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Serie AMatchweek 24THE MATCH CENTRE

Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama match centre

Palmeiras badgePalmeirasHome · 2 in league
LDDLW
Momentum↗ Rising38/100OlderLatest
Full time
4:1
UK time · Europe/London
Vasco DA Gama badgeVasco DA GamaAway · 16 in league
WDDLW
Momentum→ Steady52/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
J. Lopez47′
Vitor Roque51′ (pen)
Mauricio56′
J. Lopez89′
F. Colidio90′
Allianz Parque · Sao PauloSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
PalmeirasVasco DA Gama
5Corner Kicks3
8Fouls21
1Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
3Goalkeeper Saves1
551Total passes407
481Passes accurate349

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Palmeiras 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Vasco DA Gama 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Palmeiras

5/10Wins
1.8Goals / game
1.0Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Palmeiras’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Vasco DA Gama

3/10Wins
1.1Goals / game
0.9Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Vasco DA Gama’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Palmeiras at home with Vasco DA Gama away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:46 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Serie A · 2026/27 · all league matches

PalmeirasVasco DA Gama
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Palmeiras at home with Vasco DA Gama away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Palmeiras

Confirmed formation3-4-1-2Ferreira Abel
  1. 1Carlos MiguelG
  2. 4A. GiayD
  3. 15G. GomezD
  4. 2A. BarbozaD
  5. 40Allan EliasM
  6. 8Andreas PereiraM
  7. 17Marlon FreitasM
  8. 56Arthur GabrielM
  9. 18MauricioF
  10. 9Vitor RoqueF
  11. 42J. LopezF
Substitutes (12)

14 · Marcelo Lomba

26 · Murilo

3 · Bruno Fuchs

12 · Khellven

32 · E. Martinez

50 · Luis Pacheco

30 · Lucas Evangelista

7 · Felipe Anderson

37 · Riquelme Fillipi

39 · Heittor Vinicius

11 · J. Arias

45 · Erick Bele

Vasco DA Gama

Confirmed formation4-1-4-1Pedro Emanuel
  1. 1Leo JardimG
  2. 96Paulo HenriqueD
  3. 46C. CuestaD
  4. 30Robert RenanD
  5. 66CuiabanoD
  6. 5S. SosaM
  7. 28AdsonM
  8. 3Tche TcheM
  9. 23Thiago MendesM
  10. 11A. GomezM
  11. 7DavidF
Substitutes (12)

13 · Daniel Fuzato

2 · J. Rodriguez

6 · Lucas Piton

43 · Lucas Freitas

82 · Riquelme Avellar

80 · B. Andre

88 · Cauan Barros

83 · Ramon Rique

9 · F. Colidio

17 · N. Moreira

77 · C. Spinelli

18 · M. Hinestroza

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Palmeiras

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Carlos Miguel907.6—0—28—
Agustín Giay837.3—01571
Gustavo Gómez906.9—0—67—
Alexander Barboza456.9—0—272
Allan716.9—1—271
Andreas Pereira907.3—1—732
Marlon Freitas716.7—0—44—
Arthur Gabriel906.6—0—382
Mauricio907.310142—
Vitor Roque707.3103122
José Manuel López909.6203233
Murilo456.9—0—382
Jhon Arias206.7—1—15—
Emiliano Martínez196.6—0—281
Felipe Anderson196.9—01261
Khellven146.3—0—61
Marcelo Lomba———————
Bruno Fuchs———————
Luis Pacheco———————
Erick Belé———————
Lucas Evangelista———————
Heittor———————
Riquelme Fillipi———————

Vasco DA Gama

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Léo Jardim905.3—0—27—
Paulo Henrique906.3—0—523
Carlos Cuesta905.9—0—511
Robert Renan906.2—01413
Cuiabano585.9—0—171
Santiago Sosa906.6—01452
Adson656.6—0—413
Tchê Tchê906.2—0230—
Thiago Mendes586.6—01201
Andrés Gómez726.2—0—134
David656.6—0—11—
Riquelme Avellar326.9—01132
Ramon Rique326.3—0—202
Nuno Moreira256.3—019—
Facundo Colidio257.010291
Marino Hinestroza186.7—0—8—
Daniel Fuzato———————
Bruno André Azevedo Ribeiro———————
Lucas Freitas———————
Lucas Piton———————
Puma Rodríguez———————
Cauan Barros———————
Claudio Spinelli———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Serie A table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Serie A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Flamengo28186455233260
WWWWW
2Palmeiras28169347212657
DWDDW
3Atletico Paranaense28147743321149
WDLDW
4Fluminense2813964436848
WLWDW
5Bahia28121064335846
LWWWW
6Cruzeiro2813694240245
WLWLW
7Atletico-MG2711793632440
DWLWD
8Santos2710894140138
WWWWD
9Coritiba28108103743-638
LDLWW
10RB Bragantino27106113331236
LDLLW
11Sao Paulo27106113230236
WLWWL
12Botafogo2898114145-435
LWDDL
13Vitoria2896132842-1433
LDWLL
14Corinthians2888122932-332
LLLLL
15Mirassol2888123342-932
WDWLD
16Vasco DA Gama2787123441-731
WWLWL
17Gremio2878133038-829
DLLLW
18Internacional28610123036-628
LWLLD
19Remo2858153247-1523
LLLLL
20Chapecoense-sc2739152953-2418
DLWLW
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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