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Serie AMatchweek 24THE MATCH CENTRE

Vitoria vs Bahia match centre

Vitoria badgeVitoriaHome · 13 in league
LLWLW
Momentum→ Steady46/100OlderLatest
Full time
0:2
UK time · Europe/London
Bahia badgeBahiaAway · 5 in league
DDDDW
Momentum↗ Rising50/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
A. Veliz67′
Jean Lucas90′
Estadio Manoel Barradas · El SalvadorSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
VitoriaBahia
7Corner Kicks7
13Fouls10
4Yellow Cards3
—Red Cards—
6Goalkeeper Saves2
301Total passes341
214Passes accurate280

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Vitoria 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Bahia 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Vitoria

5/10Wins
1.3Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 5 losses in that sample. At home, 8 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Vitoria’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Bahia

2/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.3Conceded / game

Keep in view: 2 losses in that sample. At away venues, 1 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Bahia’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Vitoria at home with Bahia away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 02:51 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Serie A · 2026/27 · all league matches

VitoriaBahia
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Vitoria at home with Bahia away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Vitoria

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Ventura Jair
  1. 1Lucas ArcanjoG
  2. 2E. BritezD
  3. 25CacaD
  4. 36Luan CandidoD
  5. 13RamonD
  6. 88Ze VitorM
  7. 15WalaceM
  8. 33ErickM
  9. 10MatheuzinhoM
  10. 12D. TarziaM
  11. 91ReneF
Substitutes (12)

71 · Yuri

83 · Jamerson

98 · Matheusinho

18 · Kauan

6 · Emmanuel Martinez

8 · T. Pochettino

26 · Edenilson

11 · Osvaldo

7 · Marinho

79 · Renato Kayzer

23 · Fabricio

9 · Alex Bruno

Bahia

Confirmed formation4-3-3Ceni Rogerio
  1. 1Ronaldo StradaG
  2. 31R. GomezD
  3. 33David DuarteD
  4. 21S. RamosD
  5. 46Luciano JubaD
  6. 14ErickM
  7. 5Nicolas AcevedoM
  8. 11RodrigoM
  9. 99C. OliveraF
  10. 9A. VelizF
  11. 16Erick PulgaF
Substitutes (12)

17 · G. Herrera

4 · Kanu

3 · M. Moreno

44 · Marcos Victor

66 · Ze Guilherme

8 · Caio Alexandre

6 · Jean Lucas

12 · Willian Jose

15 · Michel Araujo

23 · M. Sanabria

27 · Everaldo

77 · Ruan Pablo

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Vitoria

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Lucas Arcanjo907.9—0—26—
Emanuel Brítez776.5—0—182
Cacá907.2—0—241
Luan Cândido906.2—0—212
Ramon906.3—01413
Zé Vitor906.6—02373
Walace457.3—01213
Erick636.5—0—16—
Matheuzinho706.5—01241
Diego Tarzia456.9—0—11—
Renê Sousa905.9—02131
Emmanuel Martínez456.3—0—221
Tomás Pochettino456.3—02111
Marinho276.7—018—
Renato Kayzer206.3—0—2—
Mateusinho136.3—0—62
Yuri Sena———————
Kauan———————
Edenilson———————
Jamerson———————
Osvaldo———————
Alex Bruno———————
Fabrício Santos———————

Bahia

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Ronaldo907.3—0—341
Román Gómez906.9—01302
David Duarte907.3—0131—
Santiago Ramos Mingo907.2—0131—
Luciano Juba908.9—01444
Erick717.2—01127
Nicolás Acevedo907.2—0—532
Rodrigo Nestor826.9—03312
Cristian Olivera906.3—02241
Alejo Véliz897.610411—
Erick Pulga827.5—1422—
Jean Lucas197.31028—
Ruan Pablo86.5—01——
Michel Araújo87.7—1171
Everaldo1——0—3—
Guido Herrera———————
José Guilherme———————
Marcos Victor———————
Marco Moreno———————
Kanu———————
Mateo Sanabria———————
Caio Alexandre———————
Willian José———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Serie A table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Serie A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Flamengo28186455233260
WWWWW
2Palmeiras28169347212657
DWDDW
3Atletico Paranaense28147743321149
WDLDW
4Fluminense2813964436848
WLWDW
5Bahia28121064335846
LWWWW
6Cruzeiro2813694240245
WLWLW
7Atletico-MG2711793632440
DWLWD
8Santos2710894140138
WWWWD
9Coritiba28108103743-638
LDLWW
10RB Bragantino27106113331236
LDLLW
11Sao Paulo27106113230236
WLWWL
12Botafogo2898114145-435
LWDDL
13Vitoria2896132842-1433
LDWLL
14Corinthians2888122932-332
LLLLL
15Mirassol2888123342-932
WDWLD
16Vasco DA Gama2787123441-731
WWLWL
17Gremio2878133038-829
DLLLW
18Internacional28610123036-628
LWLLD
19Remo2858153247-1523
LLLLL
20Chapecoense-sc2739152953-2418
DLWLW
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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