1 | — | — | 0 | — | 1 | — |
| Leandro Brey | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Pellegrino | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolás Figal | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Barinaga | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ander Herrera | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Camilo Rey Domenech | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Malcom Braida | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Zenón | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Williams Alarcón | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Gelini | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Janson | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
San Lorenzo
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Gill | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 26 | — |
| Ezequiel Herrera | 90 | 6.3 | — | 0 | 1 | 20 | 2 |
| Jhohan Romaña | 90 | 6.2 | — | 0 | — | 12 | — |
| Gastón Alan Hernández | 79 | 6.9 | — | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
| Mathias de Ritis | 90 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | 20 | 3 |
| Nicolás Tripichio | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 29 | 4 |
| Ignacio Perruzzi | 90 | 6.9 | — | 0 | — | 21 | 2 |
| Ezequiel Cerutti | 27 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 7 | 1 |
| Facundo Gulli | 63 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 15 | 1 |
| Agustin Ladstatter | 63 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 14 | 1 |
| Alexis Cuello | 90 | 5.9 | — | 0 | — | 6 | 2 |
| Nahuel Barrios | 53 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 13 | 2 |
| Gregorio Rodriguez | 27 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Luciano Vietto | 27 | 6.5 | — | 0 | — | 6 | — |
| Guzmán Corujo | 11 | 6.7 | — | 0 | — | 2 | — |
| Gonzalo Abrego | 10 | 6.7 | — | 0 | 1 | 2 | — |
| José Devecchi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabricio López | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Teo Rodríguez Pagano | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mauricio Cardillo | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francisco Perruzzi | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matias Reali | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matías Hernández | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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