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Serie AMatchweek 26THE MATCH CENTRE

Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG match centre

Sao Paulo badgeSao PauloHome · 11 in league
DDWLW
Momentum→ Steady56/100OlderLatest
Full time
2:0
UK time · Europe/London
Atletico-MG badgeAtletico-MGAway · 7 in league
DDDWW
Momentum↗ Rising66/100OlderLatest
Goalscorers
Luciano67′
Iago Amaral Borduchi69′
Morumbi · Sao PauloSeason 2026/27Back to matches
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES

Our view of the game

Awaiting usable data

Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.

No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.

This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.

Why this selection? Data checks & method

Our model: Unavailable · Calculated Not supplied.

Odds updated Not supplied · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 0 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.

We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.

For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.

Odds & probabilities Pre-match snapshot Home win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Draw—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Away win—Our model PendingMarket unavailable Bookmaker odds awaiting availability Market probabilities adjusted for margin. Model estimates, not guarantees.
THE FINAL WHISTLE

The match in numbers

Statistics and key moments from this match.

FULL TIME
Sao PauloAtletico-MG
16Corner Kicks2
19Fouls12
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves3
526Total passes518
451Passes accurate428

— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.

BEFORE YOU DECIDE

Team news & availability

API-Football

Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.

Sao Paulo 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Atletico-MG 0 reported

Availability report not received yet.

Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.

THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT

Your match briefing

From recorded results

Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.

HOME PERSPECTIVE

Sao Paulo

3/10Wins
1.2Goals / game
1.1Conceded / game

Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 5 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Sao Paulo’s results
AWAY PERSPECTIVE

Atletico-MG

5/10Wins
1.4Goals / game
0.7Conceded / game

Keep in view: 0 losses in that sample. At away venues, 4 wins from 10 available matches.

Inspect Atletico-MG’s results
BEFORE YOU DECIDE

What could change the picture?

  • Lineup data is available in the match centre.
  • Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
  • Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.

Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓

HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING

Recent form

Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.

Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.

About these numbers

Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Sao Paulo at home with Atletico-MG away.

We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.

Updated 2 Oct, 03:51 UK.

THE SEASON SO FAR

How the teams compare

Serie A · 2026/27 · all league matches

Sao PauloAtletico-MG
—Matches played—
—Points earned—
—Wins—
—Goals scored / match—
—Goals conceded / match—
—Clean sheets—
—Failed to score—

Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Sao Paulo at home with Atletico-MG away. Small samples can be misleading.

THE STORY SO FAR

Head-to-head

0 recorded meetings

Previous meetings are not available for this fixture yet.

TEAM SELECTION

Lineups & formations

Confirmed lineups

Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.

Sao Paulo

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Junior Dorival
  1. 23RafaelG
  2. 22D. DuarteD
  3. 5Robert ArboledaD
  4. 35SabinoD
  5. 19Lucas Ramon
  6. 94DanielzinhoM
  7. 8Marcos AntonioM
  8. 18WendellM
  9. 37ArturF
  10. 43G. SantanaF
  11. 10LucianoF
Substitutes (12)

31 · Carlos Coronel

2 · R. Toloi

12 · Iago Borduchi

80 · Cauly

28 · Newton

29 · Pablo Maia

48 · Djhordney

11 · Ferreira

17 · Andre Silva

49 · Ryan Francisco

34 · P. dos Santos

9 · Jonathan Calleri

Atletico-MG

Confirmed formation3-4-2-1Eduardo Dominguez
  1. 1Gabriel DelfimG
  2. 2NatanaelD
  3. 40VitaoD
  4. 21A. FrancoD
  5. 28CuelloM
  6. 15K. CastanoM
  7. 5AlexsanderM
  8. 6R. LodiM
  9. 30Victor HugoF
  10. 11BernardF
  11. 19ReinierF
Substitutes (12)

46 · Pedro Cobra

31 · Robert

14 · Vitor Hugo

23 · A. Preciado

36 · K. Pascini

53 · Pedro Lemos

7 · Fred

10 · Gustavo Scarpa

39 · M. Cisse

9 · M. Cassierra

92 · Dudu

27 · A. Minda

INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE

Player statistics

This match

Atletico-MG

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Mamady Cisse00.000000
Alexsander706.6000443
Bernard456.1000152
K. Castaño456.2000360
T. Cuello905.5000350
A. Franco906.2000540
Renan Lodi906.3000441
Natanael906.1001631
Reinier456.3000121
Victor Hugo815.9000341
Vitão906.7000571
M. Cassierra456.1001130
Gabriel Delfim905.7000370
Dudu00.000000
Fred456.4000290
Gustavo Scarpa95.800170
A. Minda206.600181
K. Pascini00.000000
A. Preciado00.000000
Robert00.000000
Vitor Hugo456.5000300
Pedro Cobra00.000000
Pedro Lemos00.000000

Sao Paulo

PlayerMinRatingGoalsAssistsShotsPassesTackles
Carlos Coronel00.000000
Artur817.5014311
Danielzinho636.8000525
Domingos Duarte907.2001571
Lucas Carvalho907.1011330
Luciano858.2104260
Marcos Antônio907.0004705
R. Arboleda907.3001471
Sabino907.2001622
G. Santana636.3003170
Wendell646.7000490
André Silva00.000000
Rafael906.7000300
Cauly00.000000
D. Ferreira96.300030
Tetê00.000000
Ferreira56.900120
Iago267.6102150
J. Calleri277.000091
Newton00.000000
Pablo Maia277.1001231
Ryan Francisco00.000000
R. Tolói00.000000
2026/27 STANDINGS

Serie A table

League centre ↗

Current standings · Serie A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Flamengo28186455233260
WWWWW
2Palmeiras28169347212657
DWDDW
3Atletico Paranaense28147743321149
WDLDW
4Fluminense2813964436848
WLWDW
5Bahia28121064335846
LWWWW
6Cruzeiro2813694240245
WLWLW
7Atletico-MG2711793632440
DWLWD
8Santos2710894140138
WWWWD
9Coritiba28108103743-638
LDLWW
10RB Bragantino27106113331236
LDLLW
11Sao Paulo27106113230236
WLWWL
12Botafogo2898114145-435
LWDDL
13Vitoria2896132842-1433
LDWLL
14Corinthians2888122932-332
LLLLL
15Mirassol2888123342-932
WDWLD
16Vasco DA Gama2787123441-731
WWLWL
17Gremio2878133038-829
DLLLW
18Internacional28610123036-628
LWLLD
19Remo2858153247-1523
LLLLL
20Chapecoense-sc2739152953-2418
DLWLW
THE MARKET VIEW

Match-winner odds

Decimal · 90 minutes

No current match-winner prices have been supplied for this fixture.

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