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Serie AMatchweek 26THE MATCH CENTRE

Cruzeiro vs Atletico Paranaense match centre

Cruzeiro badgeCruzeiroHome · 6 in league
LWDLL
Momentum↘ Falling24/100OlderLatest
Full time
3:1
UK time · Europe/London
Atletico Paranaense badgeAtletico ParanaenseAway · 3 in league
LWDWD
Momentum↗ Rising55/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Matheus Pereira30′
L. Romero71′
Kaio Jorge82′ (pen)
Joao Cruz45′
Estádio Mineirão · Bello HarisantaSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
CruzeiroAtletico Paranaense
7Corner Kicks2
9Fouls14
2Yellow Cards2
—Red Cards—
6Goalkeeper Saves3
590Total passes382
515Passes accurate315

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Cruzeiro 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Atletico Paranaense 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Cruzeiro

4/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
1.2Conceded / game

Keep in view: 3 losses in that sample. At home, 6 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Cruzeiro’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Cruzeiro at home with Atletico Paranaense away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:51 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Serie A · 2026/27 · all league matches

CruzeiroAtletico Paranaense
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Cruzeiro at home with Atletico Paranaense away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Cruzeiro

Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Jorge Artur
  1. 81Otavio CostaG
  2. 23FagnerD
  3. 15Fabricio BrunoD
  4. 43Joao MarceloD
  5. 27G. RojasD
  6. 29L. RomeroM
  7. 7Matheus HenriqueM
  8. 99K. ArroyoM
  9. 10Matheus PereiraM
  10. 8GersonM
  11. 19Kaio JorgeF
Substitutes (12)

1 · Cassio

25 · L. Villalba

2 · Kaua Moraes

12 · William Furtado

5 · Ze Lucas

16 · Lucas Silva

9 · Bruno Rodrigues

97 · L. Rodriguez

20 · Wesley

67 · J. Costa

70 · Kenji

38 · Felipe Morais

Atletico Paranaense

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Joao Correia
  1. 1MycaelG
  2. 25DantasD
  3. 33F. AguirreD
  4. 4Arthur DiasD
  5. 12GilbertoM
  6. 16JadsonM
  7. 14Luiz GustavoM
  8. 7S. MendozaM
  9. 21LeozinhoF
  10. 8Joao CruzF
  11. 9K. ViverosF
Substitutes (12)

23 · Santos

37 · L. Esquivel

3 · Leo

22 · C. Teran

2 · Gilberto Junior

27 · J. Portilla

5 · Felipinho

10 · B. Zapelli

53 · Dudu Kogitzki

18 · K. A. Calderon Vargas

70 · Renan Peixoto

19 · J. Rivaldo

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Cruzeiro

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Otávio Costa907.2—0—19—
Fagner906.9—0—443
Fabrício Bruno906.6—0—63—
João Marcelo906.9—0177—
Gabriel Rojas456.3—0133—
Lucas Romero908.6102782
Matheus Henrique896.9—0273—
Keny Arroyo706.7—0418—
Matheus Pereira907.9114552
Gerson877.0—11541
Kaio Jorge898.010227—
Lucas Villalba456.9—0—361
Wesley206.6—0—4—
João Costa96.2—0—31
Zé Lucas1——0—4—
Luciano Rodríguez1——0—2—
Cássio———————
Kauã Moraes———————
William Furtado———————
Felipe Morais———————
Lucas Silva———————
Kaique Kenji———————
Bruno Rodrigues———————

Atletico Paranaense

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Mycael905.9—0—23—
Dantas906.9—0—413
Juan Felipe Aguirre906.2—0—28—
Arthur Dias456.2—0—161
Gilberto906.6—02521
Jádson456.2—0—18—
Luiz Gustavo906.5—02243
Steven Mendoza906.5—01421
Leozinho656.9—01241
João Cruz657.7102221
Kevin Viveros816.9—028—
Lucas Esquivel456.3—0—18—
Juan Portilla456.7—02311
Bruno Zapelli256.3—0—142
Kerwin Vargas256.3—0—15—
Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno96.7—016—
Santos———————
Carlos Terán———————
Léo———————
Gilberto Junior———————
Felipinho———————
Dudu———————
Jorge Rivaldo———————
2026/27 STANDINGS

Serie A table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Serie A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Flamengo28186455233260
WWWWW
2Palmeiras28169347212657
DWDDW
3Atletico Paranaense28147743321149
WDLDW
4Fluminense2813964436848
WLWDW
5Bahia28121064335846
LWWWW
6Cruzeiro2813694240245
WLWLW
7Atletico-MG2711793632440
DWLWD
8Santos2710894140138
WWWWD
9Coritiba28108103743-638
LDLWW
10RB Bragantino27106113331236
LDLLW
11Sao Paulo27106113230236
WLWWL
12Botafogo2898114145-435
LWDDL
13Vitoria2896132842-1433
LDWLL
14Corinthians2888122932-332
LLLLL
15Mirassol2888123342-932
WDWLD
16Vasco DA Gama2787123441-731
WWLWL
17Gremio2878133038-829
DLLLW
18Internacional28610123036-628
LWLLD
19Remo2858153247-1523
LLLLL
20Chapecoense-sc2739152953-2418
DLWLW
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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