AlessonYellow Cards
Reported out
Serie AMatchweek 28THE MATCH CENTREMirassol vs Botafogo match centre
Full time
2:0
UK time · Europe/London Goalscorers
Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve16′
Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve45+2′
THE MATCH VERDICT · 90 MINUTES
Awaiting usable dataOur view of the game
Pre-match analysis only. No current bet recommendation once kickoff has passed or the match is not scheduled.
No defensible selection yet. We need a current, usable model or a complete recent match-winner market. Check the team news and recent form below.
This exact data version has not yet been captured by the scheduled decision recorder.
Why this selection? Data checks & method
Our model: Out of date · Calculated 19 Sep 15:56 UK.
Odds updated 19 Sep 17:05 UK · Older or incompletely timed snapshot. Match-winner reference: 6 bookmakers. Market probabilities remove each bookmaker’s margin before averaging; double chance combines match-result probabilities.
We compare match winner, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score and double chance. Priced selections need decimal odds of at least 1.25. The value filter subtracts five percentage points from the model chance, then requires at least a 5% estimated return. These are conservative policy choices, not a calibrated confidence interval or proof of profitability.
For value candidates, odds must have been observed within 30 minutes and updated within three hours; our model must be less than 24 hours old. Experimental form models never qualify as value recommendations. Market fallback views use snapshots up to 24 hours old and never qualify as model value. Confirm lineups and the available price. All views cover 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No outcome or return is guaranteed.
THE FINAL WHISTLE
FULL TIMEThe match in numbers
Statistics and key moments from this match.
MirassolBotafogo
—Expected goals · API-Football—
6Shots on target5
11Total Shots12
51%Ball Possession49%
3Corner Kicks4
8Fouls6
0Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards0
5Goalkeeper Saves4
580Total passes547
526Passes accurate491
— means not supplied. Live xG availability varies by match. Verified post-match xG is shown separately in the Chance quality section when available.
BEFORE YOU DECIDE
API-FootballTeam news & availability
Recorded availability for this fixture. These reports are not a confirmed starting XI.
Mirassol 5 reported
Jose AldoMuscle Injury
Reported out
NeguebaKnee Injury
Reported outWalterInjury
Reported out
Gustavo SilvaInjury
Doubtful
Botafogo 3 reported
J. BarreraInjury
Reported out
Kaio PantaleaoKnee Injury
Reported out
Matheus MartinsInactive
DoubtfulFetched 19 Sep, 20:58 UK. This report is more than six hours old. Includes injuries and other availability reasons supplied by the provider. Player importance and replacement quality require context; these reports do not automatically adjust the Kickoff Edge forecast.
THE EVIDENCE, IN CONTEXT
From recorded resultsYour match briefing
Compare the evidence for both teams before drawing a conclusion. The context below uses up to 10 completed matches before this fixture, within the available last 365 days.
Mirassol
1/10Wins
0.9Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At home, 4 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Mirassol’s resultsBotafogo
3/10Wins
1.0Goals / game
1.7Conceded / game
Keep in view: 4 losses in that sample. At away venues, 3 wins from 10 available matches.
Inspect Botafogo’s resultsWhat could change the picture?
- Lineup data is available in the match centre.
- Recent results include different opponents and competitions.
- Goals and results describe past outcomes; they do not measure chance quality or guarantee the next result.
Historical context reconstructed from results currently stored, not an archived pre-match briefing. These facts provide context, not a full explanation of the model’s calculation. How this is calculated ↓
HOW THEY HAVE BEEN PLAYING
Recent form
Compare recent results at a glance, or open the match list for a closer look.
Last 10 games · all venues and competitions.
Mirassol
10 matchesResults1 wins · 5 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game0.9
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored7 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
Botafogo
10 matchesResults3 wins · 3 draws · 4 losses
Goals scored per game1.0
Goals conceded per game1.7
Games with 3+ goals4 of 10
Both teams scored5 of 10
Past results, not predictions.
See results
About these numbers
Results are from completed 90-minute games before this fixture, across all competitions. Games decided after extra time or penalties are excluded. Switch on “Match home & away form” to compare Mirassol at home with Botafogo away.
We show up to the selected number of available games from the previous year. Missing results may appear as the database updates. These are past results, not predictions.
Updated 2 Oct, 01:59 UK.
THE SEASON SO FAR
How the teams compare
Serie A · 2026/27 · all league matches
MirassolBotafogo
27Matches played27
29Points earned35
7Wins9
1.1Goals scored / match1.5
1.6Goals conceded / match1.6
1Clean sheets4
7Failed to score6
Season totals and averages. Home / away compares Mirassol at home with Botafogo away. Small samples can be misleading.
THE STORY SO FAR
3 recorded meetingsHead-to-head
Mirassol
0wins3MEETINGS
Botafogo
1winsSep 2025 – Apr 2026 · Past results, not a forecast.
TEAM SELECTION
Confirmed lineupsLineups & formations
Official starting XIs supplied by the match-data provider.
Mirassol
Confirmed formation4-2-3-1Rafael Guanaes
- 22
WalterG - 32
Igor FormigaD - 34
João VictorD - 3
Willian MachadoD - 6
ReinaldoD - 27
DenilsonM - 25
Neto MouraM - 95
EdsonM - 33
EduardoM - 10
ChicoM - 30
Bruno SantosF
Substitutes (12)
9 · André Luís
20 · Daniel Borges
17 · Fernandinho
44 · Gabriel
19 · Gustavo Silva
5 · Japa
2 · Lucas Oliveira
7 · Shaylon
90 · Thomazella
80 · Wallisson
99 · Zé Roberto
96 · Carlos Eduardo
Botafogo
Confirmed formation4-4-2Tite
- 12
Gabriel BatistaG - 2
VitinhoD - 5
N. FerraresiD - 33
L. MonzónD - 13
Alex TellesD - 6
C. MedinaM - 75
HuguinhoM - 8
Danilo SantosM - 10
Álvaro MontoroM - 90
DaniloF - 19
Arthur CabralF
Substitutes (12)
22 · H. Ziyech
3 · Arthur Chaves
17 · Warleson
77 · L. Villalba
9 · Tiquinho Soares
21 · Marçal
59 · Kauan Toledo
42 · Kadu Santos
34 · G. Justino
7 · Júnior Santos
88 · Edenílson
25 · Allan
INDIVIDUAL PERFORMANCE
This matchPlayer statistics
Botafogo
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arthur Chaves | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Alex Telles | 90 | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 63 | 1 |
| Arthur Cabral | 61 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
| Danilo | 45 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 0 |
| Danilo Santos | 90 | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 61 | 1 |
| N. Ferraresi | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 88 | 3 |
| Huguinho | 45 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 0 |
| C. Medina | 77 | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 2 |
| Álvaro Montoro | 45 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 0 |
| L. Monzón | 90 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 79 | 2 |
| Vitinho | 90 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 55 | 1 |
| Allan | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gabriel Batista | 90 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 0 |
| Edenílson | 45 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 |
| Júnior Santos | 45 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| G. Justino | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kadu Santos | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kauan Toledo | 13 | 5.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
| Marçal | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Tiquinho Soares | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| L. Villalba | 29 | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 |
| Warleson | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| H. Ziyech | 45 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 0 |
Mirassol
| Player | Min | Rating | Goals | Assists | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Eduardo | 14 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
| Chico | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 60 | 3 |
| Denilson | 76 | 7.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 1 |
| Eduardo | 67 | 9.1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 0 |
| Igor Formiga | 89 | 7.8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 52 | 3 |
| João Victor | 90 | 8.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 0 |
| Neto Moura | 90 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 2 |
| Reinaldo | 90 | 7.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 1 |
| Willian Machado | 90 | 8.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 87 | 2 |
| André Luís | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Walter | 90 | 7.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 |
| Daniel Borges | 1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Fernandinho | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gabriel | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Gustavo Silva | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Japa | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Lucas Oliveira | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shaylon | 23 | 7.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 1 |
| Thomazella | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Wallisson | 14 | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 0 |
| Zé Roberto | 1 | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Edson | 76 | 6.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 1 |
| Bruno Santos | 89 | 6.2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 1 |
2026/27 STANDINGS
League centre ↗Serie A table
Current standings · Serie A. Both teams are highlighted. These may include matches played after this fixture.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 23 | 32 | 60 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47 | 21 | 26 | 57 | DWDDW |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 49 | WDLDW |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 48 | WLWDW |
| 5 |  Bahia | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 46 | LWWWW |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 45 | WLWLW |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 40 | DWLWD |
| 8 |  Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 38 | WWWWD |
| 9 |  Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 38 | LDLWW |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 36 | LDLLW |
| 11 |  Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 36 | WLWWL |
| 12 | Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 35 | LWDDL |
| 13 |  Vitoria | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 | LDWLL |
| 14 |  Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 32 | LLLLL |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 | WDWLD |
| 16 |  Vasco DA Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 31 | WWLWL |
| 17 |  Gremio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 | DLLLW |
| 18 |  Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 28 | LWLLD |
| 19 |  Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 23 | LLLLL |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 18 | DLWLW |
THE MARKET VIEW
Decimal · 90 minutesMatch-winner odds
| Bookmaker | Mirassol | Draw | Botafogo |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.46 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| Pinnacle | 2.08 | 3.66 | 3.58 |
Snapshot from 19 Sep 2026, 17:05 UK. Prices may change and availability varies. Displayed for comparison only.
AWAITING DATA
Information not yet supplied
These sections are kept at the end so the available match analysis appears first.
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